Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/08/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 8, 2025

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  NHL Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Leafs +130, Avalanche -155; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Leafs +130, Avalanche -155; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Leafs +120, Avalanche -145; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Toronto Maple Leafs:  38-21-3 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

Colorado Avalanche:  37-24-2 (4th place, Central Division)

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Toronto Maple Leafs:  7-2-1 last 10

Colorado Avalanche:  7-3-0 last 10

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 79 points, a 38-21-3 record overall, and they are 18-10-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, losing that one on the road 5-2. Mitchell Marner and Auston Matthews each scored 1 goal for them in that one. William Nylander and John Tavares each led the team in assists with 1 while Auston Matthews led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Joseph Woll was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 7 shots with 4 saves and a .571 save percentage before getting replaced by Anthony Stolarz who allowed 2 goals on 18 shots with 16 saves and a .889 save percentage. Their offense has scored 198 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 180 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Avalanche are entering this game with 76 points, a 37-24-2 record overall, and they are 20-10-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the San Jose Sharks in their last game, winning that one at home 7-3. Cale Makar and Nathan MacKinnon each led the team in goals scored with 2 while Jonathan Drouin, Martin Nečas, and Joel Kiviranta each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Cale Makar led the team in assists with 4 while Nathan MacKinnon led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. Mackenzie Blackwood was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 34 shots with 31 saves and a .912 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 209 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 186 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Avalanche have looked good in their games this season with their 37-24-2 record overall which has them in 4th place of their division in the West and in a Wild Card spot. They are in a Wild Card spot at the moment, but they do have a bit of a lead over the next Wild Card team. They have also looked great on home ice this year with their 20-10-2 home record. Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs have looked really good in their games this season with their 38-21-3 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They have been a good road team too with their 18-10-2 road record this season, but lately they have been starting to cool off. They have been really hot lately as they are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games, but now they have 2 losses in a row and have lost their momentum. They dropped a really bad game on home ice to the Sharks who are the worst team in the NHL this season by far, and now they are coming off a blowout loss to the Golden Knights in their last one. The Avalanche have also been hot lately as they are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games, and they have a lot more momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now. They are also coming off a 7-3 win over the Sharks in their last one and their offense has been rolling lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game. 

Maple Leafs Avalanche Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, March 8, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 4 Leafs 2.

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Toronto Maple Leafs: 26-23 (+8.3 units) on the moneyline as an underdog. 65-49 (+8.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 31-17 (+7 units) on the moneyline off a road loss. 38-22 UNDER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% of shots against or more.

Colorado Avalanche: 50-40 (-10 units) on the moneyline in non-conference games. 19-17 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game. 105-76 (-9.3 units) on the moneyline against excellent power play teams- scoring on over 17.5% of their chances. 18-12 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive home games. 

Toronto Maple Leafs:  C. Tanev (D) Day To Day - Upper-body. M. Pacioretty (LW) Out - Undisclosed. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out - Knee.

Colorado Avalanche:  G. Landeskog (LW) Out - Knee. T. Poolman (D) Out For Season - Head.

“I think our intentions were right in the first period. We had chances. We were skating, I thought. But you can’t give a team like that five odd-man rushes in the first period and think you are going to win the game. That is really what I take out of it.” - Craig Berube after his team’s loss against the Golden Knights in their game on Wednesday.

“It seems like the forwards are really rolling. They’re finding ways to get to the net. And when guys do that, we just try and get the puck to the net from the back-end and they get rewarded." - Cale Makar after their win against the Sharks in their game on Thursday.

LW Matthew Knies

C Auston Matthews

RW Mitchell Marner

LD Morgan Rielly

RD Oliver Ekman-Larsson

G Joseph Woll

LW Artturi Lehkonen

C Nathan MacKinnon

RW Martin Necas

LD Devon Toews

RD Cale Makar

G MacKenzie Blackwood

Points: M. Marner (77)

Goals: W. Nylander (35)

Assists: M. Marner (58)

GAA: A. Stolarz (2.21)

Points: N. MacKinnon (98)

Goals: A. Lehkonen (26)

Assists: N. MacKinnon (73)

GAA: M. Blackwood (2.38)

Coaches:

Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (1st season)

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (9th season)