Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 9, 2023
Venue: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Troy +16, KSU -16; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Troy +16.5, KSU -16.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Troy +16.5, KSU -16.5; Over/Under: 49.5 points
Season Record
Troy Trojans: 1-0 (0-0) (1st place, Sun Belt West)
Kansas State Wildcats: 1-0 (0-0) (5th place, Big 12)
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Recent Form
Troy Trojans: won their last game at home against the Stephen F Austin Lumberjacks 48-30.
Kansas State Wildcats: won their last game at home against the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 45-0.
Troy Trojans vs Kansas State Wildcats Preview and Analysis
Troy is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against SFA 48-30. Gunnar Watson was the starting QB and he completed 14/22 passes for 198 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kimani Vidal led the team in rushing yards with 248. Kimani Vidal led the receivers with 54 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Levon Fletcher led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Reddy Steward came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Kansas State is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against SEMO 45-0. Will Howard was the starting QB and he completed 18/26 passes for 297 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. DJ Giddens led the team in rushing yards with 128. RJ Garcia II led the receivers with 119 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Will Lee III led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Austin Moore, Nate Matlack, and Khalid Duke each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Troy vs Kansas State Prediction
The current betting odds have Kansas State listed as a 16 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kansas State played a school from the FCS in their 1st game of the season but they still looked really good in that home game as they didn't allow their opponent to score a point. They are at home again for this game and playing against a team from the FBS now but Troy didn't look great in their 1st game and they don't have a great team either. They won their 1st game of the season but they also played a team from the FCS and only won the game by 18 points, giving up 30 points in that game too. They won't be able to keep up with this Kansas State offense, especially the way their defense gives up points, and Kansas State is going to be looking to run up the score at home here with all of these new teams in their conference trying to make a statement. The best way to place a bet here is on Kansas State to cover the spread in this game.
Troy Kansas State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 9, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is KSU 48 Troy 16.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Troy Trojans: 24-15 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 8-4 ATS in road games. 25-15 ATS after playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored. 10-3 OVER as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points. 26-14 OVER after playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored.
Kansas State Wildcats: 2-6 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. 16-10 OVER after allowing 6 points or less last game. 28-16 OVER after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game. 26-19 OVER as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points.
Key Injuries
Troy Trojans: J. Ingram (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Bracy (S) Out indefinitely - Suspension.
Kansas State Wildcats: U. Semalo (DT) day-to-day - Undisclosed. K. Johnson (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. C. Duffie (OL) Out indefinitely - Foot.
Notable Quotes
"It was a good day all-in-all. We ran a lot of plays, more plays than last week's (first scrimmage). I wanted to extend them a little bit and roll a lot of different packages and groupings in. We worked through three different two-minute situations, which was good to see us execute.” - Jon Sumrall on his team coming into the new college football season.
“It did play out really well for us. We knew we were going to have to play a lot of guys, we were going to play a lot of younger players, redshirt freshmen and stuff. A lot of newer players but then a ton of true freshmen and that's something that we know we have to do, our depth is our young players and I'm pleased with those guys. Hit some home runs on the recruiting class because there's a lot of young kids that played for us but they're gonna have to play for us throughout the year somewhere along the line so I was excited for those guys to get some reps.” - Chris Klieman after his team’s win against SEMO in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Troy Trojans
WR Rogers, Marcus
WR Barber, Jabre
WR Stoudemire, Deshon
TE Ollendieck, Clayton
QB Watson, Gunnar
RB Vidal, Kimani
Kansas State Wildcats
WR Johnson, Keagan
WR Garcia II, RJ
WR Brooks, Phillip
TE Swanson, Will
QB Howard, Will
RB Ward, Treshaun
FB Sinnott, Ben
Statistical Leaders
Troy Trojans
Passing: Gunnar Watson (198)
Rushing: Kimani Vidal (248)
Receiving: Kimani Vidal (54)
Touchdowns: Ethan Conner (2)
Kansas State Wildcats
Passing: W. Howard (297)
Rushing: D. Giddens (128)
Receiving: R. Garcia II (119)
Touchdowns: R. Garcia II (1)
Coaches:
Troy Trojans: Jon Sumrall (2nd season)
Kansas State Wildcats: Chris Klieman (5th season)