USC Trojans vs Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/23/2023

Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 23, 2023

Venue:  Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  USC -35, ASU +35; Over/Under:  62 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  USC -35, ASU +35; Over/Under:  62 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  USC -34.5, ASU +34.5; Over/Under:  61.5 points

USC Trojans:  3-0 (1-0) (1st place, Pac-12)

Arizona State Sun Devils:  1-2 (0-0) (12th place, Pac-12)

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USC Trojans:  won their last game at home against the Stanford Cardinal 56-10.

Arizona State Sun Devils:  lost their last game at home against the Fresno State Bulldogs 29-0.

USC is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Stanford 56-10. Caleb Williams was the starting QB and he completed 19/21 passes for 281 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. MarShawn Lloyd led the team in rushing yards with 77 and 1 TD. Brenden Rice led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Jaylin Smith led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Solomon Byrd and Jamil Muhammad each led the defense in sacks with 1. Max Williams came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Arizona State is entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Fresno State 29-0. Jacob Conover was the starting QB and he completed 6/16 passes for 89 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Kyson Brown led the team in rushing yards with 23. Bryce Pierre led the receivers with 35 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Dee Ford led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Ro Torrence and Prince Dorbah each led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have USC listed as a 35 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. USC has looked good in their games with their 3-0 start as that strong offense is picking up right where they left off last year. Their defense has also been a lot better in each game they have played as they are giving up less and less points now. They didn't play last week either and already have a conference win under their belt from their last game so they are going to be ready for this road game. Arizona State hasn't been great in their games this season, they struggled to win a home game against a team from the FCS when they had a big lead in the game and they haven't been great in their last 2 games either, even getting shutout at home by Fresno State in their last game. Now they will be without their starting QB and even their backup QB is banged up so this offense has no chance of putting up points against this stronger USC defense. USC is also going to put up a ton of points in this game that ASU won't be able to keep up with and they will come away with another blowout win here. The best way to place a bet here is on USC to cover the spread in this game. 

USC Arizona State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 23, 2023 (10:30 pm ET start time) is USC 59 ASU 13.

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USC Trojans: 9-5 ATS after 3 straight wins by 21 or more points. 16-8 ATS after scoring 37 points or more in 3 straight games. 20-9 OVER in all games. 17-6 OVER as a favorite. 6-1 OVER off 1 or more consecutive unders.

Arizona State Sun Devils: 1-5 ATS as a home underdog. 1-7 ATS after playing a non-conference game. 1-8 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. 6-1 OVER off 2 consecutive home losses. 13-4 OVER after a loss by 28 or more points. 10-2 OVER after scoring 9 points or less last game.

USC Trojans:  T. Taleni (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. R. Brown (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.

Arizona State Sun Devils:  J. Tyson (WR) Ques Sat - Knee. K. Bourda (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. A. Cooper (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Brooks (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Conyers (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Briggs (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. I. Glass (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Pyne (QB) Ques Sat - Leg. T. Bourguet (QB) Ques Sat - Leg. J. Rashada (QB) Early Nov - Undisclosed. E. Bohle (OL) out for season - Leg. X. Alford (DB) out for season - Eligibility. J. Smith (WR) out for season - Eligibility. M. Warren (DB) Mid Oct - Shoulder.

“That was one of our more complete halves, where guys were firing on all cylinders. All three sides of the ball just surged and got the momentum and kept it. It's fun to see the team really playing there at a high level together for a sustained period.” - Lincoln Riley after his team’s win against Stanford in their last game. 

“I’ve never in my career been involved in a game like that. I literally can’t even explain how that’s even possible. But we’re going to get it fixed. I’m going to get it fixed.” - Kenny Dillingham after his team’s loss against Fresno State in their last game. 

WR Hudson, Kyron 

WR Singer, Dorian 

WR Williams, Mario 

TE McRee, Lake 

QB Williams, Caleb 

RB Jones, Austin 

WR Badger, Elijhah 

WR Guillory, Xavier 

WR Stovall, Melquan 

TE Conyers, Jalin 

QB Bourguet, Trenton 

RB Skattebo, Cameron 

Passing: C. Williams (878)

Rushing: M. Lloyd (195)

Receiving: T. Washington (233)

Touchdowns: T. Washington (3)

Passing: J. Rashada (403)

Rushing: C. Skattebo (148)

Receiving: X. Guillory (140)

Touchdowns: C. Skattebo (2)

Coaches:

USC Trojans: Lincoln Riley (2nd season)

Arizona State Sun Devils: Kenny Dillingham (1st season)