Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/22/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jul 21, 2023
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 22, 2023
Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
Where to Watch:  ROOT Sports NW


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -130, Mariners +110; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -130, Mariners +110; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -130, Mariners +110; Over/Under:  7 runs

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  54-43 (1st place, AL East)
Seattle Mariners:  48-48 (4th place, AL West)

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Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  7-3 last 10
Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10



Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Preview and Analysis


The Blue Jays are entering this series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-43 record overall and have a road record of 27-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .745 OPS. Yusei Kikuchi is their starting pitcher on Friday while Kevin Gausman is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-5 with a 3.03 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Mariners are entering this series off of a win and split their 4-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-48 record overall and have a home record of 27-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .700 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bryce Miller is their starting pitcher on Friday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-5 with a 3.65 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings played against the Minnesota Twins.


Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays are starting to roll in their games lately as they have been climbing the standings in the AL East and are now in 3rd place as they continue to surge. Their pitching has been a lot better overall in their games lately and they also have a really good offense too. Gilbert is on the mound for the Mariners here and he has been a solid starter for them all season but the Jays have been hot lately and their offense is going to be what carries them in this game since Gilbert has been pitching so well. The Blue Jays do have their own solid starter on the mound here with Gausman since he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts all year. The Mariners also have one of the worst offenses in the MLB and haven't been putting up a ton of runs in their games since coming back from the All-Star break. The Mariners will struggle to put up runs here with the way Gausman has been pitching lately while the Blue Jays will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get with that hot offense and it will be enough to edge the Mariners out here even if it ends up being a real low scoring game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.

Blue Jays Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 22, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 3 Mariners 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Toronto Blue Jays: 23-17 (+5.6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 9-3 (+6.4 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 7 or less. 50-22 OVER on the road when the total is 7 or less. KEVIN GAUSMAN is 10-2 OVER when the total is 7 or less.

Seattle Mariners: 48-48 (-12.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 6-13 (-11.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 or less. 11-6 OVER when the total is 7 or less. 8-3 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125.

Key Injuries


Toronto Blue Jays:  K. Gausman (SP) Prob Sat - Abdominal. A. Cimber (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder. C. Green (RP) Late July - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Late July - Elbow.

Seattle Mariners:  J. Kelenic (CF) Out indefinitely - Foot. M. Gonzales (SP) Late July - Forearm. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.


Notable Quotes


“Really impressive at-bat there going opposite field against a guy with a pretty good sinker.” - John Schneider after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Thursday.


“He loves the competition. I think that’s what sticks out more than anything else. When you watch him pitch, he just loves the, ‘Bring it on. I will give you my best effort.’ And he usually ends up on the right side of things.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) DH
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Whit Merrifield (R) LF
Santiago Espinal (R) 2B
Alejandro Kirk (R) C
Jordan Luplow (R) RF
Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF

Seattle Mariners
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Mike Ford (L) DH
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Ty France (R) 1B
Cade Marlowe (L) LF
Jose Caballero (R) 2B

Statistical Leaders


Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Ernie Clement (.429)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (130)
Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (16)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (61)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (20)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (10)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (26)
ERA:  Jay Jackson (0.82)

Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.275)
Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (95)
Home Runs:  Teoscar Hernandez (16)
RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (58)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (22)
Wins:  George Kirby (9)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (19)
ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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