by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Sep 21, 2022
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 24, 2022
Venue: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
Where to Watch: PAC-12 Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: USC -6.5, Oregon State +6.5; Over/Under: 71 points
Bet365: Point Spread: USC -6.5, Oregon State +6.5; Over/Under: 71 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: USC -6.5, Oregon State +6.5; Over/Under: 70.5 points
Season Record
USC Trojans: 3-0 (1st place, PAC-12)
Oregon State Beavers: 3-0 (2nd place, PAC-12)
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Recent Form
USC Trojans: won their last game at home against the Fresno State Bulldogs 45-17.
Oregon State Beavers: won their last game at home against the Montana State Bobcats 68-28.
USC Trojans vs Oregon State Beavers Preview and Analysis
USC is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 2nd road game of the season here as they are 1-0 in their road games this year. This will also be their 2nd conference game of the college football season this year as they are 1-0. They won against the Fresno State Bulldogs in their last game at home 45-17. Caleb Williams started that game at QB and he completed 25/37 passes for 284 yards and 2 touchdowns. Austin Jones led the team in rushing with 110 yards and 1 TD on 12 rushing attempts while Travis Dye had 102 rushing yards and 1 TD on 11 carries. Mario Williams led the team in receiving with 77 yards on 6 receptions. Eric Gentry led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Tuli Tuipulotu led the defense in sacks with 2 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Oregon State is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd home game of the season as they are 2-0 in their home games this year. This will also be the 1st conference matchup on their conference schedule this season. They won against the Montana State Bobcats in their last game at home 68-28. Chance Nolan started that game at QB and he completed 19/25 passes for 276 yards and 2 touchdowns. Deshaun Fenwick led the team in rushing with 63 yards and 1 TD on 9 carries. Tre'Shaun Harrison led the team in receiving with 133 yards and 1 TD on 8 receptions. Kitan Oladapo led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Jaydon Grant, Rejzohn Wright, and Ryan Cooper Jr. all came away with 1 interception each for them but no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one.
USC vs Oregon State Prediction
The current betting odds have Oregon State listed as a 6.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oregon State has looked really good in their 3 games this year as they haven't lost a game yet and will be at home for this one. They are going to get up for this game at home with it being their 1st conference game of the year and against a USC team who a lot of people are very high on for them to make it to the final four. USC has played well in their 3 games this season and they have already played both a road game and a conference game all in one, but they were not great as they allowed 28 points and that was the most their defense has allowed all season. They are on the road again in this game and Oregon State has a very good home record over the last few years with a much better team this season now. USC is still trying to build their program up only in their 1st year with head coach Lincoln Riley and they will need some more time to make this a program that can compete for a National Championship. Oregon State has a great team that could even upset USC here at home. The best bet to place here is on Oregon State to cover the spread in this game.
USC Oregon State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 24, 2022 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Oregon State 38 USC 35.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
USC Trojans: 6-10 ATS against conference opponents. 17-23 ATS off a home blowout win by 28 points or more. 31-20 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 63.
Oregon State Beavers: 14-9 ATS in all games. 8-4 ATS as an underdog. 10-4 UNDER as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points.
Key Injuries
USC Trojans: D. Jackson (DB) Ques Sat - Knee. M. Hasan (QB) Out indefinitely - Achilles. J. Wolfe (TE) Out indefinitely - Foot.
Oregon State Beavers: A. Julian (DB) Ques Sat - Knee. I. Newell (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. R. Franke (LB) out for season - Leg.
Notable Quotes
"A very big point of emphasis throughout the week, especially coming off to the Stanford game, was putting together a more complete game and I thought we did that. I think we're growing each week. There's a few less mistakes and a few more things right." - Lincoln Riley after his team’s win against Fresno State in their last game.
“It’s where we wanted to be. You start the season, you’ve got a non-conference schedule, and I think we had some good play there. Not a complete game all three games, but found ways to win. That’s what you wanted. But the real season starts now. First of nine conference games that obviously we want to have the same result.” - Jonathan Smith on his team’s perfect record to start the season.
Starting Lineups
USC Trojans
WR Rice, Brenden
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Williams, Mario
TE McRee, Lake
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Dye, Travis
Oregon State Beavers
WR Harrison, Tre'Shaun
WR Lindsey, Tyjon
WR Gould, Anthony
TE Overman, Jake
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Nolan, Chance
RB Fenwick, Deshaun
Statistical Leaders
USC Trojans
Passing: C. Williams (874)
Rushing: T. Dye (227)
Receiving: J. Addison (295)
Touchdowns: J. Addison (5)
Oregon State Beavers
Passing: C. Nolan (746)
Rushing: D. Fenwick (204)
Receiving: T. Harrison (219)
Touchdowns: J. Colletto (3)
Coaches:
USC Trojans: Lincoln Riley (1st season)
Oregon State Beavers: Jonathan Smith (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
