UMass Minutemen vs Miami-OH RedHawks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/12/2026

Game Time: 11:00 am ET, Thursday, March 12, 2026

Venue:  Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UMass +7.5, Miami-OH -7.5; Over/Under:  164.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UMass +7.5, Miami-OH -7.5; Over/Under:  164.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UMass +7.5, Miami-OH -7.5; Over/Under:  164.5 points

UMass Minutemen:  16-15 (7-11) (8th place, MAC)

Miami-OH RedHawks:  31-0 (18-0) (1st place, MAC)

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UMass Minutemen:  1-4  last 5

Miami-OH RedHawks:  5-0  last 5

UMass is entering this game with a 16-15 record overall, a 7-11 record in conference games, and they are 3-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Ohio Bobcats in their last game. Marcus Banks Jr. led the team in points in that game with 31 while Leonardo Bettiol was next on the team with 17. K'Jei Parker led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Dwayne Wimbley led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 52.6% from the field, 31.8% from 3-point range, and 77.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 80.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 77.5 PPG against them. UMass has an ATS record of 11-19 this season and their O/U record is 19-11.

Miami-Ohio is entering this game with a 31-0 record overall, an 18-0 conference record, and they are 1-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Ohio Bobcats in their last game. Eian Elmer led the team in points in that game with 32 while Trey Perry was next on the team with 21. Peter Suder and Luke Skaljac each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Eian Elmer led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 50.7% from the field, 42.3% from 3-point range, and 75.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 90.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 74.9 PPG against them. Miami-Ohio has an ATS record of 19-9 this season and their O/U record is 18-10.

The current betting odds have UMass listed as a 7.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UMass hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 16-15 record overall and their 7-11 conference record which has them right in the middle of the MAC. They have been good in their neutral site games though with their 3-2 record in those this year. Meanwhile, Miami-OH has looked great in their games this season with their 31-0 record overall and their 18-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the MAC. They are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season. Miami-OH has had a great season as they are ranked inside the top 25 and they are the only undefeated team left in the nation. They ended up completing the undefeated regular season with a win over Ohio in their last one, but it definitely wasn't easy for them. They are off a 110-108 win over Ohio in OT and they have had a few close calls lately with a lot of their games going down to the wire. They look like a team that has been running out of gas lately and they might have done enough in the regular season to earn a spot in the NCAA Tournament, but that undefeated record is going to give them a large target on their back here. UMass hasn't been a bad team this season either and they played Miami-OH really tough, so they are going to throw everything they have at this game as they need to win this tournament. They have looked terrible lately as they are 1-4 in their last 5 games, but they ended the regular season with a win over Ohio and they are going to fight to win this game. Look for UMass to keep this one close with the way Miami-OH has been playing with fire lately. The best way to place a bet here is on UMass to cover the spread in this game. 

UMass Miami-OH Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, March 12, 2026 (11:00 am ET start time) is Miami-OH 73 UMass 69.

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UMass Minutemen: 3-7 ATS in all tournament games. 3-6 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 2-6 ATS after scoring 85 points or more. 28-17 OVER after playing a home game. 30-15 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more.

Miami-OH RedHawks: 34-20 ATS as a favorite. 20-11 ATS after scoring 85 points or more. 9-3 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 23-15 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins. 8-4 OVER after playing a road game.

UMass Minutemen:  None.

Miami-OH RedHawks:  E. Ipsaro (G) Out - Knee.

“I don’t care what happens this week for them. Those guys belong in the Tournament.” - Frank Martin on his team entering the MAC Tournament.

“We want to leave no doubt by winning. We’ll figure out Cleveland from there moving forward. Our goal is not to win 31 games. Our goal is to advance to the second round of the NCAA Tournament. That’s where anything can happen.” - Travis Steele on his team entering the MAC Tournament.

M. Banks 

L. Bettiol 

D. Carbuccia 

D. Hankins-Sanford 

J. Ndjigue

B. Byers 

E. Elmer 

L. Skaljac 

P. Suder 

A. Woolfolk

PPG: Leonardo Bettiol (17.8)

APG: Danny Carbuccia (6.3)

Reb/G: Leonardo Bettiol (7.9)

PPG: Peter Suder (14.8)

APG: Luke Skaljac (4.7)

Reb/G: Eian Elmer (6.1)

Coaches:

UMass Minutemen: Frank Martin (4th season)

Miami-OH RedHawks: Travis Steele (4th season)