Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/11/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, May 10, 2022
Game Time: 12:35 pm ET, Wednesday, May 11, 2022
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -105, Yankees -115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -105, Yankees -115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -105, Yankees -115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  17-13 (3rd place, AL East)
New York Yankees:  20-8 (1st place, AL East)
 
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Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  4-6 last 10
New York Yankees:  8-2 last 10
 
 
 

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game with a 17-13 record overall and they are 7-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 4-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 3-1, had Monday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series finale of a 2-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Yusei Kikuchi is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while José Berríos is on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 2-1 with a 5.34 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 6 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 0 Ks on 8 hits in 4.2 IP against the Cleveland Guardians. They scored 18 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 21 runs against them averaging just over 5 runs allowed per game.
 

New York Yankees Analysis

The Yankees are coming into this game with a 20-8 record overall and they are 12-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 2-game series with the Blue Jays on Wednesday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Luis Severino is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Jameson Taillon will be on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits in 6 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays. They scored 5 runs in their last series averaging just under 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 5 runs against them averaging just under 2 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction

The Blue Jays are coming into this game as a slight underdog with the current betting odds. They have not been playing very well in their recent games but they have played the Yankees well this season and they even split their last series with them in New York in 4 games. The Blue Jays are getting plenty of guys on base with a lot of chances to score runs but they have not been cashing those runs in while the Yankees have been. They are going up against a Yankees team here that has been playing very well at home recently but their bats have cooled off a bit as well and they have been relying on their pitching in these recent games. Berrios did not have a good start last time for the Jays but he has been pitching well this season and will likely bounce back in this game. It is only a matter of time until the offense starts to roll for the Jays and they are catching the Yankees at a good time here near the end of a hot streak. The Jays will not want to lose here after dropping a series at home to the Yankees just last week. Their offense is just as good as the Yankees and they have a great pitching staff as well. They will figure out a way to win this game. The best bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.
 
Blue Jays Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, May 11, 2022 (12:35 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 4 Yankees 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Toronto Blue Jays: 43-47 (+9.2 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 7-2 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 18-11 UNDER in all games.
New York Yankees: 125-90 (-22.4 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 149-109 (-13.8 Units) ML in all games. 18-9 UNDER as a favorite of -110 or higher.
 

Key Injuries

 
Toronto Blue Jays:  C. Biggio (2B) Mid May - Illness. H. Ryu (SP) Mid May - Forearm. D. Jansen (C) Mid May - Oblique.
New York Yankees:  T. Locastro (CF) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. German (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"They're terrible. Those balls were like they were right out of the box. Some were huge. Some were fluffy. They were all brand new white balls." - Alek Manoah on the baseballs after their loss against the Guardians on Sunday.
 
 
"The game's littered with people that weren't always the high pick or the top prospect. He's persevered. He's experienced everything. He's had to fight for everything." - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Rangers on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) CF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero (R) DH
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) 1B
Alejandro Kirk (R) C
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Santiago Espinal (R) 2B
Raimel Tapia (L) LF
 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) RF
Josh Donaldson (R) DH
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Joey Gallo (L) LF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS
Jose Trevino (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Danny Jansen (.571)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (30)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (7)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (19)
Stolen Bases:  Santiago Espinal (3)
Wins:  Adam Cimber (4)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (12)
ERA:  Bowden Francis (0.00)
 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Miguel Andujar (.400)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (29)
Home Runs:  Anthony Rizzo (9)
RBI:  Anthony Rizzo (22)
Stolen Bases:  Tim Locastro (4)
Wins:  Clay Holmes (4)
Saves:  Aroldis Chapman (7)
ERA:  Aroldis Chapman (0.00)
 
Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (4th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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