by Rod Pearson
Monday, Sep 25, 2023
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, September 29, 2023
Venue: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Utah +3, OR State -3; Over/Under: 44.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Utah +3, OR State -3; Over/Under: 45 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Utah +3, OR State -3; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Season Record
Utah Utes: 4-0 (1-0) (5th place, Pac-12)
Oregon State Beavers: 3-1 (0-1) (7th place, Pac-12)
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Utah Utes: won their last game at home against the UCLA Bruins 14-7.
Oregon State Beavers: lost their last game on the road against the Washington State Cougars 38-35.
Utah Utes vs Oregon State Beavers Preview and Analysis
Utah is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against UCLA 14-7. Nate Johnson was the starting QB and he completed 9/17 passes for 117 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Jaylon Glover led the team in rushing yards with 86. Devaughn Vele led the receivers with 57 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Jonah Elliss led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Jonah Elliss led the defense in sacks with 3.5. Karene Reid came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Oregon State is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Wazzu 38-35. DJ Uiagalelei was the starting QB and he completed 17/34 passes for 198 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Deshaun Fenwick led the team in rushing yards with 101 and 3 TDs. Silas Bolden led the receivers with 76 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Akili Arnold and Calvin Hart Jr. each led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Sione Lolohea and Jaden Robinson each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
Utah vs Oregon State Prediction
The current betting odds have Oregon State listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Utah is undefeated this season and they have looked really good in their games without their starting QB Cam Rising but a lot of their tough wins have also come at home where they are a much better team. This is their toughest road test of the season so far and even though their defense has been keeping them in games, their offense has looked stagnant after taking small leads. Oregon State has a really good offense that is going to move the ball on this defense at home but they also have a good defense that will cause problems for this struggling Utah offense. Utah has been doing a good job in their games playing with a lead but now they are in a tough road game and if they fall behind here while still missing Rising in this game, there won't be a way back into the game for them. Oregon State is also a very different team at home as they rarely lose their games there. The best way to place a bet here is on Oregon State to cover the spread in this game.
Utah Oregon State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, September 29, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is OR State 27 Utah 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Utah Utes: 4-8 ATS in road games. 2-4 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 11-6 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45. 7-1 OVER after allowing 17 points or less in 4 straight games.
Oregon State Beavers: 20-10 ATS in all games. 10-1 ATS in all games. 13-1 ATS in home games. 8-4 OVER after playing their last game on the road. 6-2 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses.
Key Injuries
Utah Utes: C. Rising (QB) Ques Fri - Knee. B. Rose (QB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. M. Pittman (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. C. O'Toole (DE) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. B. Kuithe (TE) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Bernard (RB) out for season - Undisclosed.
Oregon State Beavers: T. Reddicks (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. M. Tongue (LB) out for season - Leg.
Notable Quotes
“What adjective is better than great? That’s what our defensive effort was. Tremendous performance by so many defensive players.” - Kyle Whittingham after his team’s win against UCLA in their last game.
“Just too little, too late.” - Jonathan Smith after his team’s loss against WSU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Utah Utes
WR Parks, Money
WR Vele, Devaughn
WR Pittman, Mycah
TE Yassmin, Thomas
TE Kuithe, Brant
QB Rising, Cameron
RB Jackson, Ja'Quinden
Oregon State Beavers
WR Gould, Anthony
WR Irish, Jesiah
WR Bolden, Silas
TE Velling, Jack
TE Terry II, Jermaine
QB Uiagalelei, DJ
RB Martinez, Damien
Statistical Leaders
Utah Utes
Passing: N. Johnson (398)
Rushing: J. Jackson (239)
Receiving: M. Parks (151)
Touchdowns: N. Johnson (3)
Oregon State Beavers
Passing: D. Uiagalelei (828)
Rushing: D. Martinez (432)
Receiving: S. Bolden (235)
Touchdowns: D. Uiagalelei (5)
Coaches:
Utah Utes: Kyle Whittingham (20th season)
Oregon State Beavers: Jonathan Smith (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
