Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/15/2026

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Thursday, January 15, 2026

Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Leafs +115, Knights -135; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Leafs +115, Knights -135; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Leafs +115, Knights -135; Over/Under:  6 goals

Toronto Maple Leafs:  23-16-7 (5th place, Atlantic Division)

Vegas Golden Knights:  21-11-12 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Amedeus Mastrangelo is on a HOT STREAK in the NHL on a 7-2 NHL RUN for +$5,290 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  7-1-2 last 10

Vegas Golden Knights:  5-3-2 last 10

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 53 points, a 23-16-7 record overall, and they are 7-11-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Utah Mammoth in their last game, losing that one on the road 6-1. Calle Järnkrok scored 1 goal for them in that one. Oliver Ekman-Larsson led the team in assists with 1 while Morgan Rielly led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Dennis Hildeby was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 6 goals on 40 shots with 34 saves and a .850 save percentage. Their offense has scored 153 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 149 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The Golden Knights are entering this game with 54 points, a 21-11-12 record overall, and they are 10-6-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the San Jose Sharks in their last game, winning that one on the road 7-2, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Los Angeles Kings still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Sharks, Tomáš Hertl and Jack Eichel each led the team in goals scored with 2 while Pavel Dorofeyev, Shea Theodore, and Zach Whitecloud each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Tomáš Hertl and Mark Stone each led the team in assists with 3 while Jack Eichel led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Carl Lindbom was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 20 shots with 18 saves and a .900 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 144 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 136 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Maple Leafs listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Maple Leafs haven't looked great in their games this season with their 23-16-7 record overall which has them in the bottom half of their division in the East. They have been a bad road team this year too with their 7-11-2 road record. Meanwhile, the Golden Knights have looked great in their games this season with their 21-11-12 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the West. They haven't looked great on home ice though with their 10-6-6 home record this year. The Golden Knights were supposed to be one of the best teams in the West this season, but they have underperformed a bit compared to the other division in the West, and they haven't looked great lately either. They are off a big 7-2 win over the Sharks in their last one, but they are only 5-3-2 in their last 10 games. They aren't in a great situation here either, playing this game on a back-to-back with a tough game against the LA Kings the night before. The Maple Leafs had a terrible start to the season and nothing has been easy for them this year, but they have been rolling in their games lately. They are 7-1-2 in their last 10 games as they are starting to get hot now, and they are still right in the Wild Card race with how competitive the East is at the moment. They are off a 6-1 loss to the Mammoth in their last one, but that was a bad situation for them on a back-to-back after an OT win in Colorado so they will be looking to bounce back in this game and can take advantage of the Golden Knights on a back-to-back. The best way to place a bet here is on the Maple Leafs to win this game. 

Maple Leafs Golden Knights Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, January 15, 2026 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Leafs 4 Knights 2.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert hockey picks today. And if you enjoyed this Toronto Maple Leafs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NHL predictions and previews.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 34-36 (+7.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +200. 21-10 (+12.2 units) on the moneyline after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game. 67-41 (+15.2 units) on the moneyline after playing a road game. 27-19 OVER on the road when playing against a team with a losing record.

Vegas Golden Knights: 124-102 (-18.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 61-58 (-23.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -200 or less. 69-57 (-20.3 units) on the moneyline against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game. 25-19 OVER at home against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  N. Robertson (LW) Day To Day - Lower-body. D. Mermis (D) Out - Lower Body. A. Stolarz (G) Out - Upper Body. C. Tanev (D) Out - Groin. D. Joshua (C) Out - Upper-Body.

Vegas Golden Knights:  B. Howden (C) Day To Day - Lower Body. B. Saad (LW) Day To Day - Undisclosed. A. Hill (G) Day To Day - Lower-body. C. Hart (G) Out - Leg. B. McNabb (D) Out - Upper Body. W. Karlsson (C) Out - Lower Body.

“They had a lot of energy and a lot of jump out there. They were quicker than us tonight, and it showed. This is a team loss. You know, we're all accountable for it. We've got to be better. We weren't good enough.” - Craig Berube after his team’s loss against the Mammoth in their game on Tuesday.

"We've stacked some wins together, and I think the guys realized that as we got into the second half of the year we weren't happy with where we are. We talked about it the other day, like some of the good things we've done with different people in and out of the lineup. They're going to take ownership of the team." - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s win against the Sharks in their game on Sunday.

LW Bobby McMann

C Auston Matthews

RW Max Domi

LD Morgan Rielly

RD Brandon Carlo

G Dennis Hildeby

LW Ivan Barbashev

C Jack Eichel

RW Mark Stone

LD Noah Hanifin

RD Zach Whitecloud

G Akira Schmid

Points: William Nylander (46)

Goals: Auston Matthews (22)

Assists: William Nylander (30)

GAA: Joseph Woll (2.54)

Points: Jack Eichel (48)

Goals: Tomas Hertl (18)

Assists: Mitch Marner (36)

GAA: Akira Schmid (2.49)

Coaches:

Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (2nd season)

Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (4th season)