UC Davis Aggies vs UC San Diego Tritons Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/12/2026

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 12, 2026

Venue:  UCSD Triton Arena, La Jolla, CA 

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UC Davis +5.5, UC San Diego -5.5; Over/Under:  149.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UC Davis +5.5, UC San Diego -5.5; Over/Under:  149.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UC Davis +5.5, UC San Diego -5.5; Over/Under:  149.5 points

UC Davis Aggies:  15-9 (8-5) (4th place, Big West)

UC San Diego Tritons:  16-9 (6-7) (7th place, Big West)

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UC Davis Aggies:  4-1  last 5

UC San Diego Tritons:  1-4  last 5

UC Davis is entering this game with a 15-9 record overall, an 8-5 record in conference games, and they are 4-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Cal Poly Mustangs in their last game. Marcus Wilson led the team in points in that game with 24 while Connor Sevilla was next on the team with 19. Brayden Fagbemi led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Brayden Fagbemi led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 36.1% from the field, 27.6% from 3-point range, and 88.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 75.4 PPG against them. UC Davis has an ATS record of 13-10 this season and their O/U record is 13-10.

UC San Diego is entering this game with a 16-9 record overall, a 6-7 conference record, and they are 6-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors in their last game. Tom Beattie led the team in points in that game with 14 while Hudson Mayes was next on the team with 12. Tom Beattie led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Hudson Mayes led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 43.1% from the field, 28% from 3-point range, and 55.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.2 PPG against them. UC San Diego has an ATS record of 12-11 this season and their O/U record is 11-12.

The current betting odds have UC Davis listed as a 5.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UC Davis has looked good in their games this season with their 15-9 record overall and their 8-5 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big West. They haven't been a great road team though with their 4-6 road record this year. Meanwhile, UC San Diego has looked good in their games this season with their 16-9 record overall, but their 6-7 conference record has them in the bottom half of the Big West. They haven't looked great on their home court either with their 6-5 home record this season. UC San Diego hasn't looked great in their games lately either. They are off a loss to Hawaii in their last one and they are 1-4 in their last 5 games as they have been struggling more with conference opponents. UC Davis is off a win over Cal Poly in their last one and they are 4-1 in their last 5 games. They have been rolling in their games lately and they are entering this one with some momentum on their side from 3 wins in a row now. UC Davis has looked a lot better lately as they are getting into a groove now and they can take advantage of this UC San Diego team that has fallen into a big slump lately. Even when UC San Diego has been winning in the conference, they haven't been blowing many teams out, so look for UC Davis to stay competitive in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on UC Davis to cover the spread in this game. 

UC Davis UC San Diego Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, February 12, 2026 (10:00 pm ET start time) is UCSD 71 UC Davis 69.

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UC Davis Aggies: 20-12 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 10-4 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 19-9 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 18-11 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 14-7 UNDER versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more with a defense of 42% or less.

UC San Diego Tritons: 3-6 ATS in all home games. 3-6 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 2-5 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 7-3 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 9-5 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 16 assists/game or more.

UC Davis Aggies:  None.

UC San Diego Tritons:  None.

“I always believe that good teams find different ways to win games. Our defense kept us in until we could get a little run offensively.” - Jim Les after his team’s win against Cal Poly in their last game. 

“He's an emotional player in general. He’s really a leader for our team. We love having him, and I thought he handled himself really well. He competed out there, he didn't let negative plays affect him. And I thought overall, the atmosphere was great.” - Clint Allard on Beattle after his team’s loss against Hawaii in their last game. 

I. Chappell 

N. Cooper 

N. Rocak 

C. Sevilla 

M. Wilson

L. Beath 

T. Beattie 

A. Burke 

B. Dengdit 

E. Prospere

PPG: Connor Sevilla (13.8)

APG: Brayden Fagbemi (4.3)

Reb/G: Niko Rocak (5)

PPG: Leo Beath (13.8)

APG: Emanuel Prospere II (3.5)

Reb/G: Hudson Mayes (5.3)

Coaches:

UC Davis Aggies: Jim Les (15th season)

UC San Diego Tritons: Clint Allard (1st season)