UNLV Rebels vs Nevada Wolf Pack Game Preview and Prediction - 10/29/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, October 29, 2021
Venue:  Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
Where to Watch:  CBS Sports

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UNLV +20, Nevada -20; Over/Under:  58 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  UNLV +20.5, Nevada -20.5; Over/Under:  58 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UNLV +20.5, Nevada -20.5; Over/Under:  58.5 points
 

Season Record

UNLV Rebels:  0-7 (6th place, MW West)
Nevada Wolf Pack:  5-2 (3rd place, MW West)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Ben Burns is on an 11-3 (10*) FOOTBALL RUN! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

 

UNLV Rebels vs Nevada Wolf Pack Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
UNLV Rebels:  lost at home on Oct. 21 against the San Jose State Spartans 27-20.
Nevada Wolf Pack:  lost on the road on Oct. 23 against the Fresno State Bulldogs 34-32.
 
 
 

UNLV Rebels Analysis

UNLV is coming into this game with a 0-7 record overall and they are 0-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 4th conference matchup of the year and they are already in a very bad spot with a 0-3 record in their conference games this season. Their 3 losses have come against the Fresno State Bulldogs, the Utah State Aggies, and against SJSU in their last game. UNLV actually had a lead in that game for the first 3 quarters and were on their way to their first win of the season until they fell apart in the fourth quarter getting outscored 14-0 and blowing that lead losing in the end. Cameron Friel played well in that game as he completed 20/28 passes for 240 yards and 1 touchdown. Charles Williams led the team in rushing with 94 yards and 1 touchdown on 24 carries in that game and was pretty much their entire running game. Kyle Williams had a good day as he led the team in receiving with 117 yards on 7 receptions while Steve Jenkins had 70 yards and 1 TD on 6 receptions. Jacoby Windmon led the defense in that one with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Brennon Scott recorded the only sack in that game for the defense while no one was able to come away with an interception. They have scored 137 points in their 7 games this season averaging 19.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 237 points against them allowing 33.9 PPG. Their offense is averaging 296.7 YPG while their defense is allowing 448.7 YPG.
 
 

Nevada Wolf Pack Analysis

Nevada is coming into this game with a 5-2 record overall and they are 3-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 4th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are in a good spot right now with a 2-1 record in their conference games this season. Their 2 wins came against the Boise State Broncos and the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors while their 1 loss came against Fresno State in their last game. That was a close game that they trailed the entire time but not by much and then made a comeback late in the game but ultimately lost the game on a missed 2-point conversion that would have tied the game sending it to OT. Carson Strong played very well in that game as he completed 49/61 passes for 476 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception. Toa Taua led the team in rushing with 62 yards on 12 carries but they did not really get much of a running game going in that one. Romeo Doubs had a very nice day as he led the team in receiving with 203 yards and 1 touchdown on 19 receptions while Cole Turner also had a nice day with 105 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns on 8 receptions. Even Justin Lockhart had 1 TD and 83 receiving yards on 6 catches. Lawson Hall led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones while Jordan Lee was right behind him with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. No one on the defense was able to record a sack or come away with an interception in that game. They have scored 250 points in their 7 games this season averaging 35.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 175 points against them allowing 25 PPG. Their offense is averaging 459.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 395.3 YPG.
 

 

UNLV vs Nevada Prediction

Nevada is coming into this game as a 20 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Nevada has looked really good in their games and even though they lost their last game to Fresno, they still played well and almost completed their comeback right at the end of that game. They won their 2 other conference games both by double-digits and against much better teams than UNLV. UNLV has been getting better each week though and they have not lost a conference game by more than 8 points of their 3 losses this season. Nevada still trailed the entire game against Fresno and they looked good in their conference wins but did not win either of those by more than 14 points. The best bet to place in this game is on UNLV to cover the spread here as they will make it a much closer game than 20 points.
 
UNLV Nevada Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, October 29, 2021 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nevada 35 UNLV 24.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this UNLV Rebels Nevada Wolf Pack prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
UNLV Rebels: 31-40 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 122-149 ATS in all games. 29-35 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 95-102 ATS as an underdog. 56-58 ATS as a road underdog. 63-73 ATS in road games. 78-98 ATS against conference opponents.
Nevada Wolf Pack: 22-15 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 144-134 ATS in all games. 50-41 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 70-67 ATS as a favorite. 45-31 ATS as a home favorite. 74-54 ATS in home games. 94-83 ATS against conference opponents. 
 

Key Injuries

 
UNLV Rebels:  D. Brumfield (QB) Ques Fri - Knee injury. J. Wilson (RB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed injury. K. Williams (WR) Ques Fri - Hamstring injury.
Nevada Wolf Pack:  T. Williams (DB) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. E. Cooks (WR) out for season - Foot injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
UNLV Rebels: Charles Williams is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is coming off of a good game where he led his team in rushing and found the end zone but was just shy of the 100 yard rushing mark in that game. He will be looking to crack that 100 yard mark in a game they will be looking to win after coming very close in some of their conference games already. Look for him to play well here.
 
Nevada Wolf Pack: Romeo Doubs is one player to watch in this one. He leads his team in receiving yards this season. He is coming off of a very good game where he had over 200 yards receiving and also led the team in receptions in that game finding the end zone as well. He made a big impact in that game and is one of their most talented players so look for him to get the ball a lot in this game as well.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“I think that our guys are down about not making those plays. I know we are. I know we’re crushed, to be candid.” - Marcus Arroyo on his team’s 13th straight loss.
 
 
"We'll definitely adjust practice. We'll have a normal Monday practice, but we'll be a little bit ahead game-planning wise and put in some of our third-down situations. Our Tuesday practice will be a Wednesday practice. We'll be in half pads and won't bang them as much as we do in a normal week. We won't be in full pads in practice this week.” - Jay Norvell after their loss to Fresno State in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
UNLV Rebels
WR Jenkins, Steve 
WR Griffin, Zyell 
WR Williams, Kyle 
TE Zeon III, Shelton 
QB Brumfield, Doug 
RB Williams, Charles 
 
Nevada Wolf Pack
WR Lockhart, Justin 
WR Doubs, Romeo 
WR Stovall, Melquan 
TE Turner, Cole 
QB Strong, Carson 
RB Taua, Toa 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
UNLV Rebels
Passing: C. Friel (859)
Rushing: C. Williams (714)
Receiving: K. Williams (324)
Touchdowns: C. Williams (7)
Sacks: A. Plant Jr. (2)
Tackles: J. Windmon (39)
 
Nevada Wolf Pack
Passing: C. Strong (2466)
Rushing: T. Taua (453)
Receiving: R. Doubs (590)
Touchdowns: C. Turner (6)
Sacks: S. Hammond (4)
Tackles: D. Henley (38)
 
Coaches:
UNLV Rebels: Marcus Arroyo (2nd season) 
Nevada Wolf Pack: Jay Norvell (5th season)
 

Weather Forecast

64 degrees F partly cloudy, 65% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 6 mph wind speeds W.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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