Utah State Aggies vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/24/2024

Game Time: 2:40 pm ET, Sunday, March 24, 2024

Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  USU +11.5, Purdue -11.5; Over/Under:  149 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  USU +11.5, Purdue -11.5; Over/Under:  149 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  USU +11.5, Purdue -11.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Utah State Aggies:  28-6 (14-4) (1st place, MWC)

Purdue Boilermakers:  30-4 (17-3) (1st place, Big Ten)

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Utah State Aggies:  4-1  last 5

Purdue Boilermakers:  4-1  last 5

Utah State is entering this game with a 28-6 record overall, a 14-4 record in conference games, and they are 6-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the TCU Horned Frogs in their last game. Ian Martinez led the team in points per game in that game with 21 while Isaac Johnson was next on the team with 19. Darius Brown II led the team in assists with 10 in that game while Great Osobor led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 55% from the field, 42.1% from 3-point range, and 93.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 80 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.3 PPG against them. Utah State has an ATS record of 15-15-2 this season and their O/U record is 20-12.

Purdue is entering this game with a 30-4 record overall, a 17-3 conference record, and they are 7-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Grambling State Tigers in their last game. Zach Edey led the team in points in that game with 30 while Trey Kaufman-Renn and Braden Smith each were next on the team with 11. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 10 in that game while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 21. They were 47.5% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 59.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.6 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 17-15-2 this season and their O/U record is 22-12.

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as an 11.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked great in their games this season with their 30-4 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country and also ranked as one of the best in the nation. They have looked great in the Big Ten all season with their 17-3 conference record which leads the way and they have also looked great in their neutral site games with their 7-1 record in those. Meanwhile, Utah State has looked good in their games this season with their 28-6 record overall which also has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked really good in the MWC this year with their 14-4 conference record which led the way and they are also 6-1 in their neutral site games. Both of these teams are 4-1 coming into this one but Purdue has been the more consistent team all season as they have been ranked inside the top 5 all season. Utah State looked really good in the 1st round with their win over TCU, but TCU didn't have a great season this year and weren't one of the strongest teams in the Big 12. Purdue had an easy matchup against Grambling in the 1st round but after the way things ended for them last season, they weren't going to lose in the 1st round to a 16 seed again. They looked really good in that win by 28 points and they will be looking to continue on in the tournament now that they have the 1st round monkey off their back. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game.

Utah State Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, March 24, 2024 (2:40 pm ET start time) is Purdue 82 Utah State 61.

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Utah State Aggies: 16-7 ATS in all neutral court games. 6-0 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 14-5 ATS in all tournament games. 20-12 OVER in all games. 17-7 OVER as an underdog. 10-5 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs.

Purdue Boilermakers: 15-26 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 7-13 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite. 19-30 ATS after a win by 10 points or more. 22-12 OVER in all games. 21-11 OVER as a favorite. 14-4 OVER after a game where they covered the spread.

Utah State Aggies:  M. Agbonkpolo (F) out for season - Foot.

Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

“Coach came to me before the game and said ‘Shoot the ball, and be confident,’ so I took his advice.” - Isaac Johnson after their win against TCU in their last game in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday.

"(I) tried to play as hard as I can, trying to send a message to the team: We're here, we're ready, we're good. Send a message to the country: We're good." - Zach Edey after their win against Grambling State in their last game in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday.

D. Brown 

M. Falslev 

I. Johnson 

I. Martinez 

G. Osobor

Z. Edey 

L. Jones 

T. Kaufman-Renn 

F. Loyer 

B. Smith

PPG: G. Osobor (17.6)

APG: D. Brown II (6.4)

Reb/G: G. Osobor (9)

PPG: Z. Edey (24.2)

APG: B. Smith (7.2)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (11.7)

Coaches:

Utah State Aggies: Danny Sprinkle (1st season)

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (19th season)