UCF Knights vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/09/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Sep 05, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 9, 2023
Venue:  Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UCF -3.5, BSU +3.5; Over/Under:  57.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  UCF -3.5, BSU +3.5; Over/Under:  57.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UCF -3.5, BSU +3.5; Over/Under:  57.5 points

Season Record

UCF Knights:  1-0 (0-0) (3rd place, Big 12)
Boise State Broncos:  0-1 (0-0) (9th place, MWC)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Amedeus Mastrangelo is on a HOT STREAK in CFB coming off a MASSIVE 9-2 CFB WEEKEND! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
UCF Knights:  won their last game at home against the Kent State Golden Flashes 56-6.
Boise State Broncos:  lost their last game on the road against the Washington Huskies 56-19.


UCF Knights vs Boise State Broncos Preview and Analysis


Central Florida is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Kent State 56-6. John Rhys Plumlee was the starting QB and he completed 22/30 passes for 281 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Johnny Richardson led the team in rushing yards with 100. Xavier Townsend led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Hunter Lee led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Malachi Lawrence and Ricky Barber each led the defense in sacks with 1. DeJordan Mask came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
Boise State is entering this game with a 0-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 0-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Washington 56-19. Taylen Green was the starting QB and he completed 19/39 passes for 244 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. George Holani led the team in rushing yards with 51. Ashton Jeanty led the receivers with 109 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Alexander Teubner led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Andrew Simpson led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


UCF vs Boise State Prediction

The current betting odds have Boise State listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Boise State got rolled by Washington in their 1st game of the season but now they are back at home where they have been a much better team over the years and rarely lose games there. Boise State couldn't handle Washington on the road but UCF is no Washington and Boise State will have a much easier time with them being at home here since they are still a great team that has made improvements this season, and now they are going to be hungry for their 1st win. UCF looked really good in their 1st game of the season but they also rolled a Kent State team that was raided in the transfer portal and didn't have much talent left for this season. Boise State has a really good defense and they aren't going to let UCF move up the field so easily in this game. Boise State has the better defense and their offense will find ways to put points on the board here as they pull off an upset win over UCF at home. The best way to place a bet here is on Boise State to cover the spread in this game.

UCF Boise State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 9, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is BSU 22 UCF 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this UCF Knights Boise State Broncos prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


UCF Knights: 3-10 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 1-6 ATS after a win by 21 or more points. 19-8 UNDER after a win by 35 or more points. 21-5 UNDER after scoring 50 points or more last game.

Boise State Broncos: 33-18 ATS as an underdog. 12-3 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points. 15-7 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 6-2 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs.

Key Injuries


UCF Knights:  J. Davis (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.

Boise State Broncos:  A. Bolt (WR) Ques Sat - Leg. J. Dubar (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Randolph (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. L. Caples (WR) out for season - Leg.

Notable Quotes


“I think it’s week in and week out, just your program being more visible. Of course, I’m always thinking recruiting and that’s what [the] top players want. They want the ability to play on the biggest stages and if they play well to be the talk of college football for a weekend and help their brands and everything with that. So, that’s the big thing for us.” - Gus Malzahn on UCF joining the Big 12 this season.


“We were throwing the ball more, but was excited to see how Ashton not only ran the ball, how George ran the ball, and ... to be able to see what they’re able to do out of the backfield receiving the ball.” - Andy Avalos after his team’s loss against Washington in their last game.


Starting Lineups


UCF Knights
WR Baker, Javon 
WR Hudson, Kobe 
WR Townsend, Xavier 
TE Holler, Alec 
QB Plumlee, John Rhys 
RB Harvey, RJ 

Boise State Broncos
WR McAlister, Eric 
WR Bowens, Billy  
WR Cobbs, Stefan  
TE Smith, Riley 
QB Green, Taylen 
RB Holani, George

Statistical Leaders


UCF Knights
Passing: J. Plumlee (281)
Rushing: J. Richardson (100)
Receiving: X. Townsend (81)
Touchdowns: R. Harvey (2)

Boise State Broncos
Passing: T. Green (244)
Rushing: G. Holani (51)
Receiving: A. Jeanty (109)
Touchdowns: A. Jeanty (2)

Coaches:
UCF Knights: Gus Malzahn (3rd season)
Boise State Broncos: Andy Avalos (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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