Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/04/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Jun 03, 2023
Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, June 4, 2023
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  31-27 (4th place, AL East)
New York Mets:  30-28 (2nd place, NL East)

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Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10
New York Mets:  5-5 last 10



Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis


The Blue Jays are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 31-27 record overall and have a road record of 16-17. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mets on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .754 OPS. José Berríos is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Yusei Kikuchi is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-2 with a 4.47 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 5 BB with 4 Ks on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Mets are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-28 record overall and have a home record of 15-10. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .715 OPS. Tylor Megill is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Kodai Senga is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-3 with a 3.44 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 9 strikeouts on 1 hit through 7 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.


Blue Jays vs Mets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams have been struggling out of the gate as they both hover right around the .500 mark but the Mets have been playing a lot better over the last week and their pitching has been really good in a lot of their games. The Blue Jays have a really good offense but their pitching really hasn't been great this season and they have Kikuchi starting on the mound here who has been really up and down all year. The Blue Jays have been winning games with him on the mound but he hasn't been keeping the runs out in a lot of his starts and he has actually given up quite a few runs. He is also coming off a terrible season so he could revert back to the way he was pitching last season at any time while the Mets have rookie Senga on the mound here which will give them a bit of an advantage since there isn't a ton of tape on him. Senga has also been pitching really well this season and has pitched his best in their home games. He is going to give this Jays lineup fits here and the Mets will take care of business in this game with some good pitching. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.

Blue Jays Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 4, 2023 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Mets 4 Blue Jays 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Toronto Blue Jays: 37-18 (+12.4 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 21-9 (+10.7 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 12-7 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10. 9-5 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.

New York Mets: 30-28 (-9.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 13-15 (-8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 30-22 OVER in an inter-league game. 17-10 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5

Key Injuries


Toronto Blue Jays:  Z. Pop (RP) Mid June - Hamstring. D. Jansen (C) Mid June - Groin. M. White (SP) Mid June - Elbow. S. Espinal (2B) Mid June - Hamstring. C. Green (RP) Late July - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

New York Mets:  J. Quintana (SP) Late June - Ribs. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. E. Uceta (RP) Mid June - Ankle. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. O. Narvaez (C) Mid June - Calf. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“I’m sure there’s a million things that are going through his mind. To kind of keep everything in check was really impressive.” - John Schneider on Chris Bassitt after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Friday.


“Seems ticky-tack. I was in the box at 8 seconds, Usually we get a little more time on foul balls -- maybe that’s been wrong, but we usually do. And he was on the mound — sorry, not on the mound, but on the rubber at 9 seconds, and I was in the box at 8 seconds, but because I wasn’t looking at the pitcher, I got it. So just seems ticky-tack. You’re slowing down the game more by coming out and calling that than just letting the pitch go.” - Brandon Nimmo after their loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) RF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
Brandon Belt (L) DH
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Whit Merrifield (R) 2B
Daulton Varsho (L) LF
Alejandro Kirk (R) C
Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF

New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Starling Marte (R) RF
Mark Vientos (R) DH
Mark Canha (R) LF
Francisco Alvarez (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Bo Bichette (.335)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (83)
Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (12)
RBI:  Bo Bichette (39)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (15)
Wins:  Yusei Kikuchi (6)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (14)
ERA:  Thomas Hatch (0.00)

New York Mets
Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)
Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (64)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (20)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (46)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (17)
Wins:  Tylor Megill (5)
Saves:  David Robertson (10)
ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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