Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/05/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 5, 2026

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  Sportsnet, FDSNO

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Raptors +6.5, Timberwolves -6.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Raptors +6.5, Timberwolves -6.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Raptors +6.5, Timberwolves -6.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

Toronto Raptors:  35-26 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  39-23 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Toronto Raptors:  5-5 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

The Raptors are entering this game with a 35-26 record overall this season and they are 19-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the New York Knicks. Brandon Ingram led the team in points in that game with 31 while RJ Barrett was next on the team with 20 points. Immanuel Quickley led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Jakob Poeltl led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 45.5% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 89.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112 PPG against them. The Raptors have an ATS record of 30-31 this season and their O/U record is 24-37.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 39-23 record overall this season and they are 21-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Portland Trail Blazers, the Los Angeles Clippers, the Denver Nuggets, and the Memphis Grizzlies. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 41 while Julius Randle was next on the team with 23 points. Donte DiVincenzo led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 47.6% from the field, 29.4% from 3-point range, and 79.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.5 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 26-36 this season and their O/U record is 30-32.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked really good in their games this season with their 39-23 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 21-11 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Raptors have looked good in their games this season with their 35-26 record overall which has them in the top half of the East. They have been a great road team too with their 19-10 road record this year. The Raptors have been a better team on the road this season than they have been at home, but lately they haven't looked that great. They are off a loss to the Knicks in their last one and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Raptors have been really good at beating up on bad teams in the NBA this season, but they have had a lot of trouble against the top teams in their own conference so as good as their record is this year, this team isn't a true contender. The Timberwolves have been one of the best teams in the West over the last few years though and they look like a top team in the NBA right now. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now. The Raptors just haven't been able to compete with teams like this all season and the Timberwolves have looked a lot better on their home court this year, so look for the T-Wolves to continue rolling in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Raptors Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, March 5, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 115 Raptors 101.

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Toronto Raptors: 10-5 ATS as a road underdog. 27-19 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 29-19 ATS on the road versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 10-2 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 19-30 ATS as a favorite. 8-17 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5. 16-30 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more. 8-3 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive unders.

Toronto Raptors:  C. Murray-Boyles (PF) Day To Day - Thumb.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  None.

“When the time is right, it was not tonight.” - Darko Rajakovic after his team’s loss against the Knicks in their game on Tuesday.

“We were better on the ball [in the second half]. We were tighter on switches, first half we were pretty loose.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Grizzlies in their game on Tuesday.

PG Immanuel Quickley

SG Brandon Ingram

SF RJ Barrett

PF Scottie Barnes

C Jakob Poeltl

PG Donte DiVincenzo

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: Brandon Ingram (22)

APG: Immanuel Quickley (6.1)

Reb/G: Scottie Barnes (8.1)

PPG: Anthony Edwards (29.7)

APG: Julius Randle (5.3)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.5)

Coaches:

Toronto Raptors: Darko Rajakovic (3rd season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)