by Rod Pearson
Monday, Dec 02, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, December 6, 2024
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UNLV +4, BSU -4; Over/Under: 58.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UNLV +4, BSU -4; Over/Under: 58.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UNLV +4, BSU -4; Over/Under: 58.5 points
Season Record
UNLV Rebels: 10-2 (6-1) (2nd place, MWC)
Boise State Broncos: 11-1 (7-0) (1st place, MWC)
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Recent Form
UNLV Rebels: won their last game at home against the Nevada Wolf Pack 38-14.
Boise State Broncos: won their last game at home against the Oregon State Beavers 34-18.
UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos Preview and Analysis
UNLV is entering this game with a 10-2 record overall and they have a 6-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 6-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Nevada 38-14. Hajj-Malik Williams was the starting QB and he completed 14/21 passes for 168 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jai'Den Thomas led the team in rushing yards with 135 and 1 TD. Jacob De Jesus led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Jett Elad led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Jett Elad, Mani Powell, Johnathan Baldwin, Alexander Whitmore, Jarvis Ware, and Keith Conley Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Cameron Oliver came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Boise State is entering this game with an 11-1 record overall and they have a 7-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Oregon State 34-18. Maddux Madsen was the starting QB and he completed 17/33 passes for 195 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards with 226 and 1 TD. Cam Camper led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 6 receptions. A'Marion McCoy led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Marco Notarainni and Braxton Fely each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
UNLV vs Boise State Prediction
The current betting odds have Boise State listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Boise State has looked great in their games this season with their 11-1 record overall and their 7-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the MWC with the best record this season. They have looked great in their home games too with their 6-0 home record and their only loss this season was by 3 points on the road against Oregon who finished the regular season undefeated and ranked as the number 1 team in the nation. Meanwhile, UNLV has looked really good in their games this season with their 10-2 record overall and their 6-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Mountain West. UNLV has a good offense that can put up points in their games, but they haven't looked as good in their road games this season with some closer wins lately. They also faced Boise State earlier in the season and that was their only conference loss, losing by 5 points at home. Now UNLV has to go to the blue field in Boise which has been a really tough place to play for teams over the years, and it will be tough for UNLV to stop Ashton Jeanty who is one of the best running backs in the country. Boise State is also playing to secure their spot in the CFP so they won't be taking their foot off the gas with a lead in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Boise State to cover the spread in this game.
UNLV Boise State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, December 6, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Boise State 35 UNLV 28.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
UNLV Rebels: 3-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. 4-9 1H ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 1-6 1H ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 rushing yards/game or more. 11-4 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 7-4 OVER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.
Boise State Broncos: 12-5 ATS in home lined games. 7-3 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 15-7 ATS against conference opponents. 7-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 24-16 OVER in all lined games. 12-6 OVER as a home favorite. 10-5 OVER when the total is between 56.5 and 63.
Key Injuries
UNLV Rebels: None.
Boise State Broncos: T. Keinath (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Teubner (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Gaines (RB) Questionable - Knee. J. Steele (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Marshall (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Anderson (TE) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“There's got to be a vision and an alignment, and when you do those things, success is going to follow. It's not always easy. It's not always perfect. Sometimes it's a long away from the arena when most of the work is done and most of the victories happen. We've been fortunate now that we've won 19 games in two seasons, and our guys are hungry.” - Barry Odom after his team’s win against Nevada in their last game.
"We're proud of what we've done this season, but we're not done yet. We've never won back to back Mountain West championships, and that and the rest of our goals are still ahead of us." - Spencer Danielson after his team’s win against OR State in their last game.
Starting Lineups
UNLV Rebels
WR Cain, Casey
WR White III, Ricky
WR De Jesus, Jacob
TE Ballungay, Kaleo
QB Williams, Hajj-Malik
RB Thomas, Jai'Den
Boise State Broncos
WR Strachan, Prince
WR Camper, Cameron
WR Caples, Latrell
TE Lauter, Matt
QB Madsen, Maddux
RB Jeanty, Ashton
FB Crowe, Tyler
Statistical Leaders
UNLV Rebels
Passing: H. Williams (1735)
Rushing: J. Thomas (833)
Receiving: R. White (1020)
Touchdowns: R. White (11)
Boise State Broncos
Passing: M. Madsen (2556)
Rushing: A. Jeanty (2288)
Receiving: C. Camper (811)
Touchdowns: A. Jeanty (29)
Coaches:
UNLV Rebels: Barry Odom (2nd season)
Boise State Broncos: Spencer Danielson (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
