Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/03/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jun 02, 2023
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 3, 2023
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -105, Mets -115; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -105, Mets -115; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -105, Mets -115; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  30-27 (4th place, AL East)
New York Mets:  30-27 (2nd place, NL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB: 52-41 (+$5.4K) start this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.


Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10
New York Mets:  6-4 last 10



Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis


The Blue Jays are entering this game off of a win in their last game and won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-27 record overall and have a road record of 15-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .755 OPS. Chris Bassitt is their starting pitcher on Friday while José Berríos is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-4 with a 3.86 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 5 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 5.2 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Mets are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-27 record overall and have a home record of 15-9. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Justin Verlander is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tylor Megill is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-3 with a 4.67 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 10 hits through 4 innings played against the Colorado Rockies.


Blue Jays vs Mets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets haven't been great this season as they have been right around the .500 mark all year but they have been playing a lot better in their games lately and are starting to get on a roll now. They are going to be looking to climb the standings as they are in 2nd place in their division and have a lot of work to do to catch the Braves who are a few games ahead of them. The Blue Jays have been having the same kind of season as they have a similar record right around .500 but they also play in a much tougher division that is seeing them sit near the bottom now. Their offense has been good but their pitching has been bad and very inconsistent which becomes a big problem when their offense goes quiet. The Mets are starting to get on a roll now, their offense has been great over the last week but their pitching has also been winning them a lot of games and they will continue to pitch well here with Megill and their bullpen. The Jays are going with Berrios in this game but he struggled a lot last season and has been really up and down this year already. He has been pitching a lot better lately but he is not the type to stay this consistent and could easily blow up in this game with a hot Mets team being at home here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.

Blue Jays Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 3, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 7 Blue Jays 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


Toronto Blue Jays: 36-18 (+11.3 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 20-9 (+9.6 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 12-6 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10. 9-4 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.

New York Mets: 30-27 (-8.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 18-16 (-6.5 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 30-21 OVER in an inter-league game. 

Key Injuries


Toronto Blue Jays:  B. Belt (DH) Ques Fri - Stomach. Z. Pop (RP) Mid June - Hamstring. D. Jansen (C) Mid June - Groin. M. White (SP) Mid June - Elbow. S. Espinal (2B) Mid June - Hamstring. C. Green (RP) Late July - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

New York Mets:  J. Quintana (SP) Late June - Ribs. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. T. Locastro (CF) Out indefinitely - Thumb. E. Uceta (RP) Mid June - Ankle. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. O. Narvaez (C) Mid June - Calf. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“He was awesome. I mean, he was lights out.” - John Schneider on Kevin Gausman after his team’s win against the Brewers in their game on Thursday.


“It can’t just be Pete in the middle of the lineup hitting homers. It’s got to be everybody. It’s great to see when people are scuffling to come out of it and then start swinging away and they really catch fire. And Mark’s that guy right now, and he’s been going out there giving us huge at-bats.” - Max Scherzer on Pete Alonso after their win against the Phillies in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) RF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) DH
Daulton Varsho (L) LF
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Whit Merrifield (R) 2B
Cavan Biggio (L) 1B
Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF
Tyler Heineman (S) C

New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Starling Marte (R) RF
Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH
Mark Canha (R) LF
Francisco Alvarez (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Ernie Clement (.333)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (81)
Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (12)
RBI:  Bo Bichette (39)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (15)
Wins:  Yusei Kikuchi (6)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (13)
ERA:  Thomas Hatch (0.00)

New York Mets
Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)
Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (64)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (20)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (46)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (16)
Wins:  Tylor Megill (5)
Saves:  David Robertson (10)
ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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