Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/23/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Jul 22, 2023
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Sunday, July 23, 2023
Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
Where to Watch:  ROOT Sports NW


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +110, Mariners -130; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +110, Mariners -130; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +110, Mariners -130; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  54-44 (3rd place, AL East)
Seattle Mariners:  49-48 (4th place, AL West)

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Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10
Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10



Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Preview and Analysis


The Blue Jays are entering this series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-44 record overall and have a road record of 27-24. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Kevin Gausman is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Alek Manoah is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 2-8 with a 6.18 ERA this season. His team lost 8 of their last 9 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 5 BB with 0 Ks on 3 hits through 3 IP against the San Diego Padres.

The Mariners are entering this series off of a win and split their 4-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-48 record overall and have a home record of 28-24. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .700 OPS. Logan Gilbert is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Bryan Woo is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers, and 3 BB with 4 strikeouts on 8 hits through 3.1 innings played against the Minnesota Twins.


Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have been playing a lot better in their games lately with their offense putting up more runs now and that will help out a lot since the Blue Jays have a really good offense but have also been really up and down with their offense all year. The Blue Jays also have Manoah starting in this game and he has been terrible all season. Manoah was great in his first 2 seasons of being in the MLB but this has been his worst season by far with the number of runs he has been giving up in his starts. He did pitch better in his 1st start back from the minors but he was back to his old ways again in his last start with 4 runs given up. The Mariners have Woo on the mound here and even though he gave up 6 runs in his last start, he has been a solid starter for the Mariners this season in most of his other starts and he will be looking to bounce back at home here. The Blue Jays offense hasn't been scoring many runs lately either so this is the perfect spot for the Mariners to take advantage of this pitching matchup at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Blue Jays Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 23, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 6 Blue Jays 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Toronto Blue Jays: 50-52 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 116-97 (+5.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. ALEK MANOAH is 11-4 OVER in all games and 5-1 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

Seattle Mariners: 49-48 (-11.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 16-18 (-10.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 12-7 OVER against AL East opponents. 

Key Injuries


Toronto Blue Jays:  K. Gausman (SP) Prob Sat - Abdominal. A. Cimber (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder. C. Green (RP) Late July - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Late July - Elbow.

Seattle Mariners:  J. Kelenic (CF) Out indefinitely - Foot. M. Gonzales (SP) Late July - Forearm. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.


Notable Quotes


“You got your best guys in there and you feel good about those guys and they've performed so well the entire season. You have all the faith and trust in the world in those guys. And (Hernández) hit a pitch that was up in the zone a little bit.” - John Schneider after his team’s loss against the Mariners in their game on Friday.


“He was trying to do too much and I joked with him earlier today, you know, let’s just take a deep breath today and try to have fun and he said, ‘I got this.' And he did." - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) RF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Brandon Belt (L) 1B
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) DH
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Whit Merrifield (R) LF
Daulton Varsho (L) CF
Danny Jansen (R) C
Cavan Biggio (L) 2B

Seattle Mariners
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Teoscar Hernandez (R) DH
Tom Murphy (R) C
Ty France (R) 1B
AJ Pollock (R) LF
Dylan Moore (R) RF
Jose Caballero (R) 2B

Statistical Leaders


Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Ernie Clement (.429)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (130)
Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (16)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (61)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (20)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (10)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (26)
ERA:  Jay Jackson (0.82)

Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.274)
Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (95)
Home Runs:  Teoscar Hernandez (16)
RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (58)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (22)
Wins:  George Kirby (9)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (19)
ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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