USC Trojans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/14/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Oct 13, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 14, 2023
Venue:  Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN
Where to Watch:  NBC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  USC +2.5, ND -2.5; Over/Under:  60.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  USC +2.5, ND -2.5; Over/Under:  60.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  USC +2.5, ND -2.5; Over/Under:  60.5 points

Season Record

USC Trojans:  6-0 (4-0) (1st place, Pac-12)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  5-2 (0-0) (FBS Independents)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in CFB as he is 81-43 his last 124 CFB Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
USC Trojans:  won their last game at home against the Arizona Wildcats in overtime 43-41.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  lost their last game on the road against the Louisville Cardinals 33-20.


USC Trojans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Preview and Analysis


USC is entering this game with a 6-0 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Arizona 43-41 in OT. Caleb Williams was the starting QB and he completed 14/25 passes for 219 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. MarShawn Lloyd led the team in rushing yards with 86 and 1 TD. Brenden Rice led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jaylin Smith led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jamil Muhammad led the defense in sacks with 2. Jacobe Covington came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
Notre Dame is entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Louisville 33-20. Sam Hartman was the starting QB and he completed 22/38 passes for 254 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jeremiyah Love led the team in rushing yards with 37. Mitchell Evans led the receivers with 71 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. JD Bertrand led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while JD Bertrand and Nana Osafo-Mensah each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


USC vs Notre Dame Prediction

The current betting odds have Notre Dame listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Notre Dame is 5-2 this season with losses to Ohio State and now Louisville in their last game but they are going to be looking to bounce back at home. USC has been having a great season with their 6-0 record overall but they haven't looked that great in their wins since they have been giving up a ton of points all year. Notre Dame's offense has been spotty at times but they can put up a lot of points on bad defense and that is what they are getting here with USC. USC has a terrible defense that is going to give up points in this game but Notre Dame also has a great defense and they are going to make it difficult for this USC offense to score. Caleb Williams also struggled a lot more in their last game against Arizona and this will be the toughest defense he has faced all season so Notre Dame definitely has a big edge on the defensive side of the ball and this will be the game that USC's defense lets them down in. The best way to place a bet here is on Notre Dame to cover the spread in this game. 

USC Notre Dame Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 14, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Notre Dame 31 USC 27.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this USC Trojans Notre Dame Fighting Irish prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


USC Trojans: 6-14 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less. 7-13 ATS after 5 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. 27-12 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 31-22 UNDER as a road underdog. 

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 20-12 ATS in all games. 6-1 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 17-7 ATS after playing 2 straight non-conference games. 31-23 UNDER off a road loss. 30-18 UNDER after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game.

Key Injuries


USC Trojans:  Z. Branch (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. K. Foreman (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Jackson (CB) Ques Sat - Head. R. Brown (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  E. Raridon (TE) Late Oct - Knee. T. Harper (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Salerno (K) out for season - Leg. G. Rubio (DL) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Bauman (TE) out for season - Knee. K. Smith (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Notable Quotes


“You don’t want to put yourself in that hole. But when you’re in it, you can feel sorry for yourself or you can dig yourself out.” - Lincoln Riley after his team’s win against Arizona in their last game. 
 

“We didn’t run the ball well and they did pressure him. Nobody has put the pressure on the quarterback like Louisville. Give them credit, they were stacking the box and saying we refuse to let you run the ball. Then we have to make some plays in the passing game. We didn’t and we have to be sure not to let this happen again.” - Marcus Freeman after his team’s loss against Louisville in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


USC Trojans
WR Hudson, Kyron 
WR Singer, Dorian 
WR Williams, Mario 
TE McRee, Lake 
QB Williams, Caleb 
RB Jones, Austin

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
WR Merriweather, Tobias 
WR Thomas, Jayden 
WR Tyree, Chris 
TE Evans, Mitchell 
QB Hartman, Sam 
RB Estimé, Audric

Statistical Leaders


USC Trojans
Passing: C. Williams (1822)
Rushing: M. Lloyd (519)
Receiving: T. Washington (456)
Touchdowns: B. Rice (7)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Passing: S. Hartman (1712)
Rushing: A. Estime (692)
Receiving: M. Evans (343)
Touchdowns: A. Estime (7)

Coaches:
USC Trojans: Lincoln Riley (2nd season)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Marcus Freeman (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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