by Rod Pearson
Friday, Oct 28, 2022
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 29, 2022
Venue: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ
Where to Watch: PAC-12 Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: USC -15, Arizona +15; Over/Under: 76 points
Bet365: Point Spread: USC -15.5, Arizona +15.5; Over/Under: 76.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: USC -15.5, Arizona +15.5; Over/Under: 76.5 points
Season Record
USC Trojans: 6-1 (4-1) (2nd place, PAC-12)
Arizona Wildcats: 3-4 (1-3) (7th place, PAC-12)
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Recent Form
USC Trojans: lost their last game on the road against the Utah Utes 43-42.
Arizona Wildcats: lost their last game on the road against the Washington Huskies 49-39.
USC Trojans vs Arizona Wildcats Preview and Analysis
USC is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th road game of the season here as they are 2-1 in their road games this year. This will also be their 6th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 4-1. They lost against the Utah Utes in their last game on the road 43-42. Caleb Williams started that game at QB and he completed 25/42 passes for 381 yards and 5 touchdowns. Travis Dye led the team in rushing with 76 yards and 1 TD on 11 rushing attempts. Mario Williams led the team in receiving with 145 yards on 4 receptions while Jordan Addison also had 106 receiving yards and 1 TD on 7 catches. Eric Gentry led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. No one on the defense recorded a sack for them and no one on the defense came away with an interception in that one.
Arizona is entering this game with a 3-4 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th home game of the season as they are 2-2 in their home games this year. This will also be the 5th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 1-3. They lost against the Washington Huskies in their last game on the road 49-39. Jayden de Laura started that game at QB and he completed 25/34 passes for 400 yards and 4 touchdowns. Jonah Coleman led the team in rushing with 53 yards and 1 TD on 14 carries. Tetairoa McMillan led the team in receiving with 132 yards and 2 TDs on 7 receptions. DJ Warnell led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles. No one on the defense recorded a sack for them and no one on the defense came away with an interception in that one.
USC vs Arizona Prediction
The current betting odds have Arizona listed as a 15 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Arizona hasn't won a lot of games this season but they have definitely played better at home and they are a team that can score a lot of points in their games. Their defense isn't that great but they can put up points and this offense will be able to move the ball against USC who hasn't been great on defense either and just gave up 43 points in their last game. USC hasn't played in many road games either, they lost in their last game on the road and only won by 3 points in their road game before that last one. Arizona doesn't have much of a chance to win this game but they can definitely put up enough points to keep this closer or even get a backdoor cover here. The best way to place a bet here is on Arizona to cover the spread in this game.
USC Arizona Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 29, 2022 (7:00 pm ET start time) is USC 41 Arizona 28.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
USC Trojans: 13-4 ATS after allowing 42 points or more last game. 26-17 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 33-21 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 63.
Arizona Wildcats: 7-18 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 70. 51-88 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 6-1 OVER in all games.
Key Injuries
USC Trojans: R. Height (LB) out for season - Shoulder. M. Hasan (QB) Out indefinitely - Achilles. J. Wolfe (TE) Out indefinitely - Foot.
Arizona Wildcats: M. Wiley (RB) Prob Sat - Oblique. R. Luke (RB) Out indefinitely - Leg. W. Plummer (QB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
"Cam made some really nice throws to him and he made some really phenomenal catches. The yards that he had after the catch really, really hurt us." - Lincoln Riley after his team’s loss against Utah in their last game.
“Need to play our absolute best in this game, they’re a top-10 team in the country. They do a lot of things extremely well and we recognize that.” - Jedd Fisch on his team’s upcoming game against USC here.
Starting Lineups
USC Trojans
WR Rice, Brenden
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Williams, Mario
TE McRee, Lake
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Dye, Travis
Arizona Wildcats
WR McMillan, Tetairoa
WR Singer, Dorian
WR Cowing, Jacob
TE McLachlan, Tanner
QB de Laura, Jayden
RB Wiley, Michael
Statistical Leaders
USC Trojans
Passing: C. Williams (1971)
Rushing: T. Dye (647)
Receiving: J. Addison (585)
Touchdowns: J. Addison (7)
Arizona Wildcats
Passing: J. de Laura (2274)
Rushing: M. Wiley (297)
Receiving: J. Cowing (729)
Touchdowns: J. Cowing (7)
Coaches:
USC Trojans: Lincoln Riley (1st season)
Arizona Wildcats: Jedd Fisch (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
