USC Trojans vs Arizona Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/14/2024

Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 14, 2024

Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Where to Watch:  Pac-12 Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  USC +8, Arizona -8; Over/Under:  156.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  USC +8, Arizona -8; Over/Under:  157.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  USC +8.5, Arizona -8.5; Over/Under:  157.5 points

USC Trojans:  14-17 (8-12) (9th place, Pac-12)

Arizona Wildcats:  24-7 (15-5) (1st place, Pac-12)

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USC Trojans:  4-1  last 5

Arizona Wildcats:  4-1  last 5

USC is entering this game with a 15-17 record overall, an 8-12 record in conference games, and they are 3-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Washington Huskies in their last game. Boogie Ellis led the team in points per game in that game with 25 while Kobe Johnson was next on the team with 14. Isaiah Collier led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Kobe Johnson led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 50% from the field, 40.9% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 74.5 PPG against them. USC has an ATS record of 16-16 this season and their O/U record is 21-11.

Arizona is entering this game with a 24-7 record overall, a 15-5 conference record, and they are 2-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the USC Trojans in their last game. Oumar Ballo and Keshad Johnson each led the team in points in that game with 17 while Jaden Bradley was next on the team with 8. Keshad Johnson led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Oumar Ballo led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 38.7% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 68.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 89.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 73.2 PPG against them. Arizona has an ATS record of 20-11 this season and their O/U record is 16-15.

The current betting odds have Arizona listed as an 8 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Arizona has looked great in their games this season with their 24-7 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country and also ranked inside the top 10. They have looked great in the Pac-12 this season with their 15-5 conference record. Meanwhile, USC hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 15-17 record overall and their 8-12 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the Pac-12. They are 3-2 in their games at neutral sites this season while Arizona is only 2-2 in their games, but Arizona has also played against stronger opponents in their non-conference games while also being a lot more consistent throughout the season. USC has been hot in their games lately with their 4-1 record in their last 5 games, but Arizona has been just as hot as they are also 4-1 in their last 5 games. Arizona is going to have some extra motivation here too since that 1 loss in their last 5 games was against USC in their final game of the regular season so expect Arizona to bring their best effort here, especially since they have the rest advantage with USC playing this one on a back-to-back. Arizona will be sure to get their revenge on USC here and this is where the hot streak will stop for the Trojans who have had a terrible season. The best way to place a bet here is on Arizona to cover the spread in this game.

USC Arizona Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, March 14, 2024 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Arizona 94 USC 78.

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USC Trojans: 3-6 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. 22-31 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games. 21-11 OVER in all games. 11-4 OVER when the total is 150 to 159.5. 12-3 OVER after a game where they covered the spread.

Arizona Wildcats: 20-11 ATS in all games. 9-2 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points. 5-1 ATS in conference tournament games. 20-11 OVER after playing a road game. 6-3 OVER off a loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 points or more. 

USC Trojans:  None.

Arizona Wildcats:  None.

“This is a team we thought we’d have.” - Andy Enfield on facing Arizona in this round of the Pac-12 Tournament.

“We knew we were given a gift by SC and we can really learn from this. That’s going to be our focus.” - Tommy Lloyd after his team’s loss against USC in their last game on Saturday.

I. Collier 

B. Ellis 

K. Johnson 

J. Morgan 

D. Rodman

O. Ballo 

K. Boswell 

K. Johnson 

P. Larsson 

C. Love

PPG: B. Ellis (16.6)

APG: I. Collier (4.2)

Reb/G: D. Rodman (5.1)

PPG: C. Love (18.7)

APG: P. Larsson (3.7)

Reb/G: O. Ballo (10)

Coaches:

USC Trojans: Andy Enfield (11th season)

Arizona Wildcats: Tommy Lloyd (3rd season)