Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/27/2023

Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Saturday, May 27, 2023

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -110, Twins -110; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -110, Twins -110; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -110, Twins -110; Over/Under:  8 runs

Toronto Blue Jays:  26-25 (5th place, AL East)

Minnesota Twins:  26-24 (1st place, AL Central)

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Toronto Blue Jays:  2-8 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10

The Blue Jays are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak after losing their 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 26-25 record overall and have a road record of 13-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .751 OPS. Kevin Gausman is their starting pitcher on Friday while Chris Bassitt is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-3 with a 3.03 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 3 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits through 6.1 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Twins are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 26-24 record overall and have a home record of 15-10. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .717 OPS. Louie Varland is their starting pitcher on Friday while Pablo López is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-3 with a 3.90 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 9 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins haven't been great in their games lately but neither have the Blue Jays as the Twins are catching them in the middle of a bad slump where they have been losing a lot of games over the last month. Both of these teams have really similar records overall but the only difference is the Twins lead their division while the Jays sit at the bottom of theirs. They aren't going to catch much of a break here either as the Twins have struggled but have been a lot better in their home games this season and they have a solid starter in Lopez starting this game. Lopez was really good last season and has continued pitching well into this year while the Jays are going with Bassitt here and he has had his struggles both this season and last season as he has been really up and down over the last year. He has also had some really bad starts this year and the Jays haven't been scoring a lot of runs lately to help back him up while the Twins have had a great offense at home and will get their runs in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Blue Jays Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 27, 2023 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Twins 4 Blue Jays 0.

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Toronto Blue Jays: 45-47 (+10.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 8-2 (+4.2 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 18-10 OVER in road games. CHRIS BASSITT is 16-8 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125.

Minnesota Twins: 99-88 (-15.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 34-38 (-18 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. PABLO LOPEZ is 13-6 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 and 26-17 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5. 

Toronto Blue Jays:  D. Jansen (C) Ques Fri - Groin. M. White (SP) Early June - Elbow. S. Espinal (2B) Early June - Hamstring. Z. Pop (RP) Early June - Hamstring. C. Green (RP) Late July - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

Minnesota Twins:  C. Correa (SS) Ques Fri - Heel. J. Gallo (LF) Ques Fri - Hamstring. T. Larnach (RF) Out indefinitely - Illness. K. Maeda (SP) Mid June - Tricep. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. G. Celestino (CF) Early June - Thumb. M. Kepler (CF) Early June - Hamstring. J. Polanco (SS) Early June - Hamstring. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Thielbar (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. R. Lewis (SS) Early July - Knee. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

“We're punched right in the face the last 10 days or so. You've got to understand that and you've got to make adjustments. In talking to the guys and hearing them, it's got to happen tomorrow.” - John Schneider after his team’s loss against the Rays in their game on Thursday.

“I don’t know how many foul balls they hit today; it seemed like every pitch ... it was definitely more grindy. I think just having good support from the offense today — Julien starting off hot was awesome and I think just shows (when you're) hitting the ball hard, good things happen.” - Joe Ryan after their win against the Giants in their game on Wednesday.

Bo Bichette (R) SS

Daulton Varsho (L) LF

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B

Brandon Belt (L) DH

Matt Chapman (R) 3B

Nathan Lukes (L) RF

Alejandro Kirk (R) C

Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF

Cavan Biggio (L) 2B

Edouard Julien (L) 2B

Byron Buxton (R) DH

Donovan Solano (R) 3B

Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B

Kyle Farmer (R) SS

Willi Castro (S) LF

Matt Wallner (L) RF

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Batting Average:  Ernie Clement (.333)

Hits:  Bo Bichette (71)

Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (9)

RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (34)

Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (14)

Wins:  Chris Bassitt (5)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (10)

ERA:  Thomas Hatch (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jorge Polanco (.284)

Hits:  Byron Buxton (39)

Home Runs:  Joey Gallo (11)

RBI:  Trevor Larnach (27)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (7)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (7)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (7)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.00)

Managers:

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)