by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 07, 2023
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 11, 2023
Venue: Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Tulsa +23, Tulane -23; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Tulsa +23, Tulane -23; Over/Under: 53.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Tulsa +22.5, Tulane -22.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Season Record
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: 3-6 (1-4) (12th place, AAC)
Tulane Green Wave: 8-1 (5-0) (1st place, AAC)
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Recent Form
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: lost their last game at home against the Charlotte 49ers in overtime 33-26.
Tulane Green Wave: won their last game on the road against the East Carolina Pirates 13-10.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Tulane Green Wave Preview and Analysis
Tulsa is entering this game with a 3-6 record overall and they have a 1-4 record in their conference games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Charlotte 33-26 in OT. Cardell Williams was the starting QB and he completed 6/11 passes for 61 passing yards before leaving injured and getting replaced by Kirk Francis who completed 6/16 passes for 74 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Anthony Watkins led the team in rushing yards with 146 and 1 TD. Kamdyn Benjamin led the receivers with 46 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Dayne Hodge led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Ben Kopenski led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Tulane is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against East Carolina 13-10. Michael Pratt was the starting QB and he completed 16/25 passes for 213 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Makhi Hughes led the team in rushing yards with 105. Lawrence Keys led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Jesus Machado led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jared Small led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Tulsa vs Tulane Prediction
The current betting odds have Tulane listed as a 23 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tulane is 8-1 this season with their only loss coming to Ole Miss in a game where they were missing their starting QB. They have looked really good all season and are in a fight for 1st place in the AAC with their 5-0 conference record. Meanwhile, Tulsa has been the complete opposite this season with their 3-6 record overall and their 1-4 conference record. They have also struggled more in their road games with their 1-3 road record while Tulane is 4-1 at home. Tulane was one of the best group of 5 teams last year and they have continued that into this season with a really good team ranked inside the top 25. Tulane has a much better offense than Tulsa does and they are going to put up a ton of points in this game at home, but Tulane also has a really good defense so Tulsa's offense is going to struggle a lot here. The best way to place a bet here is on Tulane to cover the spread in this game.
Tulsa Tulane Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 11, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Tulane 38 Tulsa 3.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: 8-2 ATS as a road underdog. 13-6 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite. 10-5 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 24-17 UNDER off a home loss.
Tulane Green Wave: 2-11 ATS off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less. 19-29 ATS off a road win. 9-16 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 or less points. 7-2 UNDER in all games. 11-6 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 9-1 UNDER after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game.
Key Injuries
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: C. Williams (QB) Ques Sat - Shoulder. T. Gary (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Shoulders (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot.
Tulane Green Wave: A. Friloux (DL) day-to-day - Undisclosed. P. Pines (OL) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Platt Jr. (LB) out for season - Achilles.
Notable Quotes
“I always look at things like, ‘What can I do better?’ It’s not necessarily practicing longer or harder. Are we practicing properly? I want to build first for this group of seniors. They chose to stay. I’ve embraced them and I think they embraced us. Is there some frustration and negativity? Yeah, because nobody likes (losing).” - Kevin Wilson after his team’s loss against Charlotte in their last game.
“I thought we tackled great. I thought (the defensive coaches) had a tremendous game plan, and the guys executed it. ... There was probably seven, eight, nine guys that had really nice plays. Just a great overall defensive effort, without question.” - Willie Fritz after his team’s win against ECU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
WR Jones, Malachai
WR Williams, Devan
WR Benjamin, Kamdyn
TE Hall, Ethan
QB Braxton, Braylon
RB Watkins, Anthony
Tulane Green Wave
WR Keys III, Lawrence
WR Brazzell II, Chris
WR Jackson, Jha'Quan
TE Bauman, Alex
QB Pratt, Michael
RB Hughes, Makhi
Statistical Leaders
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Passing: C. Williams (1149)
Rushing: A. Watkins (592)
Receiving: D. Williams (399)
Touchdowns: M. Shoulders (5)
Tulane Green Wave
Passing: M. Pratt (1597)
Rushing: M. Hughes (877)
Receiving: L. Keys lll (593)
Touchdowns: L. Keys lll (7)
Coaches:
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: Kevin Wilson (1st season)
Tulane Green Wave: Willie Fritz (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
