Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/19/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 19, 2024

Venue:  Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Leafs -135, Flyers +114; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Leafs -135, Flyers +114; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Leafs -135, Flyers +114; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Toronto Maple Leafs:  38-19-9 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Philadelphia Flyers:  34-26-8 (3rd place, Metropolitan Division)

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Toronto Maple Leafs:  6-3-1 last 10

Philadelphia Flyers:  4-5-1 last 10

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 85 points, a 38-19-9 record overall, and they are 20-7-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Carolina Hurricanes in their last game, losing that one at home 5-4 in a shootout. John Tavares, David Kämpf, William Nylander, and Nicholas Robertson each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Morgan Rielly led the team in assists with 2 while Max Domi and Auston Matthews each led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 40 shots with 36 saves and a .900 save percentage. Their offense has scored 241 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 208 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The Flyers are entering this game with 76 points, a 34-26-8 record overall, and they are 17-14-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Boston Bruins in their last game, losing that one on the road 6-5. Joel Farabee led the team in goals scored with 2 while Nicolas Deslauriers, Morgan Frost, and Ryan Poehling each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Owen Tippett led the team in assists with 3 while Travis Konecny led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Felix Sandström was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 6 goals on 30 shots with 24 saves and a .800 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 202 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 208 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Leafs listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Leafs have looked really good in their games this season with their 38-19-9 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot right now. They have also looked good in their road games this season with their 20-7-6 road record, playing better in those games than they have in their home games this year. Meanwhile, the Flyers have also looked good in their games this season with their 34-26-8 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot right now. They haven't looked great on their home ice though, with their 17-14-3 home record. The Flyers have also cooled off in their games lately with their 4-5-1 record in their last 10 games while the Leafs have been the hotter team coming into this one with their 6-3-1 record in their last 10 games. The Leafs just lost a tough game at home to the Hurricanes in their last one and they lost that game in a shootout too so they are going to be looking to bounce back in this game and have been the much hotter team over the last few weeks with the way they have been playing lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Leafs to win this game.

Maple Leafs Flyers Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, March 19, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Leafs 5 Flyers 3.

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Toronto Maple Leafs: 62-31 (+10.4 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive losses. 25-13 (+5.6 units) on the moneyline after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game. 22-12 OVER after one or more consecutive overs. 29-9 OVER after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals. 35-17 OVER after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored.

Philadelphia Flyers: 90-142 (-30.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 50-83 (-15.8 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 27-60 (-23.6 units) on the moneyline after 2 or more consecutive losses. 10-5 OVER after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game. 10-5 OVER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  C. Jarnkrok (C) Out indefinitely - Hand. M. Marner (RW) Ques Tues - Ankle. M. Giordano (D) Out indefinitely - Concussion. C. Timmins (D) Late March - Illness. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.

Philadelphia Flyers:  R. Ristolainen (D) Late March - Upper Body. N. Seeler (D) Out indefinitely - Foot. J. Drysdale (D) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. C. Hart (G) Out indefinitely - Personal. R. Ellis (D) out for season - Back.

“We got good efforts. The result sucks, but I thought we stood in there.” - Sheldon Keefe after his team’s loss against the Hurricanes in their game on Saturday.

“We self-inflict sometimes and we're just not deep enough right now. I thought we had a lot of good minutes, I thought we had patience to our game. We just couldn't sustain it to the full 60 (minutes).” - John Tortorella after his team’s loss against the Bruins in their game on Saturday.

LW Bertuzzi, Tyler

C Matthews, Auston

RW Holmberg, Pontus

LD Brodie, TJ

RD McCabe, Jake

G Samsonov, Ilya

LW Farabee, Joel

C Couturier, Sean

RW Konecny, Travis

LD York, Cam

RD Sanheim, Travis

G Sandström, Felix

Points: W. Nylander (87)

Goals: A. Matthews (55)

Assists: M. Marner (51)

GAA: M. Jones (2.71)

Points: T. Konecny (58)

Goals: T. Konecny (27)

Assists: T. Sanheim (31)

GAA: S. Ersson (2.67)

Coaches:

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)

Philadelphia Flyers: John Tortorella (2nd season)