Toronto Maple Leafs vs Arizona Coyotes Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/21/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 21, 2024

Venue:  Mullett Arena, Tempe, AZ 

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Leafs -198, Coyotes +164; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Leafs -225, Coyotes +180; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Leafs -225, Coyotes +180; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Toronto Maple Leafs:  30-16-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Arizona Coyotes:  23-28-4 (7th place, Central Division)

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Toronto Maple Leafs:  8-2-0 last 10

Arizona Coyotes:  0-9-1 last 10

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 68 points, a 30-16-8 record overall, and they are 15-6-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the St Louis Blues in their last game, winning that on the road 4-2. Auston Matthews, Matthew Knies, Bobby McMann, and William Nylander each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Mitchell Marner led the team in assists with 3 while Mitchell Marner, Auston Matthews, Matthew Knies, and Max Domi each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 21 shots with 19 saves and a .905 save percentage. Their offense has scored 197 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 170 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The Coyotes are entering this game with 50 points, a 23-28-4 record overall, and they are 15-13-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, losing that one at home 6-3. Nick Bjugstad led the team in goals scored with 2 while Clayton Keller scored 1 goal for them in that game. Clayton Keller, Clayton Keller, Matt Dumba, Sean Durzi, and Nick Schmaltz each led the team in assists with 1 while Nick Bjugstad led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Matt Villalta was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 25 shots with 20 saves and a .800 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 160 goals this season averaging 2.9 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 178 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Leafs listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Leafs have looked good in their games this season with their 30-16-8 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East right now and fighting to keep their playoff spot. They are coming off a road win in their last game against the Blues and they have been a good road team this season with their 15-6-6 road record. Meanwhile, the Coyotes haven't looked good in their games this season with their 23-28-4 record overall which has them near the bottom of their division in the West. They have been a better home team this year but still haven't looked great on home ice with their 15-13-0 home record. They don't have any momentum on their side either as they just lost their last game to the Oilers at home 6-3 and they have looked terrible in their games lately with their 0-9-1 record in their last 10 games. The Leafs are 8-2-0 in their last 10 games and they are getting hot once again as they look to climb the standings in their division and stay out of the Wild Card. The Leafs will continue to roll here as they take advantage of a struggling Coyotes team that has looked terrible lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Leafs to win this game and on the puckline. 

Maple Leafs Coyotes Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, February 21, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Leafs 4 Coyotes 1.

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Toronto Maple Leafs: 18-7 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline in non-conference games. 73-41 (+7.6 units) on the moneyline after playing a road game. 18-6 OVER after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more. 29-14 OVER after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games. 15-4 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games.

Arizona Coyotes: 75-143 (-12.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 7-21 (-11.2 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more. 46-95 (-11 units) on the moneyline after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 17-7 OVER after playing a home game. 8-2 OVER after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game. 9-5 OVER after allowing 5 goals or more.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  W. Lagesson (D) Ques Wed - Upper Body. M. Giordano (D) Ques Wed - Personal. J. Tavares (C) Ques Wed - Undisclosed. M. Rielly (D) Elig Thurs - Suspension. C. Jarnkrok (C) Late Feb - Hand. C. Timmins (D) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Woll (G) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.

Arizona Coyotes:  L. O'Brien (C) Late Feb - Upper Body. C. Ingram (G) Late Feb - Lower Body. B. Little (C) out for season - Ear. T. Stecher (D) Early March - Lower Body. T. Boyd (C) out for season - Pectoral. S. Weber (D) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Voracek (RW) Out indefinitely - Concussion.

“All in all, it was a good road game for us. We did enough good things to get the win.” - Sheldon Keefe after his team’s win against the Blues in their game on Monday.

“It's too bad because we did a lot of good things. We break down and we cannot stop the bleeding. They have three scoring chances and three goals right there.” - Andre Tourigny after his team’s loss against the Oilers in their game on Monday.

LW Knies, Matthew

C Matthews, Auston

RW Marner, Mitchell

LD Brodie, TJ

RD Liljegren, Timothy

G Samsonov, Ilya

LW Kerfoot, Alexander

C Hayton, Barrett

RW Schmaltz, Nick

LD Moser, J.J.

RD Dumba, Matt

G Villalta, Matt

Points: A. Matthews (73)

Goals: A. Matthews (49)

Assists: W. Nylander (43)

GAA: M. Jones (2.69)

Points: C. Keller (51)

Goals: C. Keller (22)

Assists: C. Keller (29)

GAA: C. Ingram (2.76)

Coaches:

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)

Arizona Coyotes: André Tourigny (3rd season)