Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 11, 2023
Venue: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: USC +15.5, Oregon -15.5; Over/Under: 76 points
Bet365: Point Spread: USC +15, Oregon -15; Over/Under: 75.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: USC +15.5, Oregon -15.5; Over/Under: 76 points
Season Record
USC Trojans: 7-3 (5-2) (3rd place, Pac-12)
Oregon Ducks: 8-1 (5-1) (2nd place, Pac-12)
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USC Trojans: lost their last game at home against the Washington Huskies 52-42.
Oregon Ducks: won their last game at home against the California Golden Bears 63-19.
USC Trojans vs Oregon Ducks Preview and Analysis
USC is entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 5-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Washington 52-42. Caleb Williams was the starting QB and he completed 24/34 passes for 256 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. MarShawn Lloyd led the team in rushing yards with 86 and 1 TD. Tahj Washington led the receivers with 112 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Bear Alexander led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Romello Height led the defense in sacks with 1. Calen Bullock came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Oregon is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against California 63-19. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 29/38 passes for 386 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Mar'Keise Irving led the team in rushing yards with 89 and 1 TD. Tez Johnson led the receivers with 180 receiving yards on 12 receptions and 2 TDs. Evan Williams led the defense in that game with 2 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Casey Rogers led the defense in sacks with 1. Steve Stephens came away with the only interception for them in that game.
USC vs Oregon Prediction
The current betting odds have Oregon listed as a 15.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oregon has looked really good all season with their 8-1 record overall and their 5-1 conference record. Their only loss this season was against Washington who is still undefeated in the Pac-12 but Oregon has also been a lot better in their home games too, going 5-0 there this year. USC hasn't looked as good in their games lately as they are 7-3 overall this season and are now 5-2 in the Pac-12 after losing at home to Washington last week. This team had some really high hopes this year of going to the CFP and now that is pretty much dead so they are going to struggle to find the motivation in this game. Oregon has their eyes set on the college football playoffs still and they are solely focused on getting to the Pac-12 Championship with their 1 loss and beating Washington in the rematch. Oregon also has a really good defense which will be the toughest defense USC has faced all season. The best way to place a bet here is on Oregon to cover the spread in this game.
USC Oregon Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 11, 2023 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Oregon 42 USC 19.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
USC Trojans: 2-8 ATS in all games. 5-9 ATS in road games. 8-18 ATS against conference opponents. 9-1 OVER in all games. 16-4 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 63. 20-6 OVER against conference opponents.
Oregon Ducks: 7-1 ATS in all games. 19-9 ATS as a favorite. 10-2 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game. 83-51 OVER as a home favorite. 91-60 OVER in home games. 40-24 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 63.
Key Injuries
USC Trojans: M. Lloyd (RB) Prob Sat - Undisclosed. M. Lemon (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Jackson III (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Covington (CB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. Z. Branch (S) out for season - Knee. K. Foreman (DL) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Oregon Ducks: M. Irving (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. A. Boyle (K) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. N. Whittington (RB) out for season - Foot. J. Delgado (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“We didn’t play very well tonight. Biggest thing was the run game. Way too many big plays. Some of our worst ball was on some of the biggest plays of the game. ... “I think our guys are frustrated that we’ve been so, so close and we haven’t played good enough to be able to separate.” - Lincoln Riley after his team’s loss against Washington in their last game.
“We made a lot of different mistakes today. We have to eliminate that and we have to get to the next play and make sure we don’t shoot ourselves in the foot. That happened too much today.” - Dan Lanning after his team’s win against Cal in their last game.
Starting Lineups
USC Trojans
WR Hudson, Kyron
WR Singer, Dorian
WR Williams, Mario
TE McRee, Lake
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Jones, Austin
Oregon Ducks
WR Franklin, Troy
WR Bryant Jr., Gary
WR Johnson, Tez
TE Ferguson, Terrance
QB Nix, Bo
RB Irving, Bucky
Statistical Leaders
USC Trojans
Passing: C. Williams (2958)
Rushing: M. Lloyd (766)
Receiving: T. Washington (833)
Touchdowns: B. Rice (10)
Oregon Ducks
Passing: B. Nix (2723)
Rushing: M. Irving (821)
Receiving: T. Franklin (946)
Touchdowns: T. Franklin (10)
Coaches:
USC Trojans: Lincoln Riley (2nd season)
Oregon Ducks: Dan Lanning (2nd season)