Toronto Raptors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/10/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  TSN, SCHN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Raptors +5.5, Rockets -5.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Raptors +5.5, Rockets -5.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Raptors +5.5, Rockets -5.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Toronto Raptors:  36-27 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Houston Rockets:  39-24 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Toronto Raptors:  5-5 last 10

Houston Rockets:  6-4 last 10

The Raptors are entering this game with a 36-27 record overall this season and they are 19-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Mavericks. RJ Barrett led the team in points in that game with 31 while Scottie Barnes was next on the team with 17 points. Immanuel Quickley led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jakob Poeltl led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 50.5% from the field, 27.8% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.7 PPG against them. The Raptors have an ATS record of 31-32 this season and their O/U record is 24-39.

The Rockets are entering this game with a 39-24 record overall this season and they are 21-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the San Antonio Spurs. Kevin Durant and Amen Thompson each led the team in points in that game with 23 while Jabari Smith Jr. and Reed Sheppard each were next on the team with 17 points. Amen Thompson led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Amen Thompson led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 48.3% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.9 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 28-35 this season and their O/U record is 28-34-1.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked good in their games this season with their 39-24 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 21-8 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Raptors have looked good in their games this season with their 36-27 record overall which has them in the top half of the East. They have been a good road team too with their 19-11 road record this year. The Raptors are off a win over the Mavericks in their last one and they have been a better team on the road this season than they have been at home, but they haven't looked that great lately. They are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and even though they are well above .500 this season, they have had a lot of trouble against top teams in the NBA over the last month. The Rockets aren't the best team in the West this year, but they are definitely an elite team that can win it all and they have a lot more talent than the Raptors have. The Rockets have also looked good lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games. They are off a huge loss to the Spurs in their last one and gave up 145 points in that loss, but they will be looking to bounce back here after an embarrassing loss like that. The Rockets have also looked like a completely different team on their home court this season so look for them to bring their best effort here to bounce back with a better performance, especially after giving up 145 points since they are still one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Raptors Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 10, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Rockets 110 Raptors 101.

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Toronto Raptors: 9-5 ATS on the road versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 12-6 ATS on the road versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 4-1 ATS on the road when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. 12-2 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 11-1 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game.

Houston Rockets: 11-18 ATS in home games. 26-34 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more. 6-11 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. 18-10 UNDER in home games. 17-10 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Toronto Raptors:  C. Murray-Boyles (PF) Out - Thumb.

Houston Rockets:  J. Tate (SF) Out - Knee. S. Adams (C) Out For Season - Ankle. F. VanVleet (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

“When you look at a history of high-level shooters, I think those guys all stay four years in college, or they get drafted early and they pick up on later on what they need to do because it is a very specific job. You need to come in the game, and you need to knock down shots and understand the importance of every shot but not put too much on an outcome.” - Darko Rajakovic on Gradey Dick after his team’s win against the Mavericks in their game on Sunday.

“It was nonexistent, honestly, in every way. Lacked any kind of physicality or toughness just to stay in front of your guy. Just blow-by, blow-by, and that’s going to collapse the defense and get to those kickout threes.” - Ime Udoka after his team’s loss against the Spurs in their game on Sunday.

PG Immanuel Quickley

SG Brandon Ingram

SF RJ Barrett

PF Scottie Barnes

C Jakob Poeltl

PG Amen Thompson

SG Tari Eason

SF Kevin Durant

PF Jabari Smith Jr.

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: Brandon Ingram (21.7)

APG: Immanuel Quickley (6.2)

Reb/G: Scottie Barnes (7.9)

PPG: Kevin Durant (26.1)

APG: Alperen Sengun (6.1)

Reb/G: Alperen Sengun (9)

Coaches:

Toronto Raptors: Darko Rajakovic (3rd season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (3rd season)