Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Prediction Spread and Trends to Watch - 11/06/2021
Game Time: 10:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 6th, 2021
Venue: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida
Where to Watch: NBA TV
Opening NCAAF Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Spread:: O/U:
BetMGM: Spread: : O/U:
Season Record
Jazz 7-1 (Western Conference)
Heat 6-2 (Eastern Conference)
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Jazz vs Heat Preview and Analysis.
RECENT FORM
The Jazz are 6-2 ATS this season so far. They have logged 2 Overs and 6 Unders. They thrive on defense with Rudy Gobert swatting away shots and Mike Conley jumping passing lanes. The Jazz are currently on a three-game winning streak, having taken down Trae Young and his Atlanta Hawks, the Sacramento Kings and the Milwaukee Bucks since Sunday night. Their only loss of the NBA season has been to the much improved Chicago Bulls. Bookmakers set the O/U point total low for the Jazz as they have held 4 different teams to double digits. They play better defense in home games. The glaring problem for the Jazz is their poor assist to turnover ratio 1.2 is 29th in the league.
Miami is 6-2 ATS this season. Notching 3 Overs and 5 Unders. They are an identical 3-1 on the road and 3-1 at home. They have taken down the Dallas Mavericks, the Memphis Grizzlies, the Brooklyn Nets… all at home.
Offensive Analysis
The Utah Jazz are 3rd in the league in points with 112.8 per game. NBA predictions have them as +850 to win an NBA title this year (save your money).
The Miami Heat are 9th in the league in scoring with 110.9 ppg. The big plus for the Heat is they are 1st in the league in rebounding at 52.1 per. The drawback is they are 30th (last) in blocked shots at just 2.3 per game. Rudy Gobert of the Jazz almost gets that by himself every night.
Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Prediction
Our prediction for Saturday, November 6th is… Heat 128 - Jazz 111
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NBA Betting Trends
Utah is 3-1 ATS versus Miami over the last 3 seasons.
Miami is 1-1 ATS versus Utah in games played at Miami over the last 3 seasons.
Injury Reports:
The Jazz are a little dinged up. Both SG Donovan Mitchell (ankle) and PF Royce O’Neil are listed as Day to Day… so Jordan Clarkson and Eric Paschall may have to step in to the starting line-up… to further thin the bench SF/PF Rudy Gay (heel) is listed as OUT. Of course Day to Day means that everyone may play except Rudy Gay.
The Heat aren’t in full health themselves. SG Victor Oladipo is on the roster but has not played this year and won’t for awhile. PG Kyle Lowry (yes, the new addition from the Toronto Raptors) is listed as Day to Day, bench piece SG/SF Max Strus (knee) is listed as OUT.
It means a whole lot more to the Utah Jazz if Donovan Mitchell misses this matchup than it does to the Heat if Kyle Lowry misses. It’s not that Kyle Lowry isn’t important, he’s among the Heat’s key players… but Donovan Mitchell sets the pace of the game for the Jazz. Donovan is the pts leader and the assist leader. Basketball games hinge on star players, NBA basketball especially.
Starting Lineups
Jazz: PG Mike Conley, SG Donovan Mitchell, SF Bojan Bogdanovic, PF Royce O’Neil
Heat: PG Kyle Lowry, SG Duncan Robinson, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker, C Bam Adebayo
Statistical Leaders
Jazz
Points: Donovan Mitchell 24.9
Rebounds: Rudy Gobert 17.2
Assists: Donovan Mitchell 4.9
Steals: Mike Conley 1.4
Blocks: Rudy Gobert 1.8
Coaches:
Jazz: Quin Snyder
Heat: Erik Spoelstra