by Rod Pearson
Monday, Dec 11, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, December 12, 2023
Venue: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline: Leafs +120, Rangers -142; Over/Under: 6.5 goals
Bet365: Moneyline: Leafs +120, Rangers -142; Over/Under: 6.5 goals
BetMGM: Moneyline: Leafs +120, Rangers -142; Over/Under: 6.5 goals
Season Record
Toronto Maple Leafs: 14-6-4 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
New York Rangers: 19-6-1 (1st place, Metropolitan Division)
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Recent Form
Toronto Maple Leafs: 7-1-2 last 10
New York Rangers: 7-3-0 last 10
Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Preview and Analysis
The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 32 points, a 14-6-4 record overall, and they are 6-2-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Nashville Predators in their last game, winning that one at home 4-0, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the New York Islanders still to be played on Monday night. In their game against the Predators, Auston Matthews led the team in goals with 2 while Noah Gregor and David Kämpf each scored 1 goal for them in that game. William Nylander led the team in assists with 2 while John Tavares led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 18 shots with 18 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 84 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 77 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.
The Rangers are entering this game with 39 points, a 19-6-1 record overall, and they are 9-2-0 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Kings in their last game, winning that one at home 4-1. Jonny Brodzinski, Will Cuylle, Jimmy Vesey, and Mika Zibanejad each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Vincent Trocheck led the team in assists with 3 while Artemi Panarin and Chris Kreider each led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Jonathan Quick was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 26 shots with 25 saves and a .962 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 86 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 71 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.
Maple Leafs vs Rangers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rangers have looked really good in their games this season with their 19-6-1 record overall which has them leading the Metro Division. They have also looked a lot better in their home games this year with their 9-2-0 home record and they are going to have the advantage of being rested at home here. The Maple Leafs have also looked good this season with their 14-6-4 record overall but they haven't looked as good in their road games with their 6-2-3 road record. They did just shut the Predators out in their last game but they also have a game on Monday night against the Islanders on the road so they will be playing this game on a back-to-back while traveling. The Rangers played their back-to-back on Saturday and Sunday so they have Monday off and they bounced back in that Sunday game with a win against the red hot Kings on home ice. The Rangers will carry over that momentum into this game as they look to get back on track and they are in a much better situation to win this game too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game.
Maple Leafs Rangers Prediction: Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, December 12, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Rangers 4 Leafs 3.
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NHL Betting Trends
Toronto Maple Leafs: 126-79 (-19.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 52-42 (-17.8 units) on the moneyline in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 6-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 8-2 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.
New York Rangers: 129-85 (+17.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 77-51 (+11.7 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 30-13 UNDER off an home win scoring 4 or more goals. 27-12 UNDER off a home win by 2 goals or more.
Key Injuries
Toronto Maple Leafs: W. Lagesson (D) Ques Mon - Illness. J. Woll (G) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Giordano (D) Out indefinitely - Finger. T. Liljegren (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.
New York Rangers: K. Kakko (RW) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. F. Chytil (C) Out indefinitely - Upper Body.
Notable Quotes
“We played, finally, 60 minutes — full game. Every line rolling, hopefully we can keep it going.” - David Kampf after their win against the Predators in their game on Saturday.
“I think it was exactly what we needed to do. They are a good hockey team, real good defensively. We stuck with it and generated chances in the second and third. A really good start-to-finish game." - Peter Laviolette after his team’s win against the LA Kings in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Knies, Matthew
C Matthews, Auston
RW Nylander, William
LD Rielly, Morgan
RD Brodie, TJ
G Samsonov, Ilya
New York Rangers
LW Kreider, Chris
C Zibanejad, Mika
RW Wheeler, Blake
LD Miller, K'Andre
RD Trouba, Jacob
G Quick, Jonathan
Statistical Leaders
Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: W. Nylander (32)
Goals: A. Matthews (18)
Assists: W. Nylander (19)
GAA: J. Woll (2.80)
New York Rangers
Points: A. Panarin (38)
Goals: A. Panarin (16)
Assists: A. Panarin (22)
GAA: J. Quick (2.20)
Coaches:
Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)
New York Rangers: Peter Laviolette (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
