Troy Trojans vs Georgia State Panthers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/27/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 27, 2021
Venue:  Center Parc Credit Union Stadium, Atlanta, GA 
Where to Watch:  ESPN+

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Troy +6.5, GA State -6.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Troy +6.5, GA State -6.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Troy +6.5, GA State -6.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points
 

Season Record

Troy Trojans:  5-6 (4th place, Sun Belt Group A)
Georgia State Panthers:  6-5 (2nd place, Sun Belt Group A)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Larry Ness has a CFB record of 14-5 CFB in Nov / 50-31-2, +$14,811 YTD! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

 

Troy Trojans vs Georgia State Panthers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Troy Trojans:  lost at home on Nov. 20 against the Appalachian State Mountaineers 45-7.
Georgia State Panthers:  won at home on Nov. 20 against the Arkansas State Red Wolves 28-20.
 
 
 

Troy Trojans Analysis

Troy is coming into this game with a 5-6 record overall and they are 2-3 in their road games this college football season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference matchup of their game schedule and they are currently 3-4 in their conference games this season. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Gunnar Watson did not have a good game in that one as he completed 11/21 passes for 109 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Kimani Vidal led the team in rushing with 40 yards on 10 carries. Tez Johnson led the receivers with 44 yards on 4 receptions while wide receiver Deshon Stoudemire had 43 yards and 1 touchdown on 2 receptions. KJ Robertson and Will Choloh Jr. both led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones each. No one on the defense recorded a sack in that game while Robertson and Kyle Nixon both came up with 1 interception each for them in that one. They have scored 264 points in their 11 games this season averaging 24 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 276 points against them allowing 25.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 337 YPG while their defense is allowing 333.1 YPG.
 
 

Georgia State Panthers Analysis

Georgia State is coming into this game with a 6-5 record overall and they are 3-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game on their own campus. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their season schedule this year and they are currently 5-2 in their conference games this season. They have won 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Darren Grainger did not play well in that game but it was enough to get the win as he completed 10/21 passes for 152 yards and 1 interception. Jamyest Williams had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 125 yards and 2 touchdowns on 16 carries while Tucker Gregg led the team in carries with 22 for 98 yards and 1 touchdown. Grainger ran in 1 TD on the ground as well. Jamari Thrash had a nice day as well as he led the receivers with 103 yards on 4 receptions. Thomas Gore led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Gore also led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 while Antavious Lane and Bryquice Brown both came up with 1 interception each in that one. They have scored 278 points in their 11 games this season averaging 25.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 322 points against them allowing 29.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 383.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 411.5 YPG.
 

 

Troy vs Georgia State Prediction

Troy is coming into this game as a 6.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Georgia State got their 6th win last week becoming bowl eligible but Troy is 1 win away from that as well and they have 1 game left to get that win. This is a rivalry game so they are going to play this game with a lot of heart but with the bowl game being on the line as well, they should come extra hard in this game and try to win it. They have not been playing well recently but this is their chance to stop the bleeding and finish their regular season off on a good note, and continue it into a possible bowl game. The best bet to place in this game is on Troy to cover the spread here as they will at least keep this a close game and within a field goal if they do not win on the moneyline.
 
Troy Georgia State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 27, 2021 (2:00 pm ET start time) is GA State 27 Troy 24.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert college football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Troy Trojans Georgia State Panthers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Troy Trojans: 120-117 ATS in all games. 58-49 ATS as an underdog. 46-35 ATS as a road underdog. 73-59 ATS in road games. 51-39 ATS off 1 or more straight overs.
Georgia State Panthers: 49-54 O/U in all games. 15-22 O/U when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 13-15 O/U as a favorite. 28-37 O/U when playing with 6 or less days rest. 27-36 O/U after playing a conference game.
 

Key Injuries

 
Troy Trojans:  L. Whittemore (WR) Ques Sat - Knee injury. R. Todd (WR) Out indefinitely - Suspension.
Georgia State Panthers:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Ultimately, we fell short of our goal of producing a championship-winning team. I am grateful to the administration at Troy for giving me this opportunity to serve as head coach. Thank you to our players for giving their all, day in and day out. I am proud to have been your coach, and I am grateful for the relationships we forged that will last a lifetime. Finally, I would like to thank my family for their unwavering love and support." - Chip Lindsey on getting fired as head coach.
 
 
“If we go out and play well, we have a chance to finish at 7-5, and we have a chance to set a record for most conference wins. Those are two big, big milestones. And from where we came from (a 1-4 start), I don’t think any of you guys sitting across there ever thought we’d have the opportunity get finished the way we have and carry that momentum into a bowl game and have, what I would say, would be the best season in Georgia State history.” - Shawn Elliott on his team’s goals to finish the season off.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Troy Trojans
WR Stoudemire, Deshon 
WR Luke Whittemore
WR Barber, Jabre 
WR Johnson, Tez 
TE Lewis, Deyunkrea 
QB Watson, Gunnar 
RB Vidal, Kimani 
 
Georgia State Panthers
WR McCoy, Cornelius 
WR Pinckney, Sam 
WR Terrance Dixon 
TE Carter, Roger 
QB Grainger, Darren 
RB Gregg, Tucker 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Troy Trojans
Passing: G. Watson (1326)
Rushing: K. Vidal (675)
Receiving: T. Johnson (677)
Touchdowns: J. Woods (7)
 
Georgia State Panthers
Passing: D. Grainger (1372)
Rushing: T. Gregg (816)
Receiving: J. Thrash (429)
Touchdowns: T. Gregg (9)
 
Coaches:
Troy Trojans: Brandon Hall (Interim)
Georgia State Panthers: Shawn Elliott (5th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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