USC Trojans vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/07/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, February 7, 2025

Venue:  Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  USC +13.5, Purdue -13.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  USC +13.5, Purdue -13.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  USC +13.5, Purdue -13.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

USC Trojans:  13-9 (5-6) (9th place, Big Ten)

Purdue Boilermakers:  18-5 (10-2) (1st place, Big Ten)

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USC Trojans:  2-3  last 5

Purdue Boilermakers:  4-1  last 5

USC is entering this game with a 13-9 record overall, a 5-6 record in conference games, and they are 3-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Northwestern Wildcats in their last game. Clark Slajchert led the team in points per game in that game with 24 while Wesley Yates III was next on the team with 15. Saint Thomas led the team in assists with 8 in that game while Saint Thomas led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 51% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72.6 PPG against them. USC has an ATS record of 10-12 this season and their O/U record is 16-6.

Purdue is entering this game with an 18-5 record overall, a 10-2 conference record, and they are 11-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Iowa Hawkeyes in their last game. Braden Smith led the team in points in that game with 31 while Trey Kaufman-Renn was next on the team with 25. Trey Kaufman-Renn, Braden Smith, and Fletcher Loyer each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Caleb Furst led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 52.6% from the field, 48% from 3-point range, and 78.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.5 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 13-10 this season and their O/U record is 14-9.

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked great in their games this season with their 18-5 record overall and their 10-2 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten. They have also looked great on home court this year with their 11-1 home record. It looked like it was going to be a different season in the Big Ten this year with Purdue losing a lot of their talent and some new teams emerging as threats in the conference, but once again Purdue has stood the test of time and is back on top of the Big Ten. Meanwhile, USC hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 13-9 record overall and their 5-6 conference record which has them right in the middle of the Big Ten. They have been a good road team so far with their 3-2 road record, but they have also had to do a lot of traveling which isn't going to have a positive impact as the season goes on. They are coming off a loss to Northwestern in their last one and they haven't looked that great lately either, going 2-3 in their last 5 games. Purdue has been gaining momentum lately with 3 wins in a row now and they have responded well after taking a shocking loss at home to Ohio State. Now that Purdue is back at the top of the Big Ten this season, they will be looking to assert their dominance as they are in the driver's seat. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game. 

USC Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, February 7, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 88 USC 66.

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USC Trojans: 10-5 ATS off a road loss. 9-5 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival. 21-13 1H ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 14-6 OVER as a road underdog or pick. 7-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 16-9 OVER after playing a road game.

Purdue Boilermakers: 15-22 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. 5-9 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 19-25 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 27-16 OVER as a home favorite or pick. 13-6 OVER in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 12-6 OVER off a road win.

USC Trojans:  D. Claude (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Williams (F) Out - Wrist. K. Patton (G) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Purdue Boilermakers:  D. Jacobsen (C) Out - Knee.

"A computer doesn't understand basketball. So how's a computer deciding who should be in the tournament? It's unfathomable. It doesn't happen in any other walk of life to my knowledge, and if it does, I'd love to know what it is. But that doesn't make any sense to schedule, and college basketball is about development. How are you supposed to develop younger players if you beat teams by 30, and that has something to do with your resume at the end of the year? It doesn't even make sense." - Eric Musselman on the selection process for the NCAA Tournament.

"Just execution. I thought they did a good job defending us in the first half. They got aggressive on some traps and we didn't handle it well as a staff in terms of making an adjustment. Obviously, in the second half, we made an adjustment — a couple of those baskets had nothing to do with that.” - Matt Painter after his team’s win against Iowa in their last game. 

C. Agbo 

D. Claude 

J. Cohen 

S. Thomas 

W. Yates

C. Cox 

C. Furst 

T. Kaufman-Renn 

F. Loyer 

B. Smith

PPG: D. Claude (16.2)

APG: S. Thomas (4.3)

Reb/G: S. Thomas (6.3)

PPG: T. Kaufman-Renn (18.7)

APG: B. Smith (8.6)

Reb/G: T. Kaufman-Renn (6.3)

Coaches:

USC Trojans: Eric Musselman (1st season)

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (20th season)