Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/14/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, March 14, 2024

Venue:  Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Leafs -142, Flyers +120; Over/Under:  6 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Leafs -142, Flyers +120; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Leafs -142, Flyers +120; Over/Under:  6 goals

Toronto Maple Leafs:  37-19-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Philadelphia Flyers:  34-24-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Toronto Maple Leafs:  7-3-0 last 10

Philadelphia Flyers:  5-4-1 last 10

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 82 points, a 37-19-8 record overall, and they are 19-7-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Montreal Canadiens in their last game, winning that one on the road 3-2. Max Domi, Bobby McMann, and John Tavares each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Max Domi, T. J. Brodie, Calle Järnkrok, David Kämpf, and Jake McCabe each led the team in assists with 1 while Max Domi led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 31 shots with 29 saves and a .935 save percentage. Their offense has scored 231 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 201 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The Flyers are entering this game with 76 points, a 34-24-8 record overall, and they are 17-13-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the San Jose Sharks in their last game, winning that one at home 3-2. Morgan Frost, Joel Farabee, and Owen Tippett each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Travis Konecny and Cam York each led the team in assists with 2 while Owen Tippett led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. Samuel Ersson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 29 shots with 27 saves and a .931 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 195 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 196 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Maple Leafs listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Leafs have looked good in their games this season with their 37-19-8 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot right now. They have also looked a lot better in their road games this year than they have on home ice with their 19-7-6 road record. Meanwhile, the Flyers have also looked good in their games this season with their 34-24-8 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot right now. They haven't looked great on home ice this season with their 17-13-3 home record though. The Flyers have been a big surprise this year competing for a playoff spot but as good as they have been to put themselves in this position, they haven't been at their best lately. They are only 5-4-1 in their last 10 games while the Leafs are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games and have been the hotter team coming into this one. The Leafs also have a bit of a gap right now between themselves and the Wild Card so they will be looking to pick up another 2 points in this game and they have the momentum on their side with how hot they have been. The best way to place a bet here is on the Leafs to win this game. 

Maple Leafs Flyers Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, March 14, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Leafs 5 Flyers 4.

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Toronto Maple Leafs: 149-96 (-20 units) on the moneyline in all games. 84-64 (-30.8 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 28-19 (-6.6 units) on the moneyline off a win against a division rival. 10-5 OVER after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game. 20-14 OVER off a win or tie in their previous game.

Philadelphia Flyers: 34-32 (+5.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 13-5 (+10.5 units) on the moneyline revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 9-4 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game. 37-29 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite. 

Toronto Maple Leafs:  M. Marner (RW) Doub Thurs - Lower Body. M. Giordano (D) Out indefinitely - Concussion. C. Timmins (D) Late March - Illness. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.

Philadelphia Flyers:  E. Zamula (D) Ques Thurs - Illness. R. Ristolainen (D) Late March - Upper Body. N. Seeler (D) Out indefinitely - Foot. J. Drysdale (D) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. C. Hart (G) Out indefinitely - Personal. R. Ellis (D) out for season - Back.

“Some great moments of really good goals at key times. Otherwise, we just stayed with it. Thought we got some saves from Sammy, battled real hard.” - Sheldon Keefe after his team’s win against the Canadiens in their game on Saturday.

“We kind of locked eyes, the seam stayed open and he made a great play.” - Owen Tippett after their win against the Sharks in their game on Tuesday.

LW Bertuzzi, Tyler

C Matthews, Auston

RW Järnkrok, Calle

LD Brodie, TJ

RD McCabe, Jake

G Samsonov, Ilya

LW Tippett, Owen

C Laughton, Scott

RW Foerster, Tyson

LD York, Cam

RD Sanheim, Travis

G Ersson, Samuel

Points: W. Nylander (84)

Goals: A. Matthews (54)

Assists: M. Marner (51)

GAA: M. Jones (2.71)

Points: T. Konecny (56)

Goals: T. Konecny (27)

Assists: T. Sanheim (30)

GAA: S. Ersson (2.61)

Coaches:

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)

Philadelphia Flyers: John Tortorella (2nd season)