by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Wednesday, Nov 17, 2021
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 20, 2021
Venue: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UTSA -4.5, UAB +4.5; Over/Under: 54 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UTSA -5, UAB +5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UTSA -4.5, UAB +4.5; Over/Under: 53 points
Season Record
UAB Blazers: 7-3 (2nd place, C-USA West)
UTSA Roadrunners: 10-0 (1st place, C-USA West)
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UAB Blazers vs UTSA Roadrunners Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
UAB Blazers: won on the road on Nov. 13 against the Marshall Thundering Herd 21-14.
UTSA Roadrunners: won at home on Nov. 13 against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles 27-17.
UAB Blazers Analysis
UAB is coming into this game with a 7-3 record overall and they are 4-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 7th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 5-1 in their conference games this season. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Dylan Hopkins was alright in their last game as he completed 13/18 passes for 250 yards. DeWayne McBride had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 108 yards and 2 touchdowns on 25 carries while Hopkins also ran in 1 TD on the ground himself. Gerrit Prince had a nice day as he led the receivers with 100 yards on 5 receptions while Trea Shropshire was right behind him with 100 yards on 2 receptions. Grayson Cash led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Kyle Harrell and Tyree Turner both recorded the only sacks in that game with 1 each while Cash was the only one on the defense to come away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 280 points in their 10 games this season averaging 28 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 215 points against them allowing 21.5 PPG. Their offense is averaging 381.2 YPG while their defense is allowing 320.9 YPG.
UTSA Roadrunners Analysis
UTSA is coming into this game with a 10-0 record overall and they are 5-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 7th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently leading the way with a 6-0 record in their conference games this season. They have not had a single loss all season and are coming into this one on a 10 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Frank Harris played alright in their last game but he also struggled at times as he completed 17/30 passes for 227 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Sincere McCormick led the team in rushing with 90 yards and 1 touchdown on 19 carries. Joshua Cephus had a nice day as he led the receivers with 106 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 receptions while Zakhari Franklin had 64 yards on 3 receptions. Leroy Watson caught the other touchdown pass for them in that one. Rashad Wisdom led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Jaylon Haynes and Corey Mayfield Jr. both recorded the only sacks in that game with 1 each while Antonio Parks came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 386 points in their 10 games this season averaging 38.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 190 points against them allowing 19 PPG. Their offense is averaging 446.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 322.7 YPG.
UAB vs UTSA Prediction
UAB is coming into this game as a 4.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UAB has been waiting for this game all season and they have extra motivation to get up for this game as they could be the team to hand UTSA their first loss of the season. This game is very important as it could end up deciding who goes to the title game in this division. UTSA did not play well in their last game, they only got by Southern Miss by 10 points and they were even trailing for most of the first half in that game. UAB will be ready for this game and they are going to play hard against them on their home field. The best bet to place in this game is on UAB to cover the spread here as they have a chance of pulling off the upset and winning this game straight up on the moneyline.
UAB UTSA Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 20, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is UAB 27 UTSA 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
UAB Blazers: 31-20 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 128-117 ATS in all games. 81-60 ATS as an underdog. 52-47 ATS as a road underdog. 80-74 ATS against conference opponents.
UTSA Roadrunners: 50-62 O/U in all games. 18-31 O/U when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 17-30 O/U as a favorite. 11-21 O/U as a home favorite. 24-30 O/U in home games. 33-42 O/U against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
UAB Blazers: None.
UTSA Roadrunners: B. Brady (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
“This game has always been on our radar and now it is finally here. They are undefeated, unbeaten and we know what we have ahead of us and we are ready for it. We’ve been saying every week is a championship week and we have another one this week so we will be ready to go.” - Grayson Cash on the mentality of the players ahead of this game against UTSA.
"That's the only way you win championships. I've been blessed to win a few. Not once did we ever gone through and look clean on offense every one of those game. Your defense has to get it down and they got it done tonight." - Jeff Traylor on his team’s win against USM in their last game.
Starting Lineups
UAB Blazers
WR Rudolph, Samario
WR Shropshire, Trea
WR Davis, Ryan
TE Pittman, Hayden
QB Hopkins, Dylan
RB Brown Jr., Jermaine
UTSA Roadrunners
WR De'Corian Clark
WR Zakhari Franklin
WR Joshua Cephus
TE Watson, Leroy
QB Harris, Frank
RB McCormick, Sincere
Statistical Leaders
UAB Blazers
Passing: D. Hopkins (1723)
Rushing: D. McBride (942)
Receiving: G. Prince (571)
Touchdowns: D. McBride (10)
UTSA Roadrunners
Passing: F. Harris (2306)
Rushing: S. McCormick (1150)
Receiving: Z. Franklin (750)
Touchdowns: S. McCormick (11)
Coaches:
UAB Blazers: Bill Clark (6th season)
UTSA Roadrunners: Jeff Traylor (2nd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
