Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/25/2022

by Rod Pearson

Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Sunday, September 25, 2022
Venue:  Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +120, Rays -140; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +120, Rays -140; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +120, Rays -140; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
 

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  84-67 (3rd place, AL East)
Tampa Bay Rays:  84-67 (2nd place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10
Tampa Bay Rays:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview and Analysis

 
The Blue Jays enter this game on a 3 game losing streak. They split their last series against the Philadelphia Phillies 1-1 in a 2-game series. They enter this game with a 84-67 record overall and have a road record of 41-35. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Rays on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .756 OPS. Alek Manoah is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Ross Stripling is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 8-4 with a 3.21 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 9 hits through 4 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.
 
The Rays enter this game on a 2 game winning streak. They lost their last series against the Houston Astros getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 84-67 record overall and have a home record of 51-28. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Blue Jays on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .694 OPS. Drew Rasmussen is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Shane McClanahan is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 12-6 with a 2.36 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 4 innings played against the Houston Astros.

 

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rays have been very hot lately and have owned the Blue Jays in their last few games against them. The Blue Jays have been hitting well in their games but their pitching has been terrible and they cannot score enough runs to keep up with what their pitching staff is giving up. The Jays also have Stripling starting in this game and he has been up and down all year, but he just had another bad start where he gave up 5 runs and hasn't been pitching well in his starts. The Rays have McClanahan starting here and he has been great in his starts this season, especially against the Blue Jays. He has seen them a few times this season and has not given up many runs against them. He pitches very well at home too and he has one of the best bullpens in the MLB to back him up here. Both of these teams are tied in the standings but fighting for a Wild Card spot right now. The Jays can definitely hit but the Rays have been scoring a lot of runs in their games lately too and their pitching is far superior than the Jays. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game.
 
Blue Jays Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, September 25, 2022 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Rays 4 Blue Jays 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Toronto Blue Jays: 84-67 (-15.4 Units) ML in all games. 11-20 (-20.3 Units) ML against left-handed starters. 19-12 UNDER against left-handed starters.
Tampa Bay Rays: 39-18 (+18.8 Units) ML when the total is 7 or less. 51-28 (+13 Units) ML in home games. 12-4 UNDER at home when the total is 6 to 6.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Toronto Blue Jays:  T. Saucedo (RP) Early Oct - Hip. L. Gurriel Jr. (LF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. H. Ryu (SP) out for season - Elbow.
Tampa Bay Rays:  K. Kiermaier (CF) out for season - Hip. M. Zunino (C) out for season - Shoulder. B. Lowe (2B) Out indefinitely - Back.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It's weird here. When things don't go great, it seems to unravel. This is a tough place for a variety of reasons, but we've got two really good guys (Alek Manoah and Ross Stripling) going the next two days. It's two good teams playing for a lot right now, and a lot of back and forth, and a couple things didn't go our way tonight." - John Scneider after his team’s loss against the Rays on Friday.
 
 
"You know you need runs against these guys. They're a very tough team to keep quiet for nine innings so we'll take runs any way we can get them." - Kevin Cash after his team’s win against the Blue Jays on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) CF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero (R) 1B
Alejandro Kirk (R) DH
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Raimel Tapia (L) LF
Whit Merrifield (R) 2B
Danny Jansen (R) C
 
Tampa Bay Rays
Jonathan Aranda (L) 1B
Harold Ramirez (R) DH
Wander Franco (S) SS
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Manuel Margot (R) RF
Isaac Paredes (R) 3B
Miles Mastrobuoni (L) 2B
Christian Bethancourt (R) C
Jose Siri (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Alejandro Kirk (.296)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (175)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (30)
RBI:  Bo Bichette (91)
Stolen Bases:  George Springer (13)
Wins:  Alek Manoah (14)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (34)
ERA:  Bowden Francis (0.00)
 
Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Miles Mastrobuoni (.500)
Hits:  Randy Arozarena (149)
Home Runs:  Randy Arozarena (20)
RBI:  Randy Arozarena (87)
Stolen Bases:  Randy Arozarena (32)
Wins:  Shane McClanahan (12)
Saves:  Jason Adam (8)
ERA:  J.P. Feyereisen (0.00)
 
Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (Interim)
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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