UCLA Bruins vs Utah Utes Picks Spread and Trends to Watch - 10/30/2021

by James Q

UCLA Bruins vs UTAH Utes Picks Spread and Trends to Watch - 10/30/2021

 
Game Time: 10:00 ET, Saturday, October 30th, 2021
Venue: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah
Where to Watch: ESPN
 
 

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings Sportsbook:  Spread: Utah -6.5; Over/Under:  60.5 points
Circa:  Spread: Utah -6; Over/Under:  60.5 points
VegasInsider:  Spread:  Utah -6.5; Over/Under: 60.5 points
 

Season Record

UCLA: 3-2 conf, 5-3 overall (Pac-12)
Utah: 3-1 conf, 4-3 overall (Pac-12)

This is a matchup of Pac-12 conference opponents that know each other well.  They prepare for each other over years, not week to week. UCLA players get to live in perfect weather surrounded by an expensive, congested city.  Utah players get to live in cold weather surrounded by pretty scenery and a lifeless, soulless city.  Utah is the host, UCLA are the underdogs.  As conference games go this is what the regular season is all about.

 
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UCLA vs Utah Preview and Analysis

RECENT FORM
At 5-3 UCLA is running the risk of missing out of a Pac-12 championship game.  They will need to turn on the jets against the Utes or start preparing for next season.  They have had highs and lows this year.  The Highs is they beat Hawaii 44-10, LSU Tigers 38-27, Stanford Cardinal 35-24, Arizona Wildcats 34-16, Washington Huskies 24-17.  The lows have been the beatings by the Fresno State Bulldogs 40-37, Arizona State Sun Devils 42-23, and the Oregon Ducks 34-31.  The brightest spot was beating LSU… they will need more of those.
 
At 4-3 Utah is 1 game behind UCLA in the playing schedule.  They could for all intents and purposes be tied.  Utah has 4 wins against Weber State 40-17, the Washington State Cougars 24-13, the USC Trojans 42-26, and the Arizona State Sun Devils 35-21.  They have lost to BYU 26-17, San Diego State Aztecs 33-31 in overtime, and the Oregon State Beavers.  They are favored for absolutely no reason that can be pointed to.  The two best wins on this schedule don’t match up with UCLA’s two best wins. Yes, head to head matchups decide any debate like this, but they don’t let you bet afterwards.

 

Offensive Analysis

UCLA is ranked 58th in the FBS on offense.  They have scored 33 touchdowns on 416.1 ypg. 

Utah is ranked 63rd in the FBS on offense.  They have scored 27 touchdowns on 409 ypg… but before you ingest that info… Utah has played one less game.  It is only fewer points scored if you believe Utah would have scored less than six touchdowns against Hawaii.

Defensive Analysis

Utah is ranked 54th in defense in the FBS having allowed 22 touchdowns on 361.4 yards per game.

UCLA is ranked 71st in defense in the FBS having allowed 25 touchdowns on 385.6 yards per game.

UCLA vs Utah Prediction

Our prediction for Saturday, October 30th is…  UCLA 35 - Utah 22

These teams are separated by really very little.  Utah is ranked higher on defense, UCLA is ranked slightly higher on offense.  UCLA has played a slightly harder schedule but only by a fraction.  The difference is a little something called raw number differential.


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NCAAF Betting Trends

UCLA is 8-4 ATS in road games the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 5-1 ATS when then the total is between 56.5 and 63 the last 3 seasons.
Utah is 13-6 ATS against conference opponents the last 3 seasons.
Utah is 13-4 ATS after playing a conference game the last 3 seasons.



Key Injuries

UCLA: QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson (shoulder) Quest ** DB Cameron Johnson will miss first half because of an ejection during last game ** WR Ethan Fernea (hand) Quest

Utah: WR Solomon Enis (undisclosed) Quest ** S Cole Bishop (undisclosed) Quest ** LS Keegan Margraf (ACL) Out ** DT Viane Moala (undisclosed) Out ** DB Jatravis Broughton (undisclosed) Out ** 


Starting Lineups

UCLA : QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson, RB Zach Charbonnet, TE Greg Dulcich, WR Chase Cota, WR Kam Brown, WR Kyle Philips, LT Sean Ryan, LG Paul Grattan Jr, C Duke Clemens, RG Jon Gaines II, RT Alec Anderson

Utah: QB Cameron Rising, RB Micah Bernard, TE Brant Kuithe, TE Cole Fotheringham, WR Theo Howard, WR Solomon Enis, LT Jaren Klump, LG Keaton Bills, C Nick Ford, RG Sataoa Laumea, RT Braeden Daniels


Coaches

UCLA:  Chip Kelly, the mad genius.  He flamed out in pro-football but is a college offensive genius.  He is building something great…. Just ask anybody.

Utah: Kyle Whittingham has been the head coach of Utah since 2005.  He makes 4.1 million a year.  It’s good work if you can get it and he deserves it… he worked his way up through the UTah system starting as a line coach in 1995.  Get em coach.

 

Weather Forecast

Partly Cloudy.  Humidity 67%. 61* for the high, by game time it will drop ten degrees.  Wind 7 mph. 



James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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