Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 3, 2022
Venue: Vaught Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Troy +22, Ole Miss -22; Over/Under: 58 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Troy +21.5, Ole Miss -21.5; Over/Under: 58 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Troy +22.5, Ole Miss -22.5; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Season Record
Troy Trojans: 0-0 (Sun Belt Group A)
Ole Miss Rebels: 0-0 (SEC West)
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Troy Trojans: N/A
Ole Miss Rebels: N/A
Troy Trojans vs Ole Miss Rebels Preview and Analysis
Troy is playing their season opener here on Saturday and this will also be their first road game of the college football season. They finished last season with a 5-7 record overall and were 2-4 in their road games. They were also 3-5 in their conference games and finished 4th place in the Sun Belt Group A. They did not end their season with a Bowl game as their record was not good enough to become Bowl eligible. Their offense was averaging 339.9 YPG and 22.8 PPG while their defense was allowing 337.5 YPG and 26.1 PPG against them. Gunnar Watson led the team in passing with 1,613 passing yards, Kimani Vidal led the team in rushing with 701 rushing yards, and Tez Johnson led the team in receiving with 735 receiving yards.
Mississippi is playing their season opener here on Saturday and this will also be their first home game on the college football schedule this season. They finished last season with a 10-3 record overall and were 7-0 in their home games. They were also 6-2 with their conference record and finished in 2nd place in the SEC West. They ended their season with a 21-7 loss against the Baylor Bears in the Sugar Bowl. Their offense was averaging 492.8 YPG and 33.7 PPG while their defense was allowing 420.4 YPG and 24.7 PPG against them. Matt Corral led the team in passing with 3,349 passing yards, Jerrion Ealy led the team in rushing with 768 rushing yards, and Dontario Drummond led the team in receiving with 1,028 receiving yards.
Troy vs Ole Miss Prediction
The current betting odds have Troy listed as a 22 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Troy just had a season where they finished barely under .500 but they do have a lot of players returning to this team from last year and they will be hungry for a better season, finishing above .500 this season. Their offense is pretty much the same as it was last season and these players should continue to grow together with the team, having a better season this year. Ole Miss has a very good program and is off of a great season last year but, they lost their starting QB Matt Corral to the NFL draft and that is going to be a big replacement they have to make at that position. Dart is the starting QB now but this is his first season with the team and he will have to get familiar with the system and the players before this offense and team picks up where it left off last season. They scored a lot of points in their games last season but their defense was not great as they were allowing similar numbers as well. Troy will be able to move the ball in this game and score points while Ole Miss will still be testing the water with their new QB and it is hard to see them blowing anybody out in their first game of the season. The best way to place a bet here is on Troy to cover the spread in this game.
Troy Ole Miss Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 3, 2022 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Ole Miss 34 Troy 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Troy Trojans: 9-14 ATS in all games. 3-7 ATS as an underdog. 14-4 OVER against SEC opponents.
Ole Miss Rebels: 9-4 ATS as a favorite. 10-3 OVER as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points. 8-1 OVER against Sun Belt conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Troy Trojans: None.
Ole Miss Rebels: J. Robinson (WR) Ques Sat - Knee. C. Costa (K) Elig Late Nov - Suspension.
Notable Quotes
"No easing into the 2022 season. You want to play great teams in great environments." - Jon Sumrall on his team playing against Ole Miss to start the season.
"I'm really excited. Coming from the West Coast, I've never been able to experience an SEC game or an SEC atmosphere. Everyone says everything is bigger in the SEC, so I'm just excited to get out there and compete with the guys." - Jaxson Dart on coming to the SEC this season.
Starting Lineups
Troy Trojans
WR Rogers, Marcus
WR Stoudemire, Deshon
WR Johnson, Tez
TE Ollendieck, Clayton
QB Watson, Gunnar
RB Vidal, Kimani
Ole Miss Rebels
WR Mingo, Jonathan
WR Heath, Malik
WR Robinson, Jaylon
TE Kelly, Casey
QB Dart, Jaxson
RB Evans, Zach
Statistical Leaders
Troy Trojans
Passing: N/A
Rushing: N/A
Receiving: N/A
Touchdowns: N/A
Ole Miss Rebels
Passing: N/A
Rushing: N/A
Receiving: N/A
Touchdowns: N/A
Coaches:
Troy Trojans: Jon Sumrall (1st season)
Ole Miss Rebels: Lane Kiffin (3rd season)