USFL Point Spread Data 2022-23

by Al McMordie

Friday, Jul 28, 2023
The USFL has played two seasons since its founding, and the Birmingham Stallions have won the championship each year.  The two seasons, though, were very different in another respect.  In the first season, all the regular season games were played in Birmingham, Alabama, while the playoff games were played in Canton, Ohio.  However, in Season 2, the league moved its games to a pod format, such that two teams played their home games in Birmingham, two played in Canton, two played in Detroit, Michigan, and two played in Memphis, Tennessee.  The playoff semi-finals were played at the home fields of the higher seeds, while the title game was played in Canton.

Because of these schedules, the league has had 34 home-sited games, and 52 neutral-sited games.

Let's take a look at how the USFL's games for its first two seasons have gone, from a point spread perspective.

Home teams:  12-21-1 ATS
Away teams:  21-12-1 ATS

Favorites:  36-46-3 ATS
Underdogs:  46-36-3 ATS

Favorites priced from -7.5 to -13.5:  3-14 ATS
Favorites priced from -3.5 to -7:  21-18-2 ATS
Favorites priced from -1 to -3:  12-14-1 ATS

Overs:  43-41-2
Unders:  41-43-2

O/U Line 30 to 39.5:  17-4-1 Over
O/U Line 40 to 49.5:  26-37-1 Over

Teams off a win (vs foes off a loss):  15-14-1 ATS
Teams off back-to-back wins (vs. foes not off back-to-back wins):  16-11 ATS
Teams off a SU/ATS win (vs. foes not off a SU/ATS win):  15-13-1 ATS
Teams off back-to-back SU/ATS wins (vs. foes not off back-to-back SU/ATS wins):  11-9 ATS
Teams off an ATS win vs. foes off an ATS loss:  15-14-1 ATS

Teams off a double-digit win (vs. foes not off a double-digit win):  12-14-1 ATS
Teams off a double-digit cover (vs. foes not off a double-digit cover):  13-8 ATS
Teams off a double-digit loss (vs. foes not off a double-digit loss):  15-12 ATS
Teams that failed to cover by double-digits (vs. foes that didn't fail to cover by double-digits):  11-14-1 ATS
Teams off a double-digit loss vs. foes off a double-digit win:  4-2 ATS
Teams that failed to cover by double-digits vs. foes off a double-digit cover:  2-6 ATS

Teams playing with revenge:  28-27-3 ATS

Winning teams vs. losing teams:  11-16 ATS

Both teams off Overs:  10-8-1 Over
Both teams off Unders:  8-10 Over

Good luck, as always....
Al McMordie

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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