The Main Event
In March's final UFC event, down in Seattle, Joe Pyfer was able to get the win against former two-time champ Israel Adesanya. This weekend, the UFC heads back to Las Vegas for UFC Fight Night on April 4th. Renato Moicano (20-7-1 -- Brazil) will take on Chris 'The Problem' Duncan (15-2-0 -- Scotland) in the Main Event.
Renato Moicano's had a bit of a rocky career so far, fighting some of the best to ever do it and even getting a last-minute fill in title shot against Islam Makhachev back in January of last year. Since that fight, Moicano lost to Beneil Dariush and hasn't fought since that fight. He's great on the ground. But, he's definitely not perfect and leaves a decent amount of openings for his opponents to exploit like each of the last two have done.
Chris Duncan is the -200 favorite in this Main Event and he's been stellar. On a four-fight win streak, the fighter out of the UK has won three of those four fights by submission and twice inside the first round. Because of his strong grappling too, he's maybe a fighter that could look to take this fight to the ground himself, even with Moicano's BJJ at a very high level too.
The total of this fight is set to 2.5 rounds, favoring the UNDER slightly. That means that an exciting fight should be taken place here in the final fight this weekend at the Apex. Both fighters want to win this fight badly, and the momentum that the winner would have would be extraordinary. We like this fight to finish early as well.
The Verdict -- In the end, we're likely to see this fight feature both fighters try striking on the feet at first. But, as the rounds go on, the fight could definitely take place on the ground where the grappling will be the key component. Duncan is our pick as we like him in the standup much more to land the takedowns that he needs in the end. Don't expect this to go the distance either the UNDER could be in play.
The Co Main Event
Another Women's fight gets the Co-Main event at this weekend's UFC Fight Night. Two Brazilian fighters will go head-to-head in what should be a war. Virna Jandiroba (22-4-0 -- Brazil) takes on Tabitha Ricci (12-3 -- Brazil.)
Jandiroba is a submission specialist, with 14 of her 22 wins coming via. submission. She's finished her fighters in 15 of her fights throughout her career and has never been finished before inside the distance. We think that this could be a challenging fight. But, she's not likely to get finished in this one either.
Tabitha Ricci has been going to decisions in the majority of her fights so far and although she's got some knockout power which she showcased against Amanda Ribas last time out, she's probably going to look to outwork Jandiroba over the course of the full 15 minutes. That's the best way she's going to be able to win this fight in our opinion.
In this one, the total is also set to 2.5, but heavily favoring the OVER. That's expected though as neither fighter is likely to give the other one the edge with poor defense. Jandiroba will probably have more success on the canvas. But, Ricci might just be the better stand-up fighter.
The Verdict -- Considering the line and how it's quite even, Ricci even as a slight favorite, this fight To Go To Decision might just be the best pick of the bunch even despite the heavy juice for odds. But, if you wanted to take a winner, Ricci will have more success as the fight goes on and we expect her to ultimately get it done. Go with Ricci.