Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/20/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jan 19, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 20, 2024
Venue:  Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Leafs +100, Canucks -120; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Leafs +100, Canucks -120; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Leafs +100, Canucks -120; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Season Record

Toronto Maple Leafs:  22-13-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
Vancouver Canucks:  30-11-4 (1st place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Toronto Maple Leafs:  5-4-1 last 10
Vancouver Canucks:  7-2-1 last 10



Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks Preview and Analysis


The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 52 points, a 22-13-8 record overall, and they are 12-4-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Calgary Flames in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-3. Auston Matthews led the team in goals scored with 3 as he recorded the hattrick while Mitchell Marner scored 1 goal for them in that game. William Nylander led the team in assists with 2 while Auston Matthews, Mitchell Marner, and John Tavares each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Martin Jones was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 26 shots with 23 saves and a .885 save percentage. Their offense has scored 154 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 141 goals against them allowing 3.3 goals per game.


The Canucks are entering this game with 64 points, a 30-11-4 record overall, and they are 15-4-1 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Arizona Coyotes in their last game, winning that one at home 2-1. Dakota Joshua and Elias Pettersson each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Theodor Blueger, Nils Höglander, Quinn Hughes, and J. T. Miller each led the team in assists with 1 while Conor Garland led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Thatcher Demko was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 21 shots with 20 saves and a .952 save percentage. Their offense has scored 170 goals this season averaging 3.8 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 115 goals against them allowing 2.6 goals per game.


Maple Leafs vs Canucks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Canucks listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Canucks have looked really good in their games all season with their 30-11-4 record overall which has them in 1st place of their division in the West. They have also looked great on home ice all year with their 15-4-1 home record and they have been getting really hot now too, going 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Leafs have also looked good in their games this season with their 22-13-8 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East. The Leafs are starting to get hot again but they haven't looked great lately as they have been slipping down the standings a little. They are also 12-4-6 in their road games this season and won their last game out West with a 4-3 win against the Flames, but now they are taking a step up in competition here. The Canucks have been one of the best teams in the NHL all season, especially in their home games, and they have also been the much better team on both offense and defense this year. The Leafs are good but haven't been at their best lately and this is a great opportunity for the Canucks to pick up another home win against a traveling team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Canucks to win this game. 

Maple Leafs Canucks Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, January 20, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Canucks 4 Leafs 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Toronto Maple Leafs: 134-90 (-27.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 32-24 (-13.6 units) on the moneyline after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game. 15-7 OVER after one or more consecutive overs. 15-8 OVER after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored.

Vancouver Canucks: 30-15 (+12 units) on the moneyline in all games. 57-44 (+17.2 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 27-16 OVER in all games. 11-4 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders. 7-1 OVER revenging a loss where the opponent scored 5 or more goals.

Key Injuries


Toronto Maple Leafs:  J. Woll (G) Out indefinitely - Ankle. R. Reaves (RW) Out indefinitely - Leg. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.

Vancouver Canucks:  P. Di Giuseppe (LW) Mid Feb - Undisclosed. G. Brisebois (D) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. T. Poolman (D) out for season - Migraine.


Notable Quotes


“I think it just gives us confidence to have that lead, hang onto it. Lots of really good things in the third period. I don’t think we sat back too much. I thought we tried to drive play on the other half of the ice as much as possible.” - Auston Matthews after their win against the Flames in their game on Thursday.


“It’s a good win for us. I think we came out ready to go in the first period, and in the second we were a bit fatigued both physically and mentally. We’ll take the two points and move on.” - Quinn Hughes after their win against the Coyotes in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Holmberg, Pontus
C Matthews, Auston
RW Marner, Mitchell
LD Rielly, Morgan
RD Brodie, TJ
G Jones, Martin

Vancouver Canucks
LW Pettersson, Elias
C Miller, J.T.
RW Boeser, Brock
LD Hughes, Quinn
RD Hronek, Filip
G Demko, Thatcher

Statistical Leaders


Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: W. Nylander (59)
Goals: A. Matthews (37)
Assists: W. Nylander (38)
GAA: M. Jones (2.40)

Vancouver Canucks
Points: J. Miller (61)
Goals: B. Boeser (27)
Assists: Q. Hughes (42)
GAA: T. Demko (2.42)

Coaches:
Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)
Vancouver Canucks: Rick Tocchet (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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