by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 22, 2022
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Friday, November 25, 2022
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: USU +15.5, BSU -15.5; Over/Under: 53 points
Bet365: Point Spread: USU +16, BSU -16; Over/Under: 53 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: USU +15.5, BSU -15.5; Over/Under: 53 points
Season Record
Utah State Aggies: 6-5 (5-2) (3rd place, MWC Mountain)
Boise State Broncos: 8-3 (7-0) (1st place, MWC Mountain)
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Utah State Aggies: won their last game at home against the San Jose State Spartans 35-31.
Boise State Broncos: won their last game on the road against the Wyoming Cowboys 20-17.
Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos Preview and Analysis
Utah State is entering this game with a 6-5 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th road game of the season here as they are 2-3 in their road games this year. This will also be their 8th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 5-2. They won against the San Jose State Spartans in their last game at home 35-31. Cooper Legas started that game at QB and he completed 23/35 passes for 244 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Calvin Tyler Jr. led the team in rushing with 125 yards and 3 TDs on 30 rushing attempts. Brian Cobbs led the team in receiving with 122 yards on 10 receptions. Ajani Carter led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Hale Motu'apuaka led the defense in sacks with 2 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Boise State is entering this game with an 8-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th home game of the season as they are 4-1 in their home games this year. This will also be the 8th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 7-0. They won against the Wyoming Cowboys in their last game on the road 20-17. Taylen Green started that game at QB and he completed 20/34 passes for 211 yards and 1 touchdown. George Holani led the team in rushing with 132 yards on 20 carries. Billy Bowens led the team in receiving with 77 yards and 1 TD on 4 receptions. Caleb Biggers led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. JL Skinner came away with 2 interceptions for them while Rodney Robinson also came away with 1 interception as well but no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one.
Utah State vs Boise State Prediction
The current betting odds have Utah State listed as a 15.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. USU has nothing left to play for this year as they have already qualified for a bowl game but have no chance of going to the MWC Championship. USU has started to play a lot better though, winning 3 games in a row now and they are going to be trying to finish their season off strong as they are on a roll now. Boise State has been dominant in their conference this season as they are undefeated in the MWC and have already clinched their spot in the MWC Championship. With no other team being able to catch them though, they really have nothing to play for here as this is a meaningless game for them and they are better off resting their players for their game in the MWC Championship. Boise State hasn't looked that great in their games lately either, they have been winning all of their games but they are not blowing teams out and they have just had a very close win in their last game. This is a bad spot for Boise State here and even if they win this game over USU, it will not be by many points as they have no real motivation to go 100% in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on USU to cover the spread in this game.
Utah State Boise State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, November 25, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is BSU 28 USU 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Utah State Aggies: 4-8 ATS as a road underdog of 14.5 to 17 points. 13-5 UNDER off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. 21-14 UNDER after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games.
Boise State Broncos: 19-5 ATS off a close win by 7 points or less over a conference rival. 21-11 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 10-4 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders.
Key Injuries
Utah State Aggies: L. Williams (QB) Ques Fri - Ankle. L. Bonner (QB) Out for season - Lower Body. P. Paea (DT) out for season - Knee. K. Van Leeuwen (WR) out for season - Knee.
Boise State Broncos: C. Wright (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. M. Notarainni (LB) out for season - Leg. A. Bolt (WR) out for season - Leg.
Notable Quotes
“He’s taken a very mature approach to our process. What we need from him. What we expect from him. It was a struggle early but he responded in such a huge way.” - Blake Anderson on Calvin Tyler Jr. and the season he is having this year.
"We're going to need to be very diligent this week with the short week and the early game on Friday morning. It's good to be able to have an early game, because it puts that sense of urgency into you that we've got to use every day and be very efficient." - Andy Avalos on his team’s upcoming game against USU this week.
Starting Lineups
Utah State Aggies
WR McGriff, Justin
WR Cobbs, Brian
WR Vaughn, Terrell
TE Sterzer, Josh
QB Legas, Cooper
RB Tyler Jr., Calvin
Boise State Broncos
WR Bowens, Billy
WR Cobbs, Stefan
WR Caples, Latrell
TE Smith, Riley
QB Green, Taylen
RB Holani, George
Statistical Leaders
Utah State Aggies
Passing: C. Legas (1159)
Rushing: C. Tyler Jr. (979)
Receiving: B. Cobbs (739)
Touchdowns: C. Tyler Jr. (7)
Boise State Broncos
Passing: T. Green (1491)
Rushing: G. Holani (977)
Receiving: S. Cobbs (396)
Touchdowns: G. Holani (10)
Coaches:
Utah State Aggies: Blake Anderson (2nd season)
Boise State Broncos: Andy Avalos (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
