Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/05/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, Apr 04, 2022
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, April 5, 2022
Venue:  FLA Live Arena, Sunrise, FL
Where to Watch:  BSFL

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Leafs +145, Panthers -165; Over/Under:  7 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Leafs +150, Panthers -170; Over/Under:  7 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Leafs +145, Panthers -175; Over/Under:  7 goals
 

Season Record

Toronto Maple Leafs:  44-19-5 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)
Florida Panthers:  48-15-6 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
 
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Toronto Maple Leafs:  7-3-0 last 10
Florida Panthers:  8-2-0 last 10
 
 
 

Toronto Maple Leafs Analysis

The Leafs are coming into this game with 93 points, a 44-19-5 record overall, and they are 19-12-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Montreal Canadiens while their 5 wins in that span came against the New Jersey Devils, the Florida Panthers, the Boston Bruins, the Winnipeg Jets, and the Philadelphia Flyers in their last game. They won that game on the road 6-3. They still have a game against the Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday night that needs to be played first so this will be the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them on Tuesday night. In their game against the Flyers, Morgan Rielly, Pierre Engvall, Timothy Liljegren, Auston Matthews, Wayne Simmonds, and John Tavares all scored 1 goal each in that one. Morgan Rielly led the team in shots on goal in that one with 6. Jack Campbell was the starting goaltender in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 32 shots with 29 saves and a .906 save percentage. Their offense has scored 258 goals this season averaging 3.8 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 207 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game. 
 
 

Florida Panthers Analysis

The Panthers are coming into this game with 102 points, a 48-15-6 record overall, and they are 28-6-0 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Toronto Maple Leafs while their 7 wins in that span came against the Anaheim Ducks, the Montreal Canadiens, the Ottawa Senators, the Canadiens again, the Chicago Blackhawks, the New Jersey Devils, and the Buffalo Sabres in their last game. They won that game on the road 5-3. Anthony Duclair scored 2 goals while MacKenzie Weegar, Jonathan Huberdeau, and Anton Lundell each scored 1 goal in that one. Gustav Forsling led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Spencer Knight was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 29 shots with 26 saves and a .896 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 287 goals this season averaging 4.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 204 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game. 
 
 

 

Leafs vs Panthers Prediction

The Panthers are coming into this game as a -175 favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well in their recent games winning 4 straight games and they only have 1 loss in their last 8 games as well. That 1 loss actually came against the Leafs on the road but now the Panthers are back at home and with that being their last loss, they will surely be out for their revenge here. The Panthers have had some close games that they probably should have lost but they keep rolling over teams. Their last 3 wins were amazing as they shut out the Blackhawks 4-0, came back from a 6-2 deficit to win 7-6 in OT, and then on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back game they went down 1-0 early and scored 3 unanswered goals to win that game 5-3. They are going up against a Leafs side that has also been playing very well with 1 loss in their last 6 games and they are coming into this one off their own 4 straight wins but this is also the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them after a game in Tampa the night prior and that is going to be tough for them since both teams are very good and it will be extremely hard to pick up wins in both games. The Leafs will be tired from what will be an energy exhausting game against the Lightning and they will lose their next game after to the Panthers here as it is a bad spot for the Leafs and the Panthers will be out for their revenge.
 
Leafs Panthers Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, April 5, 2022 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Panthers 4 Leafs 3.
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NHL Betting Trends

 
Toronto Maple Leafs: 121-85 (-29.6u) on the moneyline in all games. 50-41 (-18.5u) on the moneyline in a road game where where the total is 6 or more. 19-9 OVER in a road game where where the total is 6 or more.
Florida Panthers: 123-81 (+19.7u) on the moneyline in all games. 52-26 (+12.1u) on the moneyline in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 46-25 OVER in a home game where the total is 6 or more.
 

Key Injuries

 
Toronto Maple Leafs:  W. Nylander (RW) Ques Mon - Illness. P. Mrazek (G) Mid May - Groin injury. J. Muzzin (D) Mid April - Concussion. O. Kase (RW) Out indefinitely - Concussion. R. Sandin (D) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.
Florida Panthers:  J. Zucker (LW) Ques Tues - Leg injury. B. McGinn (LW) Out indefinitely - Upper Body injury. N. Beaulieu (D) Early May - Lower Body injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
“Not a very good hockey game by us. Maybe we showed up for an easy game and they didn’t give it to us. So we looked bad for a while.” - Sheldon Keefe on his team’s win against the Flyers on Saturday night.
 
 
“He’s a tremendous player, and he deserves it the way he’s been playing. It couldn’t happen to a better guy. We still have a lot of games left, so it’s going to be a lot of fun to see where he’s going to end up.” - Aleksander Barkov after their win against the Sabres on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Bunting, Michael
C Matthews, Auston
RW Marner, Mitchell
LD Rielly, Morgan 
RD Lyubushkin, Ilya
G Campbell, Jack
 
Florida Panthers
LW Verhaeghe, Carter
C Barkov, Aleksander
RW Duclair, Anthony
LD Forsling, Gustav
RD Weegar, MacKenzie
G Knight, Spencer
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: A. Matthews (88)
Goals: A. Matthews (51)
Assists: M. Marner (53)
GAA: J.Campbell (2.66)
 
Florida Panthers
Points: J. Huberdeau (97)
Goals: A. Barkov (33)
Assists: J. Huberdeau (73)
GAA: S. Bobrovsky (2.64)
 
Coaches:
Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (3rd season)
Florida Panthers: Andrew Brunette (Interim)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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