by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Thursday, Nov 04, 2021
Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 6, 2021
Venue: Sun Devil Football Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: USC +8.5, ASU -8.5; Over/Under: 60 points
Bet365: Point Spread: USC +8.5, ASU -8.5; Over/Under: 60 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: USC +8.5, ASU -8.5; Over/Under: 59.5 points
Season Record
USC Trojans: 4-4 (4th place, Pac-12 South)
Arizona State Sun Devils: 5-3 (2nd place, Pac-12 South)
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USC Trojans vs Arizona State Sun Devils Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
USC Trojans: won at home on Oct. 30 against the Arizona Wildcats 41-34.
Arizona State Sun Devils: lost at home on Oct. 30 against the Washington State Cougars 34-21.
USC Trojans Analysis
Southern California is coming into this college football game with a 4-4 record overall and they are 2-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 7th conference matchup of the year and they are pretty much out of the title conversation with a 3-3 record in their conference games this season. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game that snapped their 2 game losing streak that they were on. They won their last game against Arizona 41-34 in a game that they took a lead in early in the first half and never gave it back going on to win that game. Kedon Slovis was alright in that game as he completed 14/20 passes for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Jaxson Dart got some snaps at the quarterback position as well and he completed 12/18 passes for 109 yards and 2 touchdowns. Keaontay Ingram had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 186 yards and 1 touchdown on 26 carries. Gary Bryant Jr. led the receivers with 89 yards and 2 touchdowns on 3 receptions while Drake London had 81 yards and 2 touchdowns on 9 receptions. Tahj Washington also played well with 75 yards on 7 receptions. Kana'i Mauga led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Tuli Tuipulotu led the defense in sacks with 2 while no one on the defense was able to come away with an interception in that one. They have scored 250 points in their 8 games this season averaging 31.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 229 points against them allowing 28.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 457.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 392.8 YPG.
Arizona State Sun Devils Analysis
ASU is coming into this game with a 5-3 record overall and they are 4-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 6th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are in a good position right now with a 3-2 record in their conference games this football season. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak after losing their last game against WSU. They lost that game 34-21 in a game that they went down early in and were never able to recover from it trailing the entire time. Jayden Daniels really struggled in that game as he completed 23/35 passes for 228 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Trenton Bourguet also got a few snaps at the quarterback position completing 3/4 passes for 47 yards and 1 touchdown. DeaMonte Trayanum led the team in rushing with 89 yards and 1 touchdown on 19 carries. Ricky Pearsall led the receivers with 83 yards on 9 receptions while LV Bunkley-Shelton and Andre Johnson both caught 1 touchdown pass each. Kejuan Markham led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. No one on the defense recorded a sack in that game while Merlin Robertson came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 242 points in their 8 games this season averaging 30.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 166 points against them allowing 20.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 431.1 YPG while the Sun Devils defense is allowing 333.4 YPG.
USC vs Arizona State Prediction
ASU is coming into this game as an 8.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. ASU has not been playing well in their last few games as they cannot seem to find a win but they have scored exactly 21 points in each of their last 2 games. USC has not been playing any better recently with 2 losses in their last 3 games, both coming by double digits, and their 1 win was only by 7 points over a winless Arizona side. This should be a good bounce back game for ASU to win by a lot and get back on track in their conference games. The best bet to place in this game is on ASU to cover the spread here.
USC Arizona State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 6, 2021 (10:30 pm ET start time) is ASU 45 USC 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
USC Trojans: 181-184 ATS in all games. 37-45 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 35-39 ATS as an underdog. 24-29 ATS as a road underdog. 79-82 ATS in road games.
Arizona State Sun Devils: 171-164 ATS in all games. 41-33 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 94-91 ATS as a favorite. 69-60 ATS as a home favorite. 98-76 ATS in home games. 116-105 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
USC Trojans: M. Trigg (TE) Ques Sat - Leg injury. B. Campbell (HB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. K. Pepe (DL) Ques Sat - Shoulder injury.
Arizona State Sun Devils: R. White (RB) Prob Sat - Undisclosed injury. C. Lucas (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. E. Fields (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
"Seeing a player like him go down, the whole team felt it." - Keaontay Ingram on Drake London going down with a really bad injury in their last game.
"They continued to make first downs, they went on substantial drives, and we couldn't get off the field and it kills you. Defensively, it puts you in a bad way." - Head coach Herm Edwards after their loss to Utah.
Starting Lineups
USC Trojans
WR Ford, Kyle
WR Washington, Tahj
WR Bryant Jr., Gary
TE Epps, Malcolm
TE Krommenhoek, Erik
QB Slovis, Kedon
RB Ingram, Keaontay
Arizona State Sun Devils
WR Johnson, Andre
WR Wilson, Johnny
WR Pearsall, Ricky
TE/FB Curtis Hodges
QB Daniels, Jayden
RB Rachaad White
Statistical Leaders
USC Trojans
Passing: K. Slovis (2022)
Rushing: K. Ingram (761)
Receiving: D. London (1084)
Touchdowns: D. London (7)
Arizona State Sun Devils
Passing: J. Daniels (1734)
Rushing: R. White (477)
Receiving: R. Pearsall (378)
Touchdowns: R. White (9)
Coaches:
USC Trojans: Donte Williams (Interim)
Arizona State Sun Devils: Herm Edwards (4th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
