by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Thursday, Nov 04, 2021
Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 6, 2021
Venue: Bounce House, Orlando, FL
Where to Watch: ESPNU
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Tulane +12.5, UCF -12.5; Over/Under: 59 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Tulane +13, UCF -13; Over/Under: 59.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Tulane +12.5, UCF -12.5; Over/Under: 59.5 points
Season Record
Tulane Green Wave: 1-7 (11th place, AAC)
Central Florida Knights: 5-3 (4th place, AAC)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Ben Burns is on a RUN of 29-12 L41 (10*) PLAYS! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Tulane Green Wave vs Central Florida Knights Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Tulane Green Wave: lost at home on Oct. 30 against the Cincinnati Bearcats 31-12.
Central Florida Knights: won on the road on Oct. 30 against the Temple Owls 49-7.
Tulane Green Wave Analysis
Tulane is coming into this game with a 1-7 record overall and they are 0-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 5th conference matchup of the year and they are out of the title conversation with a 0-4 record in their conference games this season. They only have 1 win on the season and have lost their last 6 straight games since then, coming into this one on that 6 game losing streak. They lost their last game to Cincinnati in a game that was close in the first half but then Cincinnati broke the game open in the second half, not even allowing Tulane to score another point in that game. Kai Horton played a very bad game in that one as he completed 7/16 passes for 79 yards and 2 interceptions. Tyjae Spears had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 106 yards and 1 touchdown on 19 carries while Cameron Carroll had 64 yards on 10 carries. Jha'Quan Jackson led the receivers with 34 yards on 3 receptions in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Larry Brooks led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles. Marvin Moody, Darius Hodges, and Nick Anderson all recorded 1 sack each in that game while Macon Clark came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 235 points in their 8 games this season averaging 29.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 327 points against them allowing 40.9 PPG. Their offense is averaging 387.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 476.8 YPG.
Central Florida Knights Analysis
The UCF Knights are coming into this game with a 5-3 record overall and they are 4-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 6th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are in an alright spot with a 3-2 record in their conference games this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They won their last game 49-7 against Temple in a game that they had complete control of from start to finish. Mikey Keene played a good game in that one as he completed 15/21 passes for 229 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception. Isaiah Bowser led the team in rushing with 89 yards and 1 touchdown on 19 carries while Johnny Richardson ran in the other touchdown on the ground. Alec Holler led the receivers in that one with 87 yards and 2 touchdowns on 4 receptions while Ryan O'Keefe had 72 yards and 2 touchdowns on 6 receptions. Brandon Johnson caught the other TD pass in that game for them. Jon Powell led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones while Bryson Armstrong was right behind with 6 solo tackles. Big Kat Bryant led the defense in sacks with 1.5 in that game while no one on the defense was able to come away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 278 points in their 8 games this season averaging 34.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 207 points against them allowing 25.9 PPG. Their offense is averaging 421.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 362.4 YPG.
Tulane vs Central Florida Prediction
UCF is coming into this game as a 13 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UCF has looked much better in their last 2 games played. They won both of those games by more than 17 points each and their offense has been moving the ball well. Their offense has always been good over the years but their defense is starting to play well as well. They have only allowed 7 points scored against them in each of their last 2 games. Tulane has been awful all season long. They kept their last game close in the first half against Cincinnati but even then, they got to their 12 points in that game just by kicking field goals. Playing on the road in UCF is very tough with the crowd and Tulane is going to struggle even more in this game because of it. The best bet to place in this game is on UCF to cover the spread here as it should be a blowout win for them.
Tulane Central Florida Prediction: Our free NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 6, 2021 (4:00 pm ET start time) is UCF 41 Tulane 9.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Tulane Green Wave Central Florida Knights prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
NCAAF Betting Trends
Tulane Green Wave: 40-55 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 158-174 ATS in all games. 19-27 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 103-137 ATS as an underdog. 64-82 ATS as a road underdog. 80-93 ATS in road games. 92-107 ATS against conference opponents.
Central Florida Knights: 142-130 ATS in all games. 22-11 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 87-78 ATS as a favorite. 55-40 ATS as a home favorite. 69-57 ATS in home games. 87-81 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Tulane Green Wave: M. Jones (WR) out for season - Knee injury.
Central Florida Knights: D. Marks (WR) Out indefinitely - Leg injury. J. Robinson (WR) Out indefinitely - Leg injury. K. Davis (DL) out for season - Knee injury. D. Gabriel (QB) Out indefinitely - Collarbone injury. R. Harvey (RB) out for season - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
"Spears is a good back; he's tough and has good speed." - Willie Fritz on Tyjae Spears.
“I’ve played UGA and Bama every year. I know exactly what it looks like. They’re right there. They’re a team that can win the whole thing." - Gus Malzahn on Cincinnati being in their conference.
Starting Lineups
Tulane Green Wave
WR Duece Watts
WR Jaetavian Toles
WR Jackson, Jha'Quan
TE Tyrick James
QB Michael Pratt
RB Carroll, Cameron
SB Booker, Ygenio
Central Florida Knights
WR Johnson, Brandon
WR Jaylon Robinson
WR Ryan O'Keefe
TE Hescock, Jake
QB Keene, Mikey
RB Bowser, Isaiah
Statistical Leaders
Tulane Green Wave
Passing: M. Pratt (1607)
Rushing: C. Carroll (416)
Receiving: T. James (358)
Touchdowns: M. Pratt (4)
Central Florida Knights
Passing: M. Keene (860)
Rushing: I. Bowser (495)
Receiving: R. O'Keefe (488)
Touchdowns: B. Johnson 8)
Coaches:
Tulane Green Wave: Willie Fritz (6th season)
Central Florida Knights: Gus Malzahn (1st season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
