Toronto Maple Leafs vs Anaheim Ducks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/28/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Nov 27, 2021
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 28, 2021
Venue:  Honda Center, Anaheim, CA 
Where to Watch:  ESPN+

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Leafs -175, Ducks +150; Over/Under:  NL goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Leafs -165, Ducks +145; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Leafs -160, Ducks +135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
 

Season Record

Toronto Maple Leafs:  15-6-1 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)
Anaheim Ducks:  11-7-3 (3rd place, Pacific Division)
 
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Anaheim Ducks Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Toronto Maple Leafs:  8-2-0 last 10
Anaheim Ducks:  7-3-0 last 10
 
 
 

Toronto Maple Leafs Analysis

The Leafs are coming into this game with 31 points and a 15-6-1 record overall while they are 6-3-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 8 of their last 9 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Pittsburgh Penguins while their 3 straight wins came against the New York Islanders, the Los Angeles Kings, and the San Jose Sharks in their last game. William Nylander, John Tavares, Auston Matthews , and Wayne Simmonds all scored 1 goal each in that game. Nylander and Tavares also had assists in that game along with Michael Bunting, David Kampf, Timothy Liljegren, Mitch Marner, Morgan Rielly, and Nick Ritchie. Nylander also led the team in shots on goals in that one with 8. Joseph Woll was the starting goaltender in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 35 shots with 34 saves and a .971 sv percentage. The Leafs have scored 61 goals in their 22 games this season averaging 2.8 goals scored per game and they have allowed their opponents to score 48 goals against them allowing 2.2 goals per game. 
 
 

Anaheim Ducks Analysis

The Ducks are coming into this game with 25 points and an 11-7-3 record overall while they are 8-3-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. The Ducks have lost 3 of their last 4 games but they are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 3 game losing streak that they were on. Their 3 losses came against the Carolina Hurricanes, the Nashville Predators, and the Colorado Avalanche while their win was against the Ottawa Senators in their last game. They won that game 4-0 with goals scored by Rickard Rakell, Derek Grant, Isac Lundestrom, and Troy Terry. Rakell also had 1 assist in that game while Trevor Zegras led the team in assists in that one with 2 himself. Sonny Milano and Jakob Silfverberg both had 1 assist each as well. Their offense was quite balanced and spread out evenly in this game as Zegras, Grant, Milano and Silfverberg all led the team in shots on goal in that game with 3 each. Anthony Stolarz was the starting goalie for them in that game and he recorded the shutout allowing 0 goals on 34 shots with 34 saves and a 1.000 sv percentage. The Ducks have scored 69 goals in their 21 games this season averaging 3.3 goals scored per game and they have allowed their opponents to score 56 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.
 
 

 

Maple Leafs vs Ducks Prediction

The Leafs are coming into this game as a -155 favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Leafs have been playing great this season and are on a massive streak that no one should want to step in front of right now. The Ducks have been playing well but they hit a slump recently and just broke out of it with a win over the Sens which is not an impressive team to beat. The Leafs are the better team and they are playing like it as well. The best bet to place in this game is on the Leafs to win straight up on the moneyline.
 
Maple Leafs Ducks Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Sunday, November 28, 2021 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Leafs 4 Ducks 2.
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NHL Betting Trends

 
Toronto Maple Leafs:  72-81 O/U in all games. 10-17 O/U in November games. 29-32 O/U first half of the season. 36-49 O/U when playing their 3rd game in 5 days. 14-21 O/U in non-conference games.
Anaheim Ducks:  865-972 O/U in all games. 234-267 O/U in a home game where where the total is 5.5. 123-160 O/U in November games. 357-443 O/U first half of the season. 227-246 O/U after a non-conference game.
 

Key Injuries

 
Toronto Maple Leafs:  O. Kase (RW) Ques Sun - Undisclosed injury. P. Mrazek (G) Early Dec - Groin injury. I. Mikheyev (RW) Mid Dec - Thumb injury.
Anaheim Ducks:  M. Comtois (LW) Early Jan - Hand injury. M. Jones (LW) out for season - Pectoral injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
“I think we want to stay even-keeled but at the same time we’re enjoying each other right now. We’re doing a good job of focusing in on our games and taking it one game at a time, one period at a time. But we are having a good time.” - Wayne Simmonds after their win against the Sharks on Friday night.
 
 
“We had a good stretch there where we’re playing well and getting results, and then went on the road and we didn’t play our best, and obviously we didn’t get the results we wanted either. So I think the focus coming home was to get back to what we were doing that made us successful. Worry about us and not the opponent, and I thought we did a pretty good job of that.” - Derek Grant after their win against the Senators on Friday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Bunting, Michael
C Matthews, Auston
RW Marner, Mitchell
LD Rielly, Morgan 
RD Brodie, TJ
G Campbell, Jack
 
Anaheim Ducks
LW Henrique, Adam
C Getzlaf, Ryan
RW Terry, Troy
LD Lindholm, Hampus
RD Drysdale, Jamie
G Stolarz, Anthony
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: J. Tavares (20)
Goals: J. Tavares (10)
Assists: M. Marner (12)
GAA: J. Woll (1.67)
 
Anaheim Ducks
Points: T. Terry (23)
Goals: T. Terry (13)
Assists: R. Getzlaf (18)
GAA: A. Stolarz (2.39)
 
Coaches:
Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (3rd season)
Anaheim Ducks: Dallas Eakins (3rd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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