UTSA Roadrunners vs Memphis Tigers Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/25/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 25, 2021
Venue:  Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, TN
Where to Watch:  ESPNU


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UTSA +3, Memphis -3; Over/Under:  65 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  UTSA +3, Memphis -3; Over/Under:  65 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UTSA +3.5, Memphis -3.5; Over/Under:  65.5 points

Season Record

UTSA Roadrunners:  3-0 (1st place, C-USA West)
Memphis Tigers:  3-0 (3rd place, AAC)
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UTSA Roadrunners vs Memphis Tigers Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
UTSA Roadrunners:  won at home on Sep. 18 against Middle Tennessee 27-13.
Memphis Tigers:  won at home on Sep. 18 against Mississippi State 31-29.

UTSA Roadrunners Analysis

UTSA is coming into this game with a 3-0 record overall and a 1-0 record in their road games this season where they will be in this one. That road win came against the Illinois Fighting Illini back in their season opener while the other 2 came at home against the Lamar Cardinals and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders. They are 1-0 in conference games because of their win in their last game and now have another 2 non-conference games in a row on their schedule. Frank Harris struggled a bit in their last game at the quarterback position as he completed 24/39 passes for 264 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Sincere McCormick had a nice day in the running game leading his team with 105 rushing yards on 23 carries. The receiving corps also had a nice day with Zakhari Franklin leading the team in receiving yards. He had 114 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 receptions while Joshua Cephus had 84 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 8 receptions as well. Clifford Chattman led the defense with 3 solo tackles, 1 assisted one, and 0.5 sacks on the day. Trumane Bell led the team in sacks that game with 2 while Clarence Hicks recorded 1 and Charles Wiley recorded 1.5. Corey Mayfield Jr. had the only interception for their defense in that game. They have scored 118 points in their first 3 games and have allowed their opponents to score 43 points against them. Their offense is averaging 458.7 YPG while their defense is allowing 244.3.

Memphis Tigers Analysis

Memphis is coming into this college football game with a 3-0 record overall and is 2-0 in their home games this season where they will be playing this game. Their road win came against the Arkansas State Red Wolves while their two home wins came against the Nicholls State Colonels in their season opener and against the Mississippi State Bulldogs in their last game. This will be their last non-conference game of the regular season. Seth Henigan struggled a bit in their last game as he completed 16/28 passes for 159 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Brandon Thomas led the team in rushing with 83 yards on 16 carries, but no one else really did much in the run game in that one. Calvin Austin III had a nice outing in the last game leading his team in receiving yards with 105 yards and 2 touchdowns on 9 receptions but other than him it was a pretty quiet day for the receiving corps. JJ Russell led the defense with 10 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. Maurice White recorded 1 sack on the day while Jaylon Allen and John Tate both had 0.5 sacks each. No one on the defense had an interception in that game. They have scored 128 points in their first 3 games and have allowed their opponents to score 96 points against them. Their offense is averaging 505 YPG while their defense is allowing 483 YPG.


UTSA vs Memphis Prediction

Both of these teams have been putting up a lot of points and a lot of yards on offense in their first few games. Memphis is the better team here and they are at home so they are going to find ways to score as they have been doing in all of their games so far. Memphis also does not have a good defense at all and UTSA is already moving the ball really well on offense in their games so they are not going to have trouble scoring here either. Draftkings sportsbook has the total set in the 60's but this game is hitting over 70 points for sure. The best bet to make in this one is the over as both offenses have been moving well all year and that is not going to stop in this game when the defenses are not that good.
UTSA Memphis Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 25, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Memphis 52 UTSA 41.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

UTSA Roadrunners: 17-10 ATS in all games. 12-7 ATS as an underdog. 
Memphis Tigers: 14-14 ATS in all games. 4-6 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70. 

Key Injuries

UTSA Roadrunners:  None.
Memphis Tigers:  K. Watkins (RB) Ques Sat - Foot injury. G. Gunnell (QB) Out indefinitely - Lower Body injury.

Players to Watch

UTSA Roadrunners: Zakhari Franklin is one player to watch in this game. He has a team-high 3 touchdowns and also leads his team in receiving yards. He will play a big part in this game if UTSA’s players manage to pull off the upset so look for him to make some big catches down the field and in the end zone.
Memphis Tigers: Sean Dykes and Javon Ivory are both players to watch here. They have been quiet recently but they will get involved in this offense soon enough. Memphis scores a lot of points in their games so look for them to make some big catches and help contribute to that.

Notable Quotes

“Look, I’m a Texas high-school football coach with seven Texas high school assistants and a bunch of Texas high school players. For us to go into Big Ten territory and get that done . . ..These players, they believed in me from day one.” - Jeff Traylor after their big win against Illinois.
"We talk about that nobody is able to come into our house and gets away with anything. Our guys understand how important it is. Look, we've been down before, just like we were for this game. But our guys believe. And there's something special about playing in the Liberty Bowl." - Ryan Silverfield after their win against Mississippi State.

Starting Lineups

UTSA Roadrunners
WR Bradley, Tre'Von 
WR Franklin, Zakhari 
WR Cephus, Joshua 
TE Watson, Leroy 
QB Harris, Frank 
RB McCormick, Sincere 
Memphis Tigers
WR Austin III, Calvin 
WR Rogers, Gabriel 
WR Ivory, Javon 
TE Dykes, Sean 
QB Henigan, Seth 
RB Thomas, Brandon 
TB Fleming, Cameron 

Statistical Leaders

UTSA Roadrunners
Passing: F. Harris (662)
Rushing: S. McCormick (268)
Receiving: Z. Franklin (346)
Touchdowns: Z. Franklin (3)
Sacks: T. Bell II (2)
Tackles: C. Chattman (11)
Memphis Tigers
Passing: S. Henigan (841)
Rushing: B. Thomas (421)
Receiving: C. Austin III (391)
Touchdowns: C. Austin III (6)
Sacks: J. Allen (1.5)
Tackles: J. Russell (19)
UTSA Roadrunners: Jeff Traylor (2nd season)
Memphis Tigers Ryan Silverfield (2nd season)

Weather Forecast

79 degrees F mostly sunny, 54% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 7 mph wind speeds W.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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