Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Friday, December 16, 2022
Venue: Exploria Stadium, Orlando, FL
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Troy -1.5, UTSA +1.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Troy -1.5, UTSA +1.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Troy -1.5, UTSA +1.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Troy Trojans: 11-2 (7-1) (1st place, Sun Belt West)
UTSA Roadrunners: 11-2 (8-0) (1st place, C-USA)
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Troy Trojans: won their last game at home against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 45-26.
UTSA Roadrunners: won their last game at home against the North Texas Mean Green 48-27.
Troy Trojans vs UTSA Roadrunners Preview and Analysis
Troy is entering this Cure Bowl game with an 11-2 record overall to end their college football season and they will be playing their 1st neutral site game of the season here as they are 0-0 in those games this year. They won against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in their last game at home 45-26 which was also their Sun Belt Conference Championship. Gunnar Watson started that game at QB and he completed 12/17 passes for 318 yards and 3 touchdowns. DK Billingsley led the team in rushing with 57 yards and 3 TDs on 9 rushing attempts. RaJae' Johnson led the team in receiving with 134 yards and 2 TDs on 4 receptions. Dell Pettus led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Will Choloh, Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1 while TJ Harris came away with the only interception for them in that one.
UTSA is entering this Cure Bowl game with an 11-2 record overall to finish their college football season and they will be playing their 1st neutral site game of the season as they are 0-0 in those games this year. They won against the North Texas Mean Green in their last game at home 48-27 which was also their Conference USA Conference Championship. Frank Harris started that game at QB and he completed 32/37 passes for 341 yards and 4 touchdowns. Kevorian Barnes led the team in rushing with 175 yards and 1 TD on 28 carries. Zakhari Franklin led the team in receiving with 144 yards and 3 TDs on 10 receptions. Clifford Chattman and Trevor Harmanson each led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Clifford Chattman and Ken Robinson each came away with 1 interception for them while no one on the defense recorded any sacks in that one.
Troy vs UTSA Prediction
The current betting odds have Troy listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams are coming off great seasons as they were both crowned Conference Champions in their respective conferences. Both teams also rolled over their opponent in the Title games and both have identical 11-2 records overall this season. Troy has performed a lot better in their Bowl games over the years though and there is no doubt they will be looking to cap off their Conference Championship year with a Bowl win in Sumrall's 1st season as head coach. Troy has been to 8 Bowl games in their school history and they have a 62.5% winning percentage in those games. UTSA has only been to 3 Bowl games in their school history but they are 0-3 in those games still searching for their 1st Bowl win. They lost badly to San Diego State in their Bowl game last season even though they were an even better 12-1 going into that game. They just do not perform well in these games and Troy will come for the win with Sumrall looking to make his mark on the program in a big way after just 1 year, taking this team from a losing 5-7 record last season to now 11-2 with a Conference Championship. The best way to place a bet here is on Troy to cover the spread in this game.
Troy UTSA Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, December 16, 2022 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Troy 35 UTSA 31.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Troy Trojans: 9-16 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games. 9-1 OVER in a bowl game. 21-12 OVER when the line is +3 to -3.
UTSA Roadrunners: 14-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 22-14 ATS off a home win. 5-1 OVER after 8 or more consecutive straight up wins.
Troy Trojans: J. McDonald (LB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. L. Medina (DT) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Barber (WR) Out indefinitely - Leg.
UTSA Roadrunners: B. Brady (RB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. R. Wisdom (S) out for season - Shoulder. D. Lewis (RB) out for season - Leg.
“That was as good of a feeling as I’ve ever had after a game. These kids have worked so hard and they’ve done so much and they’ve been through a lot." - Jon Sumrall after his team’s win against Coastal Carolina in the Sun Belt Title game.
"We've taken way more body blows than that this season. They don't blink, they really don't. They just keep playing the next play. That's just the way they're wired." - Jeff Traylor after his team’s win against North Texas in the Conference USA Title game.
WR Johnson, RaJae'
WR Stoudemire, Deshon
WR Johnson, Tez
TE Ollendieck, Clayton
QB Watson, Gunnar
RB Vidal, Kimani
WR Ogle-Kellogg, Tykee
WR Franklin, Zakhari
WR Cephus, Joshua
TE Cardenas, Oscar
QB Harris, Frank
RB Barnes, Kevorian
Passing: G. Watson (2700)
Rushing: K. Vidal (1059)
Receiving: T. Johnson (818)
Touchdowns: K. Vidal (9)
Passing: F. Harris (3865)
Rushing: K. Barnes (713)
Receiving: Z. Franklin (1100)
Touchdowns: Z. Franklin (14)
Troy Trojans: Jon Sumrall (1st season)
UTSA Roadrunners: Jeff Traylor (3rd season)