Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/16/2024

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 16, 2024

Venue:  Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Leafs +124, Oilers -148; Over/Under:  7 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Leafs +124, Oilers -148; Over/Under:  7 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Leafs +120, Oilers -145; Over/Under:  7 goals

Toronto Maple Leafs:  21-12-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Edmonton Oilers:  23-15-1 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Toronto Maple Leafs:  4-4-2 last 10

Edmonton Oilers:  10-0-0 last 10

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 50 points, a 21-12-8 record overall, and they are 11-3-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Detroit Red Wings in their last game, losing that one at home 4-2. Pontus Holmberg and Mitchell Marner each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Tyler Bertuzzi, Jake McCabe, and Morgan Rielly each led the team in assists with 1 while Mitchell Marner and William Nylander each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 23 shots with 20 saves and a .870 save percentage. Their offense has scored 148 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 134 goals against them allowing 3.3 goals per game.

The Oilers are entering this game with 47 points, a 23-15-1 record overall, and they are 11-6-1 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Montreal Canadiens in their last game, winning that one on the road 2-1 in overtime. Leon Draisaitl and Evan Bouchard each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Leon Draisaitl, Warren Foegele, Evander Kane, and Connor McDavid each led the team in assists with 1 while Ryan Nugent-Hopkins led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 24 shots with 23 saves and a .958 save percentage. Their offense has scored 138 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 117 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Oilers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Oilers weren't good at all to start the season but they have looked great in their games since firing their head coach early on. They are 23-15-1 overall this year and they are also 11-6-1 in their home games too. They have been climbing up the standings since bringing in their new head coach and they have also won 10 games in a row now. Meanwhile, the Leafs have also looked good in their games this season with their 21-12-8 record overall which has them fighting for a playoff spot in their division. They are also 11-3-6 in their road games this season. The Leafs haven't looked as good as the Oilers lately though and the Leafs have been blowing a lot of leads too. The Oilers have looked a lot better in their games lately and they have all the momentum on their side right now with their huge win streak. The Oilers also have a very strong offense which will break through this Leafs defense at the rate they have been giving up goals lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Oilers to win this game. 

Maple Leafs Oilers Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, January 16, 2024 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Oilers 5 Leafs 3.

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Toronto Maple Leafs: 133-89 (-27.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 30-26 (-21.3 units) on the moneyline after playing 2 consecutive home games. 9-3 OVER after a division game. 14-6 OVER after playing a home game. 

Edmonton Oilers: 34-6 (+24.8 units) on the moneyline after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 25-8 (+14.4 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored. 24-15 OVER after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 12-5 OVER after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  J. Woll (G) Out indefinitely - Ankle. R. Reaves (RW) Out indefinitely - Leg. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.

Edmonton Oilers:  R. McLeod (C) Ques Tues - Illness. S. Gagner (C) Out indefinitely - Concussion.

“He battled his (butt) off. It’s the best I thought he’s looked all season just in terms of tracking the puck and some of the saves looked like the Sammy that we came to know last season so I think this is a positive step for him.” - Sheldon Keefe on Ilya Samsonov after his team’s loss against the Red Wings in their game on Sunday.

“We just found ways to win games. you don’t put a streak together by just relying on one line.” - Kris Knoblauch after his team’s win against the Canadiens in their game on Saturday.

LW Holmberg, Pontus

C Matthews, Auston

RW Nylander, William

LD Rielly, Morgan

RD Brodie, TJ

G Samsonov, Ilya

LW Nugent-Hopkins, Ryan

C McDavid, Connor

RW Hyman, Zach

LD Nurse, Darnell

RD Ceci, Cody

G Skinner, Stuart

Points: W. Nylander (57)

Goals: A. Matthews (33)

Assists: W. Nylander (36)

GAA: M. Jones (2.30)

Points: C. McDavid (57)

Goals: Z. Hyman (26)

Assists: C. McDavid (41)

GAA: S. Skinner (2.63)

Coaches:

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)

Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (1st season)