USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/24/2026

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Oct 22, 2026
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 24, 2026
Venue:  Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI 
Where to Watch:  NBC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  USC -3, Wisconsin +3; Over/Under:  50.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  USC -3, Wisconsin +3; Over/Under:  50.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  USC -3, Wisconsin +3; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Season Record

USC Trojans:  6-1 (3-1) (4th place, Big Ten)
Wisconsin Badgers:  4-2 (2-1) (9th place, Big Ten)

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Recent Form
USC Trojans:  won their last game on the road against the Penn State Nittany Lions 31-23.
Wisconsin Badgers:  lost their last game on the road against the UCLA Bruins 17-7.


USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers Preview and Analysis


USC is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Penn State 31-23. Jayden Maiava was the starting QB and he completed 21/33 passes for 301 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. King Miller led the team in rushing yards with 102 and 1 TD. Trent Mosley led the receivers with 111 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Desman Stephens II led the defense in that game with 9 tackles while Luke Wafle and Kennedy Urlacher each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Wisconsin is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against UCLA 17-7. Colton Joseph was the starting QB and he completed 6/16 passes for 66 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Colton Joseph led the team in rushing yards with 71 and 1 TD. Jaylon Domingeaux led the receivers with 26 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Mason Posa and Sebastian Cheeks each led the defense in that game with 7 tackles while Nicolas Clayton led the defense in sacks with 1. Marvin Burks Jr. came away with 2 interceptions for them in that one.


USC vs Wisconsin Prediction

The current betting odds have Wisconsin listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Wisconsin has looked good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall and their 2-1 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big Ten. They have looked great on their home field too with their 3-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, USC has looked great in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 3-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have been a good road team too with their 2-0 road record this year. USC has been rolling in their games this season and they once again have one of the best offenses in the Big Ten with the number of points that they have been putting up, but their defense still hasn't looked great and that has been their issue for years. They are coming off a 31-23 road win over Penn State and now they are coming out of their bye week too, but Riley has had a lot of trouble in these Big Ten road games over the last few years. Their schedule hasn't really gotten tough yet either and they have been skating by against bad teams, but there is going to be a lot of pressure on them to not trip up in this game with a big game against Ohio State next week. Wisconsin is coming off a 17-7 road loss to UCLA in their last one and this isn't a great situation for them coming back from the West coast, but they have improved a lot this season and they are going to bring their best effort at home to try and earn a ranked win. Their only 2 losses this season were their only 2 games against ranked opponents, so they are going to be motivated to pick one off and the 2 teams that they lost to are both ranked inside the top 10. The best way to place a bet here is on Wisconsin to cover the spread in this game. 

USC Wisconsin Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 24, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Wisconsin 20 USC 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this USC Trojans Wisconsin Badgers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


USC Trojans: 2-8 ATS as a road favorite. 4-9 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 4-9 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 6-3 UNDER as a road favorite. 3-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56.

Wisconsin Badgers: 6-3 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 8-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 6-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. 7-1 UNDER as a home underdog. 9-1 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%).

Key Injuries


USC Trojans:  M. Bowman (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Reddick (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Redeaux (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Ison (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Huard (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Tezeno (WR) Questionable - Foot. T. Anderson (WR) Out - Undisclosed. C. Simms (WR) Out - Knee. K. O'Connor (OG) Out - Undisclosed.

Wisconsin Badgers:  D. O'Neil (QB) Out - Lower Body. M. Lane (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. N. Palmer (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


“It’s one of my favorite wins as a head coach now question, for so many reasons. Obviously phenomenal atmosphere, as good as it gets there in college football, so give credit to Penn State, their fans, but really proud of our team, man.” - Lincoln Riley after his team’s win against Penn State in their last game. 


“There’s no way we can go on the road and have as many penalties and play as undisciplined as we did. We didn’t have the consistency to do the little things well and it showed up.” - Luke Fickell after his team’s loss against UCLA in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


USC Trojans
WR Hines, Tanook
WR Dixon-Wyatt, Kayden
WR Williams, Zacharyus
TE Bowman, Mark
QB Maiava, Jayden
RB Miller, King

Wisconsin Badgers
WR Hilton Jr., Eugene
WR Brooks Jr., Chris
WR Henry, Tyrell 
TE Harris, Jacob
QB Joseph, Colton
RB Dupree, Darrion

Statistical Leaders


USC Trojans
Passing: Jayden Maiava (2,045)
Rushing: King Miller (595)
Receiving: Kayden Dixon-Wyatt (400)
Touchdowns: Trent Mosley (5)

Wisconsin Badgers
Passing: Colton Joseph (1,198)
Rushing: Colton Joseph (333)
Receiving: Tyrell Henry (343)
Touchdowns: Colton Joseph (4)

Coaches:
USC Trojans: Lincoln Riley (5th season)
Wisconsin Badgers: Luke Fickell (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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