Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/04/2024

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, Aug 04, 2024
Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, August 4, 2024
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  SNET


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +190, Yankees -230; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +190, Yankees -230; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +190, Yankees -230; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  51-59 (5th place, AL East)
New York Yankees:  65-46 (2nd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10
New York Yankees:  6-4 last 10



Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Blue Jays are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-59 record overall and have a road record of 25-31. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Blue Jays won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .696 OPS. José Berríos is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Yariel Rodríguez is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 1-4 with a 4.31 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 4 BB with 1 K on 1 hit through 0.2 IP against the Baltimore Orioles.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-46 record overall and have a home record of 27-24. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Yankees lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .772 OPS. Carlos Rodón is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 3 homers, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 8 hits through 5.2 innings played against the New York Mets.


Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 65-46 record overall which has them in a tie for 1st place in the AL East with the Orioles. They haven't looked as good in their home games this year, but they have still been a good home team with their 27-24 road record. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have looked terrible in their games this season with their 51-59 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AL East and well out of the playoff race. They haven't looked good in their road games either, going 25-31 in those. The Jays took the 1st game of this series, but they aren't going to win this series with the Yankees getting hot now and trying to pass the Orioles in 1st place of the AL East. The Yankees will be looking to bounce back and win this series, and they do have the better pitching matchup here. The Yankees are going with Cole on the mound in this one and he is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA. He has struggled in his few starts since coming back from injury, giving up 6 earned runs in his last start too, but he is still a really reliable starter that will start to get in his groove sooner or later. Even with the way he has pitched, the team has still had a ton of success with him, winning 4 of their last 5 games with him starting, and he will be looking to bounce back here with a better performance at home. The Blue Jays are going with Rodriguez in this one and he is 1-4 with a 4.31 ERA this season. He hasn't been great in his rookie season and just gave up 3 earned runs in his last start. The team hasn't been playing well with him on the mound either, losing 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, and he is going to struggle on the road here against one of the best offenses in the MLB that has been getting hot now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Blue Jays Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, August 4, 2024 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Yankees 8 Blue Jays 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


Toronto Blue Jays: 8-8 (+2 units) on the moneyline in their last 16 away games. 23-13 (+7 units) on the runline in their last 36 away games. 36-17 to the over in their last 53 games. 

New York Yankees: 17-25 (-19.25 units) on the moneyline in their last 42 games. 15-27 (-21.15 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 42 games. 38-16 to the over in their last 54 games.

Key Injuries


Toronto Blue Jays:  G. Springer (RF) Prob Sat - Shin. A. Kirk (C) Out Fri - Elbow. J. Romano (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Bichette (SS) Out indefinitely - Leg. O. Martinez (SS) Late Sep - Suspension. A. Manoah (SP) out of season - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  G. Cole (SP) Que Sat - Fatigue. J. Trevino (C) Late July - Quadricep. L. Trivino (RP) Late July - Elbow. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“He’s an aggressive hitter and he’s swinging early. He’s doing a good job of recognizing that and kind of getting pitches a little bit more in the zone.” - John Schneider after his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Friday.


“Loss is definitely solely on me. Just didn't execute. Just out of rhythm mechanically. Had no feel for my pitches. Just to put us in that position is very disappointing and unacceptable.” - Marcus Stroman after their loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Toronto Blue Jays
G Springer (R) DH
J Loperfido (L) CF
V Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
A Kirk (R) C
S Horwitz (L) 2B
E Clement (R) 3B
D Schneider (R) LF
L Jiménez (R) SS
S Berroa (S) RF

New York Yankees
A Verdugo (L) LF
J Soto (L) RF
A Judge (R) DH
A Wells (L) C
G Torres (R) 2B
J Chisholm Jr. (L) 3B
A Volpe (R) SS
B Rice (L) 1B
T Grisham (L) CF

Statistical Leaders


Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Orelvis Martinez (.333)
Hits:  Vladimir Guerrero (132)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (21)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (71)
Stolen Bases:  George Springer (13)
Wins:  José Berríos (9)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)
ERA:  Chad Green (1.62)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (124)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (40)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (101)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (19)
Wins:  Carlos Rodón (11)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (22)
ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (3rd season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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