Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/22/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 22, 2024

Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV 

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Leafs +100, VGK -120; Over/Under:  6 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Leafs +100, VGK -120; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Leafs +100, VGK -120; Over/Under:  6 goals

Toronto Maple Leafs:  30-16-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Vegas Golden Knights:  32-18-6 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Toronto Maple Leafs:  8-2-0 last 10

Vegas Golden Knights:  5-4-1 last 10

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 68 points, a 30-16-8 record overall, and they are 15-6-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the St Louis Blues in their last game, winning that on the road 4-2, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Arizona Coyotes still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Blues, Auston Matthews, Matthew Knies, Bobby McMann, and William Nylander each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Mitchell Marner led the team in assists with 3 while Mitchell Marner, Auston Matthews, Matthew Knies, and Max Domi each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 21 shots with 19 saves and a .905 save percentage. Their offense has scored 197 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 170 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The Golden Knights are entering this game with 70 points, a 32-18-6 record overall, and they are 19-8-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Nashville Predators in their last game, losing that one at home 5-3. Michael Amadio, William Karlsson, and Alex Pietrangelo each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Alec Martinez led the team in assists with 2 while William Karlsson led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 39 shots with 35 saves and a .897 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 180 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 154 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Golden Knights listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Golden Knights have looked really good in their games this season with their 32-18-6 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the West right now. They have looked great on home ice this year with their 19-8-2 home record and they have looked a lot better in their games lately since coming out of the All-Star break. Meanwhile, the Leafs have also looked good in their games this season with their 30-16-8 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East right now, but they have also been up and down in the standings as they are trying to keep their playoff spot and avoid the Wild Card. They have looked really good in their road games this year with their 15-6-6 road record and they have been the hotter team lately with their 8-2-0 record in their last 10 games, but the Leafs are also in a bad situation for this game. They are playing this game on a back-to-back and have to add travel on top of that too so they aren't in the best situation here with the Golden Knights being rested at home. The Golden Knights are also coming off a loss against the Predators in their last game which also came on home ice so they will be looking to bounce back here as they take advantage of the Leafs in a terrible situation. The best way to place a bet here is on the Golden Knights to win this game. 

Maple Leafs Golden Knights Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, February 22, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is VGK 4 Leafs 1.

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Toronto Maple Leafs: 143-93 (-22.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 1-7 (-8.8 units) on the moneyline after a 5 game unbeaten streak. 9-4 UNDER off a road win. 9-3 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games. 

Vegas Golden Knights: 142-100 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 30-17 (+7.7 units) on the moneyline off a home loss. 17-9 UNDER in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 11-5 UNDER after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  W. Lagesson (D) - Upper-Body. C. Jarnkrok (C) - Knuckle. J. Klingberg (D) - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) - Back. M. Murray (G) - Hip.

Vegas Golden Knights:  P. Dorofeyev (LW) - Upper Body. J. Eichel (C) - Lower-Body. W. Carrier (LW) - Upper Body.

“All in all, it was a good road game for us. We did enough good things to get the win.” - Sheldon Keefe after his team’s win against the Blues in their game on Monday.

“That’s a team that, what, lost big last week? So you knew they were gonna come out. They’re fighting for a playoff spot, and so are we. So, just think we need a little bit more. I know it’s back-to-back but we needed a little bit more tonight.” - Alex Pietrangelo after their loss against the Predators in their game on Tuesday.

LW Knies, Matthew

C Matthews, Auston

RW Marner, Mitchell

LD Brodie, TJ

RD Liljegren, Timothy

G Samsonov, Ilya

LW Stephenson, Chandler

C Karlsson, William

RW Stone, Mark

LD Martinez, Alec

RD Pietrangelo, Alex

G Hill, Adin

Points: A. Matthews (73)

Goals: A. Matthews (49)

Assists: W. Nylander (43)

GAA: M. Jones (2.69)

Points: M. Stone (53)

Goals: J. Marchessault (28)

Assists: M. Stone (37)

GAA: A. Hill (2.15)

Coaches:

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)

Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (2nd season)